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21

May 2026

印尼央行意外加息50个基点支撑印尼盾，美元兑印尼盾涨势动能减弱

印尼央行意外猛加息50基点至5.25%护盘印尼盾！美元季节性需求或缓解，但汇率仍看油价、地缘与收益率；技术转弱，关注17,509/17,350支撑，策略可买近月USD/IDR看跌期权。

21

May 2026

美伊消息、美元及美债收益率走强限制涨幅，白银徘徊在两周低点附近

美伊谈判消息反复，白银跌至两周低位75.20。美元走强、美债收益率升压制无息资产。技术面偏弱：失守77.46阻力，支撑68.03，破位恐看60。

21

May 2026

EIA库存增幅低于需求增长，使美国天然气价格持续承压

EIA：5/15当周美天然气注库101Bcf，超预期5Bcf，库存约2650Bcf较五年均值高逾25%。产量强、需求偏弱且天气温和，价格承压；多头宜谨慎。

21

May 2026

匈牙利福林面临贬值压力，政府在匈牙利央行决议前优先压低收益率

大选后仓位拥挤，焦点转向匈牙利央行：新政府宁压债息不护福林。套利撤出、欧盟资金存变数，福林偏弱；可逢反弹卖出或布局EUR/HUF上行。

21

May 2026

美元收益率与能源价格走高扩大跨大西洋利差，欧元与英镑走低

欧元、英镑5月中以来回落，主因美债收益率跑赢欧债、油气扰动推高美元吸引力。通胀分化或令ECB更鹰，利差收窄在望；可关注EUR/USD 1.09看涨期权布局反弹。

21

May 2026

美元/日元徘徊于159附近，PMI走弱且干预威胁限制上行空间于160

美元/日元逼近159，160成干预“天花板”。日本PMI转弱但央行偏鹰，市场押注6月升息。策略：160上方卖出看涨/熊市价差，或会后买入看跌。

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