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3

Jun 2026

美国工厂订单超预期，强化美联储利率“更高更久”前景

美国4月工厂订单环比飙4.8%超预期，叠加ISM回升，制造业动能增强。通胀黏着下，美联储降息或更谨慎；关注工业/原材料、标普多头及做空美债机会。

3

Jun 2026

美元保持坚挺，服务业PMI走软及中东紧张局势削弱风险偏好

美服务业PMI不及预期叠加中东紧张升温，风险偏好转弱，美元与原油获支撑。建议防御：指数认沽、能源ETF/认购、VIX认购对冲波动。

3

Jun 2026

关税与伊朗风险拖累金价；美联储鹰派展望恐触发CTA在4,470美元卖出触发点

关税与美伊冲突推升通胀，市场押注美联储至少2027年再加息；金价动能受压，4,470美元成CTA卖出触发，跌破恐引爆自动抛售。

3

Jun 2026

美国综合PMI不及预期推升降息押注，促使市场加码对冲并下调美元前景

美国5月标普全球综合PMI 51.5低于预期，动能放缓却仍扩张！降息预期升温至逾60%，股市或加剧波动，美元承压，布局期货与保护性认沽。

3

Jun 2026

澳洲GDP增长放缓至0.3%，气旋扰乱与需求疲弱令澳储行前景蒙阴

澳洲Q1 GDP仅增0.3%引爆警讯：家庭与公共支出转弱、气旋冲击拖累外贸。市场押注RBA转鸽降息，澳元或下探0.6400，股债波动升温。

3

Jun 2026

英镑/日元下滑：东京警告或干预，但利差仍支撑英镑走势

东京再释干预警告，GBP/JPY 回落至214.82。英日利差与英央行偏鹰仍撑后市：守稳214或再上看216.5。策略偏用看涨期权控风险。

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