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18

Jul 2026

美元/日元企稳，片山的日元警告效应消退，散户转向日元期权

财务大臣强硬警告也难撼USD/JPY：口头干预“例行化”令市场麻木。日本散户却急转看多日元，净空锐减。自满下隐波回落，正是低价买入美元/日元看跌期权良机。

18

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：日元净空头略微收窄，投机者仍暴露于潜在挤仓风险

日本CFTC：日元净空从-123.8k收窄至-122.7k，仍偏空但回补浮现。超-120k易触发挤压；10年债息约1.1%牵动BoJ。策略：少追空，买便宜OTM日元看涨期权。

18

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示，因高产量及需求担忧拖累，原油投机者削减净多头仓位

CFTC：原油投机净多降至62.7K，资金撤退显著。高供应叠加全球需求忧虑，油价恐破支撑。衍生品宜转防御：买WTI保护性put或做熊市看涨价差。

18

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着投机客削减看空押注，英镑净空头收窄

英镑空头降温？CFTC显示GBP非商业净持仓由£-87.9k收窄至£-71.3k，空头回补或新增多头兴趣升温，但整体仍偏净空头。

18

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示，黄金投机客削减净多头仓位，暗示短期价格或进入盘整期

黄金投机多头降温：CFTC非商业净多头从194.2K回落至186.7K。短线或横盘小回调，但跌幅不大更像买点；可用牛市价差、卖Otm沽布局。

18

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：标普500净空头回落，持仓趋近持平

CFTC：标普500净空降至-3.89万张，逼近中性。空头回补升温，卖压收敛、底部更稳；期权策略转向偏多：牛市价差或备兑收权利金。

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