Live Updates

11

Jun 2026

美国5月预算赤字扩大至2930亿美元，推升美债收益率并加剧政策不确定性

美国5月预算赤字飙至2,930亿美元、较预期多180亿，财政滑坡或推高美债收益率。市场押注曲线陡峭化：关注ZN/SOFR期权、标普保护性put与VIX call，美元短线偏观望。

11

Jun 2026

通胀火热叠加伊朗局势紧张推高美债收益率与油价、美元走强施压，金价重挫3%

美国CPI冲高强化“高利率更久”，金价周三重挫逾3%至4,130美元；油价飙升与美债收益率上行压制避险。关注PPI/初请，4,098失守恐下看4,000。

11

Jun 2026

特朗普警告若不达成协议将对伊朗发动强硬打击，引发股市抛售，油价反弹重上91美元

美伊火药味升级：特朗普警告强攻，伊朗强硬回应。市场转向避险，股债汇剧震；油价飙升、股指下挫，建议用原油、VIX与指数期权对冲，并偏多美元日元。

11

Jun 2026

美国10年期国债拍卖中标收益率升至4.538%，提振美元走强并加剧市场对波动的担忧

美10年期国债拍卖爆冷：中标收益率升至4.538%高于前次，借贷成本抬升。需求偏弱推升风险溢价，VIX回升、美元走强，降息预期骤降，通胀黏性令高利率更久。

11

Jun 2026

加拿大央行维持利率在2.25%，通胀趋稳、增长仍疲弱，释放耐心观望信号

加拿大央行按兵不动：利率维持2.25%，称经济供给过剩、通胀短期约3%再回2%。加息风险降，利差压加元；看好USD/CAD、短端、卖波动率。

11

Jun 2026

美国股市因 CPI 高于预期及霍尔木兹紧张局势走低，油价攀升，市场忧虑美联储加息升温

通胀再热叠加霍尔木兹风险，道指暴跌近600点创近期最猛；油价逼近90美元、VIX升破18。市场押注Fed不动，但年末再加息风险升温。

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