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29

May 2026

受美伊协议希望提振风险情绪推动，金价回升；但美联储鹰派立场限制上行空间

金价自两月低点反弹至4,583美元，但美伊协议扑朔迷离令油金与美元拉锯。OVX飙升提示「交易波动率」：原油跨式、黄金铁鹰更吸睛。

29

May 2026

美元/加元回吐涨幅，美元走软抵消加拿大GDP疲软影响，霍尔木兹海峡及《美墨加协定》（USMCA）风险升温

USD/CAD 冲高 1.3829 后回落：美元因美伊协议憧憬降温转弱，加拿大 GDP 意外疲弱压制加元。后市盯 BoC 降息、USMCA 变动与期权波动。

29

May 2026

特朗普释放重开霍尔木兹海峡信号，刺激美元走软并推动市场转向风险偏好

特朗普称解除霍尔木兹封锁、促伊朗弃核，市场避险降温：美元走弱、VIX料回落、油价看跌、股市偏多；但最终决定未定，宜用期权控风险。

29

May 2026

在美伊停火谈判提振风险偏好并打压美元之际，澳元兑美元上探0.7180附近

美伊停火传闻提振风险偏好，AUD/USD 逼近0.7180、美元承压；核心PCE维持3.3%。但协议未获特朗普确认，波动恐放大，关注0.7190阻力与0.7160支撑，期权对冲宜。

29

May 2026

鲍曼警告通胀进展停滞，中东冲突风险加剧促使美联储政策转趋谨慎

通胀降温卡关、CPI黏在3.2%！鲍曼警告中东冲突或推升能源价压，降息或延后；经济韧性仍在但就业转弱，市场波动恐被低估。

29

May 2026

芝加哥PMI飙升至62.7，降息押注降温，提振股市与美元前景

芝加哥PMI飙至62.7远超预期，经济“降温论”被打脸！降息机率骤降推升收益率与美元，股指看涨、债券看跌，低VIX或是买对冲时机。

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