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21

Jul 2026

新西兰乳制品价格在GDT拍卖中反弹，提振纽元及期货前景

GDT价格指数止跌反弹：前值跌4.9%后转升1.5%，乳品行情或迎修复。纽元、乳品期货与期权波动料加剧，关注中国需求与止损对冲。

21

Jul 2026

欧元/美元走低，美元因美伊打击行动走强，油价风险及政策前景成焦点

美伊冲突升温推升美元，EUR/USD 逼近1.1405周低；ZEW虽超预期仍难救欧元。油价与通胀忧虑回归，央行料偏鹰；建议布局原油长Call、美元短Call与区间策略。

21

Jul 2026

油价反弹推升股市与金价，企业财报抵消中东风险；英国国债收益率因财政压力上升

罕见同涨！油价走高却带动股市与金价齐升，财报季支撑风险偏好；但相关性恐难持久。英国借贷成本上扬压缩财政空间，债市风险溢价升温。

21

Jul 2026

纽约梅隆银行警告：特朗普对加拿大征收50%关税或令加元承压，并推升美元/加元期权需求

特朗普拟30天内对部分加拿大商品加征50%关税，USMCA不豁免，直击美加谈判并压低加元。BNY警告USD/CAD或测1.45-1.47，建议买短期看涨期权、做空CAD对冲CHF。

21

Jul 2026

在希利获任财相后，英镑与英国国债趋稳，但财政不确定性仍令英镑承压

英债英镑抛售暂稳，但10月预算前财政“弹性”未明，反弹受限。劳市闲置、加息预期或下修，利空英镑：慎追反弹，偏向做空GBP、做多短息期货。

21

Jul 2026

加拿大通胀降温及美国关税阻碍加元反弹，美元/加元守在关键支撑上方

通胀降温+关税冲击双压加元！法兴指USD/CAD反弹卡在50日均线下，利差扩大撑美元；跌破1.3970恐探1.3850，波动率或上行。

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