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6

Aug 2026

美元企稳、市场静待伊朗—阿曼霍尔木兹协议，金价在4,270美元附近整固

黄金冲高4300后回落整理，美元企稳与伊朗—阿曼航运协议待确认。劳工数据偏软令9月加息概率降至56.9%；非农前宜用看涨期权/价差捕捉波动。

6

Aug 2026

美元与油价上涨、金价创历史新高，交易员关注美国数据及霍尔木兹海峡最新消息

美元、原油与黄金罕见同涨，市场“脱钩”警报拉响；霍尔木兹海峡传闻未证。今天美国劳动力数据密集，关注ZT与道指相关性失效，严控仓位防扫盘。

6

Aug 2026

中东风险溢价消退，尽管海湾出口限制仍稳固，WTI跌破75美元

WTI 跌破75美元，市场押注中东风险降温与海峡通行改善；但海湾出口仍低、航运受限。OPEC+9月小幅增供，美国增产。需求分歧、库存回升压制反弹。

6

Aug 2026

巴西央行下调Selic利率至14%，通胀与选举风险下宽松前景收紧

巴西央行如预期降息25基点至14%，但宽松空间受通胀脱锚、财政与选举风险限制。策略：避短线押注，关注2026末DI；互换做payer，雷亚尔用期权对冲波动。

6

Aug 2026

欧元区零售销售不及预期，再度引发对消费需求与欧元前景的担忧

欧元区6月零售意外环比跌0.3%、年增放缓至0.7%，消费动能警讯！欧元反应淡但上行或受限；交易员可布局EUR/USD短期看跌期权，并关注降息预期推升Euribor。

6

Aug 2026

欧元徘徊在182.25日元附近，干预风险与欧元区销售数据左右EUR/JPY波动

EUR/JPY守在182.25附近但情绪紧绷：美日联合干预疑云+欧元区零售数据将定方向。衍生品宜转向押波动：跨式/宽跨式捕捉跳空，多头用短天期日元看涨期权防400–500点暴跌。

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