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Live Updates

11

Aug 2026

纽元/美元跌向0.5880，美元走强、油价飙升与CPI风险拖累纽元

纽美回落至0.5880，霍尔木兹危机推升油价与美元避险，压制纽元。周三美国CPI成关键引爆点；技术面0.5879/0.5840若失守，或快速下探0.5800。

11

Aug 2026

美元走强，霍尔木兹油价飙升带动金银上扬；美元/日元走高，市场静待澳洲联储决议

霍尔木兹危机推升油价逾6%，美元指数守99.80上方；金银齐涨，避险升温。策略：布局WTI看涨、白银跨式、美元/日元看涨，警惕RBA与美国CPI。

11

Aug 2026

渣打银行认为，中国“降成本驱动”的再通胀将延续低通胀与低收益率格局，同时行业利润分化加剧

渣打：中国再通胀偏成本驱动，内需落后供给致低通胀、低收益率延续。利润修复集中AI与石油，产能过剩行业仍弱；策略看多国债期货、精选科技能源。

11

Aug 2026

比特币跌破6.5万美元，黄金守在4,350美元上方；Strategy出售比特币回购股票

加密回吐：BTC跌破6.5万，MSTR抛售1.09亿美元增卖压，策略偏短空并买6.2万保护性看跌；黄金守4350偏多，回调布局长天期call；XRP守1.00但受均线压制，宜铁鹰，破0.98警惕瀑布跌。

11

Aug 2026

道明证券预计7月非农就业增速放缓、零售销售下滑，美联储关注点仍在通胀

非农爆冷仅增2.3万、前值下修10.3万，私增公减拖累。TD：7月零售或跌0.2%，控制组持平；通胀仍主导Fed，经济仍稳健。

11

Aug 2026

黄金上涨，霍尔木兹局势与航运延误支撑金价——市场聚焦美国通胀数据与走强美元

霍尔木兹重开延宕托住金价，黄金升至4,352美元；美元走强与美国7月CPI在即限制涨幅。关注4,389关键位，突破看4,400-4,500。

10

Aug 2026

美元/日元逼近159，日本经常账户赤字拖累日元；市场静待CPI，干预风险成焦点

日元因经常账户意外转负与高负债承压，美元/日元逼近159。美CPI成破位关键；波动升温宜短线跨式+156看跌对冲干预，日债收益率攀升可空JGB。

10

Aug 2026

道琼斯指数持平徘徊，CPI公布在即；油价走高，加息概率小幅上升

道指窄幅横盘逼近突破，CPI前波动或急扩；油价受伊朗制裁推升，加息预期重定价。生产率劳份额创低，策略建议跨式/宽跨式与期权对冲。

10

Aug 2026

丹麦通胀降温至1.7%，电价费率抵消季节性CPI涨幅

丹麦7月通胀降至1.7%，核心2.3%持平；电价拉低通胀0.68个百分点，但环比飙1.2%显需求韧。与欧元区2.9%分化，利率期货、EUR/DKK期权与曲线趋平策略机会浮现。

10

Aug 2026

美元/加元走低逼近两个月低位，油价上涨与加拿大就业数据提振加元，静待美国CPI

美CPI前夕，USD/CAD失守1.40跌至1.3932两月低；加国强就业与油价飙5%撑加元。技术偏空，期权宜短天期看跌/熊价差，关注1.3916与1.3853支撑。

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