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20

May 2026

避险情绪升温与美元走强推高兹罗提、克朗与福林，逼近区间高位

全球risk-off升温拖累中东欧货币，EUR/PLN与EUR/CZK逼近区间上沿。美元走强抬升下行风险；匈牙利福林遇获利了结与央行鸽派，carry吸引力降。

20

May 2026

拉美股市资金流入乘商品顺风而上，较高实际利率恐冲击企业盈利与货币走势

拉美股市吸金：贸易条件改善、商品走强与本币抗跌推升外资。但实际利率高、金融环境紧缩正压盈利，股市或降温；对冲需求升温，留意USD/BRL、USD/MXN期权机会。

20

May 2026

美元在美债收益率走高支撑下保持坚挺，市场在美联储会议纪要与PMI出炉前转趋谨慎

美债收益率高企与避险情绪撑DXY上扬，非基本面走强；RSI近超买、99.40/100.50阻力压顶。本周盯FOMC纪要与PMI、初请，或部署看跌期权捕捉回落。

20

May 2026

美元指数受美债收益率走高及避险情绪提振，但涨势或因美国数据走软而承压

美元靠美债收益率与避险情绪硬撑，DXY逼近超买：能否突破99.40？本周FOMC纪要、快报PMI与初请数据定方向；若收益率回落，涨势恐熄火。

20

May 2026

万事达股价逼近关键支撑位，艾略特波浪回调近尾声，关注多头反弹机会

万事达卡周线回调，艾略特波浪指向511–463美元等长目标区，或为第II浪尾声。基本面稳健、波动率回升；期权可先卖虚值PUT，企稳后转看涨布局。

20

May 2026

美元/加元在加拿大CPI疲弱后走高；央行按兵不动之际，交易员关注1.3815水平

加元意外走软曾推高美元/加元至1.3773，估值偏离加剧回调风险。如今加拿大核心通胀黏性支撑加元，策略转向卖出价外美元看涨期权，博汇价震荡回落。

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