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29

Jul 2026

美元/日元回落至163.70附近，油价反弹、中东紧张局势与东京CPI数据备受关注

USD/JPY守163.70回落；油价反弹、中东冲突推升通胀，日元承压。聚焦东京CPI与失业率。衍生品可布局多头看涨期权，并用比例看跌价差防突发下跌；美联储加息概率升撑美元。

29

Jul 2026

澳元兑美元跌破0.7000，澳洲联储行长降温进一步收紧押注，CPI公布前市场趋谨慎

澳元/美元跌破0.7000成G10最弱！RBA鹰派不够、铁矿下行拖累；市场盯澳洲CPI与FOMC定价。阻力0.7000/0.7050，支撑0.6950/0.6900，动能偏热。

29

Jul 2026

澳元下滑，6月CPI低于预期，澳洲联储加息押注降温

澳洲6月CPI意外降至3.8%且月率转负，引爆澳元跳水！RBA再加息概率降温，AUD/USD下看0.6900；策略：买近月看跌期权与3年票据期货。

29

Jul 2026

通胀侵蚀美元购买力，黄金走强，交易员转向期权策略

从番茄汤到咖啡面粉，美国通胀正偷走购买力：CPI仍3%+，五年篮子或涨29%。美元自1971去金本位贬88%，金价飙升；策略看多贵金属、做空DXY。

29

Jul 2026

智利央行维持基准利率在4.5%，市场已计入政策暂停期延长

智利央行维持利率4.5%符合预期，释出货币环境趋稳信号。利差与USD/CLP溢价或收敛，掉期曲线趋平；可用区间期权、2年掉期与UF对冲布局。

29

Jul 2026

MAS再度收紧新元名义有效汇率（SGD NEER）升值斜率，提振新元，美元/新元回落至1.2890

MAS二度收紧：小幅上调新元NEER斜率，USD/SGD跌至1.2890。通胀或上修、H1 2026增6%撑升值；布局短期SGD看涨/做空美元，并关注波动策略。

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