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21

Jul 2026

QQQ 回调目标指向 646-684 美元支撑位，艾略特波浪延伸，枢轴点守住 737.72 美元

QQQ自6月新高转入“双重三”修正，跌势未止。关注646–684美元斐波支撑密集区；跌破686.76确认延伸。策略：反弹买Put或卖虚值Call价差，737.72不破偏空占优。

21

Jul 2026

日元维持在162.50附近，市场权衡美伊停火前景与关键数据

日元逼近162.84高位、DXY横盘，市场屏息等美伊10天停火抉择与PMI/CPI催化。交易员可用短期期权跨式与OTM看跌、障碍期权布局极端波动。

21

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎走高，美伊冲突推升避险美元需求，并强化加息押注

美伊冲突推升避险与油价，USD/CHF 连涨至0.8110。FedWatch 9月加息押注升至64.2%挺美元；SNB 更谨慎并或干预压瑞郎，期权布局上行。

21

Jul 2026

新西兰央行核心通胀维持在2.7%，纽元走软，市场押注降息升温

RBNZ模型显示核心通胀Q2维持2.7%落在目标区间，鹰派意外降温致纽元回落。交易者可考虑买NZD/USD看跌、瞄0.5750，并偏多AUD/NZD抓利差。

21

Jul 2026

欧元/美元下探至1.1400附近，美伊紧张局势推升美元需求；ZEW与ADP数据待公布

中东战火再起推升避险美元，EUR/USD 跌回1.1410逼近1.1400；后续看德国/欧元区ZEW与美国ADP。市场料美联储7月按兵不动84.5%，期权防御与跨式布局成焦点。

21

Jul 2026

美元/新元维持在1.29附近，避险情绪削弱美元回落幅度，市场静待新加坡CPI与金管局政策检讨

美元/新元盘整1.29低位，CPI后美元回落乏力；地缘与AI抛售压情绪。焦点转向7月23日新加坡CPI、月末MAS检讨，料按兵不动，走势看美元与风险偏好。

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