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6

Aug 2026

在霍尔木兹航运谈判与美国库存拖累下，WTI徘徊于三周低位附近

WTI守在74美元三周低位，紧盯霍尔木兹通行谈判变数；叠加EIA库存意外增加，技术面偏空。策略：避裸卖Call，偏向看跌价差或卖价外Call价差。

6

Aug 2026

美国数据疲软打压美元，瑞郎走强；关注霍尔木兹海峡重开谈判及美联储押注

美元数据偏软与霍尔木兹海峡进展压低美元/瑞郎至0.8078，瑞郎续强。9月加息概率降至56%，聚焦周五非农。策略：美元看跌、长跨式油期权、偏多瑞郎。

5

Aug 2026

美股指数走高，纳指领涨；科技股涨势扩散，SNDK财报前波动加剧

美股开盘急拉，纳指领涨扩散至软件、半导体与DRAM，脱离仅靠MAGS。期权数据显示资金偏多；聚焦SNDK财报高波动，逢回撤做多或用牛市卖出价差收权利金。

5

Aug 2026

华尔街延续8月涨势；憧憬霍尔木兹局势缓和致油价回落，金属价格反弹

美股8月强势续创新高，霍尔木兹重开预期压油价、降通胀押注。金银趁美元转弱急反弹。策略：指数ETF做看涨价差，能源做空期权，杰克逊霍尔前严控风险。

5

Aug 2026

金价逼近4,256美元，霍尔木兹外交进展提振风险偏好；比特币期权聚焦6.5万美元突破

霍尔木兹外交曙光推升金价至4,256美元，央行年购金逾千吨托底；关注黄金4,279/4,316突破。比特币64,540美元情绪脆弱，紧盯65,000上破做call、跌破64,405转put。

5

Aug 2026

美元/日元企稳于157.65附近，疲弱美国数据拖累走势，日银加息预期升温提振日元需求

美元/日元守157.65，美元数据转弱抵消日元买盘。关注158.04均线与干预“天花板”，BoJ 9月加息概率升至60%，建议布局看跌期权与做多波动率。

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