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2

Sep 2026

美国国债收益率攀升、联储鹰派立场提振美元金价跌至两周低点

黄金跌穿4330创两周低：美债收益率飙升、美元走强与中东冲突压制，无息成本上升。沃什放鹰推9月加息押注；聚焦周五非农。技术偏空，期权可布局看跌与波动策略。

2

Sep 2026

韩国通胀低于预期，提振韩国国债期货并推高美元/韩元期权兴趣

韩国8月CPI同比3.1%低于预期3.2%，通胀降温引爆交易机会：做多3年KTB期货、买入USD/KRW看涨期权押韩元偏弱，并关注KOSPI 200看涨期权。

2

Sep 2026

新西兰央行将官方现金利率上调至2.75%，但审慎指引拖累纽元走低

新西兰央行如期加息至2.75%，却强调路径不预设、就业仍有闲置，纽元回落0.585附近。OCR远期温和、乳价走弱，交易员宜防NZD续跌。

2

Sep 2026

大华银行上调印度2027财年GDP增速预期至7.2%，并将通胀预测调高至5.2%

印度FY27首季GDP飙7.8%，UOB上调全年增速至7.2%、通胀至5.2%。通胀或2026年11月破6%，RBI料转鹰：OIS pay-fixed、短空USD/INR、买Nifty波动与农产原油多头。

2

Sep 2026

华侨银行上调亚洲外汇预测，因基本面改善与资金流入而调升韩元与令吉评级

想抓亚洲外汇分化机会？OCBC 上调 MYR、KRW 相对美元前景：马来西亚增长与外部收支稳、政策引汇；韩国出口回升、结汇改善、外流忧降，宜用期权远期精选布局。

2

Sep 2026

美国与伊朗冲突推升油价与美债收益率，市场加码押注美联储加息，金价下跌

美伊互袭升级，金价自4,461急跌2.3%至4,342；美债10年息升至4.792%、WTI冲90美元推高机会成本。沃什鹰派令9月加息概率飙至71%，技术破4,400/100日线。

2

Sep 2026

荷兰合作银行警告：随着贸易壁垒升高，中国贸易模式承压；人民币贬值对冲成焦点

全球贸易壁垒升温挤压中国出口驱动增长，内需疲弱加剧失衡。官方PMI仍萎缩、欧盟拟动用反胁迫工具。策略建议：买USD/CNH看涨、原油跨式、FXI看跌对冲。

2

Sep 2026

匈牙利第二季GDP增长掩盖福林风险：消费增速超越投资与出口

匈牙利经济复苏但后劲不足：Q2 GDP环比+0.5%、同比+1.7%，2026增速料1.7%靠消费撑场；投资、净出口与人口结构拖累。策略：做多EUR/HUF期权、曲线陡峭化、BUX看跌对冲。

2

Sep 2026

GDT价格指数涨幅放缓至0.9%，乳制品动能降温削弱纽元上行助力

GDT指数仅升0.9%，涨势明显降温，全球乳制品动能转弱。纽元上行动能或受限；衍生品宜关注NZD/USD逼近0.6200做空及低波动率买入看跌期权机会。

2

Sep 2026

美元随着美债收益率反弹而企稳；欧元和英镑走软，油价上扬、金价回落

美元止跌回稳，DXY重返99.60上方，美债收益率与地缘风险助攻。策略：短线做多美元；期权布局欧镑下行；日圆警惕干预；油价看涨价差、黄金回调可逢低布局。

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