Live Updates

8

Sep 2026

中国8月进口同比增长28.2%，不及市场预测的30%

中国8月进口同比增28.2%不及预期30%，低1.8个百分点，海外商品需求扩张仍快但更温和，释放复苏动能略降温信号，市场关注后续政策与消费韧性。

8

Sep 2026

中国8月出口同比增长25%，符合预期并支撑风险偏好

中国8月出口同比增25%精准命中预期：外需韧性托底亚洲股市。焦点转向可持续性；期权布局A50上行，人民币看涨与铜、原油多头机会浮现。

8

Sep 2026

中国人民银行将美元兑人民币中间价定于弱于路透预测水平，助长人民币贬值预期

惊讶信号：人行将USD/CNY中间价定6.7804，显著弱于路透测算6.7104，或容忍温和贬值稳增长。出口仅增4.1%且通缩续压，宽松预期升；建议买入美元兑人民币看涨期权对冲波动。

8

Sep 2026

西太平洋银行调查显示，澳洲消费者信心9月下滑5.2%，逆转此前涨势

突发转折：Westpac澳洲9月消费者信心指数下跌5.2%，逆转8月6%升幅，显示家庭情绪短短一月急转；声明未披露更多细节或分项数据。

8

Sep 2026

日本工资增长不及预期冲击日本央行加息押注，日元走弱，并支撑日本国债与日经指数

日本7月现金收入年增3.7%不及预期，薪资动能降温。日银升息或暂停、日元承压；建议偏多美元/日元、做多10年JGB，关注日经出口股反弹。

8

Sep 2026

强劲美国非农就业数据推升美联储加息押注，通胀数据公布前金价回落至4,410美元

金价回落至4,410美元，就业强劲推高美联储加息概率至60%。本周CPI/PPI或引爆波动：短线可用跨式捕捉双向，跌破4,350恐探4,260，中期仍偏多。

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