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22

Jul 2026

日本6月出口增速超预期，助推日元走强押注及市场对日本央行收紧政策的猜测

日本6月出口暴增19.3%超预期，全球需求强劲或逼日央行转鹰：日圆看升可布局短天期USD/JPY看跌；日经留意汇率回调，宜用看跌日历价差对冲。

22

Jul 2026

伊朗警告或将扩大区域打击，美国再度空袭伊朗，提振WTI与油价波动前景

特朗普扬言打击伊朗核设施，德黑兰警告扩大报复、瞄准美盟友资产；美军续袭大不里士附近。WTI飙2.5%至84.35，美油波动或升级，宜用牛市价差、跨式对冲。

22

Jul 2026

黄金升破4,080美元，美伊敌对行动推升避险需求与波动率策略

美伊冲突升温，金价自4,000反弹至4,080美元：趁波动买黄金长跨/宽跨；胡塞封锁推油价，布局布油看涨；警惕油涨逼联储转鹰，用利率期货或美债看跌对冲。

22

Jul 2026

英镑下挫：英国就业数据优于预期仍难抵工资走软与英国央行前景承压

英镑虽获强劲就业数据支撑仍走弱，GBP/USD跌破50与200日EMA至1.3380，连跌四日。关注CPI、零售与PMI；策略偏空：买短期认沽，目标1.3300/1.3150。

22

Jul 2026

英镑/日元守稳218.00上方，伯纳姆提振效应消退与干预疑虑限制涨幅

GBP/JPY守218.00上方整固，英镑动能转弱且干预风险压制。关注218.50/219.61阻力、217.53支撑；衍生品宜用期权限风险，防突发400-500点急跌。

22

Jul 2026

澳元/美元在0.7000附近的50日EMA处止步，就业数据与澳洲联储会议在即

AUD/USD 冲高 0.7050 未果回落 0.7000，50 日 EMA 压顶；地缘油价与利率信号混杂。就业、PMI、CPI 及美联储决议或引爆波动，偏空守 0.7050。

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