Live Updates

19

Aug 2026

美元走弱与美国财政部回购压低长期收益率，金价在FOMC会议纪要公布前走高

美元与美债收益率齐跌，金价强弹逾2.5%至约4,458美元！市场紧盯FOMC纪要；短线看4,528阻力、4,381支撑，期权多头与波动率策略受捧。

19

Aug 2026

霍尔木兹海峡封锁引发油价飙升，美元与黄金走低；交易员静待美联储会议纪要

联动失灵成新风险：美元跌、金也跌，美债偏强、股指走软。霍尔木兹封锁推油至84.90，高波动延续；盯原油库存与FOMC纪要，善用ZT对冲股指短线。

19

Aug 2026

欧元区通胀低于预期，助长对欧洲央行更快降息的押注并引发市场调整

欧元区7月HICP环比仅升0.2%，远低预期，点燃降息加速猜想。策略：押Euribor/Bund走强、EUR/USD偏弱，Euro Stoxx 50看涨期权受惠。

19

Aug 2026

欧元区7月通胀维持在2.9%，抑制市场对欧洲央行降息的预期

欧元区7月HICP通胀2.9%持平预期，回落未破黏性。ECB短期路径料谨慎，德债或区间盘整。交易上偏卖权利金：Bund铁秃鹰/铁蝶，EUR/USD区间策略。

19

Aug 2026

英国房价涨幅降温至2%，借贷成本上升推升降息预期

英国6月DCLG房价年增仅2%创放缓信号：高息压楼市，英央行或转鸽。交易员可押SONIA降息、布局GBP/USD价外看跌，并做空英建商期权。

19

Aug 2026

美元在7月美联储会议纪要发布前走软，瑞郎走强，美元/瑞郎测试0.8100支撑位

美元走软+避险情绪推升瑞郎，美元/瑞郎逼近0.8100，关键看0.8040支撑。焦点转向7月FOMC纪要，波动或放大；可用跨式、铁鹰及短期美元看涨期权对冲。

19

Aug 2026

南非7月CPI报4.3%，提振降息押注、提升债券吸引力并影响兰特对冲策略

南非7月CPI仅升4.3%低预期，通胀降温点燃降息想象！SARB 9月或偏鸽；FRA/互换收固定、国债期货受益。警惕ZAR走弱，用USD/ZAR短期看涨对冲；股市利率敏感板块与Top40期权迎机。

19

Aug 2026

欧元/美元逼近1.1600，欧元收益率在FOMC会议纪要与HICP终值确认公布前保持坚挺

欧元兑美元冲上1.1600看似强势，其实过度延伸：欧债高位但美债趋稳，FOMC纪要或偏鹰压欧元。策略：短天期看跌期权，目标回落1.1300。

19

Aug 2026

英国7月RPI升至0.6%，加剧市场对英伦银行“高利率维持更久”的押注

英国7月RPI环比跳升0.6%（前值0.3%），通胀黏性再敲警钟。BoE或更久维持高利率，SONIA重定价；英债承压收益率走高，英镑与通胀互换迎战术机会。

19

Aug 2026

油价坚挺令卢比走软；印度央行拟提前结束优惠美元互换

卢比续弱、油价高企与霍尔木兹紧张推升USD/INR至95.76。RBI提前关FCNR掉期或收紧流动性。策略：买USD/INR看涨、原油牛市价差，警惕干预反转。

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