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Live Updates

11

Mar 2026

WTI下跌，日本与德国在IEA紧急库存决定前释放石油储备

IEA拟评估是否协调动用紧急储备，日本德国抢先释油压低WTI至84美元。短空机会或短暂；库存意外下滑支撑油价，关注后续商业库存回升。

11

Mar 2026

BBH的Elias Haddad预计美国市场将对2月CPI数据“淡定以对”，整体、核心及“超级核心”CPI同比料持平

2月美国CPI料继续持平，但别被“稳定”骗了：汽油与能源恐再抬通胀、拖累降息。滞胀风险升温，MOVE高企，利率期权或宜用跨式/宽跨式捕捉波动。

11

Mar 2026

美国MBA抵押贷款申请量上升3.2%，较此前11%的增幅放缓——最新数据显示

MBA：截至3月6日按揭申请增3.2%，低于前周11%；30年期利率再破7%抑制需求。通胀仍顽固，美联储两难，利率波动或加剧，期权与住房ETF对冲受关注。

11

Mar 2026

WTI徘徊在86.30美元附近，上涨1.20%；中东紧张局势促使G7与IEA商讨动用储备措施

WTI升至86.30美元、涨1.2%。中东局势升温，霍尔木兹风险推高油价溢价；G7/IEA或协调释储4亿桶，以稳供应冲击与航运扰动。

11

Mar 2026

瑞银Paul Donovan称：2月美国CPI仍关键；潜在通胀仍属温和；美联储应关注更广泛的涨势

2月美国CPI料显示核心通胀降温至2.8%，Fed或继续按兵不动。汽油飙升未入数据致体感通胀强，VIX偏高；能源冲击利好商品衍生品与行业波动机会。

11

Mar 2026

德意志银行预计布伦特油价将大幅逆转，在对伊朗前景乐观、沙特阿美消息、美国表态及国际能源署（IEA）谈判影响下下跌11%

冲突降温引爆油价急转弯：布伦特单日暴跌11%至87.8美元，沙特增输与IEA或释储压制风险溢价。隐波上升，跨式/对冲成焦点。

11

Mar 2026

金价跌破5,200美元，刷新盘中低位；交易员静待美国CPI数据

金价跌破5,200美元，美元反弹施压；但降息预期仍托底。油价冲高回落、霍尔木兹风险未解，今晚CPI与周五PCE成关键引爆点。技术面转弱，关注5228阻力与5190支撑。

11

Mar 2026

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）德里克·哈尔彭尼表示，国际能源署（IEA）释放石油储备或可缓解霍尔木兹冲击，市场关注转向美国通胀

霍尔木兹风险升温，MUFG指IEA协同释储可短暂缓冲；市场转盯美国2月CPI与核心通胀。油价飙推波动，恐延后降息，交易员急寻对冲。

11

Mar 2026

星展指出，DXY在99.7遇阻回落，预示2026年风险情绪或将转向，因G7/IEA抑制美元需求

油价回落令避险美元退潮，DXY卡在99.7阻力。DBS称实际利率偏紧、失业率4.4%与2026降息预期压顶，美元上行受限，宜布局区间偏空与日元机会。

11

Mar 2026

1月，西班牙零售销售同比增长加速至4%，高于前值2.9%

西班牙1月零售销售同比4%超预期，消费韧性强。IBEX 35与零售旅游股或迎催化，短期期权可布局；同时压低ECB降息预期，推升欧元与短债收益率。

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