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7

Aug 2026

WTI攀升逼近76.50美元，伊朗限制霍尔木兹海峡通行重燃风险溢价

霍尔木兹“顺畅通行”幻象破灭：伊朗拟限敌对船只并罚货值20%，WTI反弹至76.5美元。关键咽喉受扰，风险溢价回归，建议偏多波动率布局。

7

Aug 2026

澳元/美元守稳0.7000上方，美元走强；霍尔木兹海峡原油风险与美国非农就业数据成焦点

澳元/美元跌0.36%仍守0.7000，美元指数逼近100压制反弹；霍尔木兹风险推油价却成增长税。中国贸易降温+非农在即，期权布局防破位、做多波动。

7

Aug 2026

道琼斯指数在罕见两天突破后出现“流星”警讯，回落至布林带上轨内

道指两日罕见站稳布林上轨外并现射击之星，RSI超买但广度偏弱；历史多指向1–20日温和回调。交易者可用DIA熊市看涨价差/看跌对冲，目标回中轨。

6

Aug 2026

美联储在分歧投票下维持利率不变，沃什收窄前瞻指引；美债收益率走高，通胀信誉受质疑

FOMC按兵不动却现分歧，Warsh缩短声明引发讯号不明。长债收益率走高、实际利率近零，市场押注更宽松；建议期权做波动、做空长债并布局黄金硬资产。

6

Aug 2026

韩国央行通过国内供应与ETF重启黄金买入，央行需求仍维持高位

全球央行购金飙至年近千吨；韩国央行13年来重启买金，改向本地矿商按现货价购入并买黄金ETF。金价底部或更稳，衍生品偏多。

6

Aug 2026

英镑守在1.3460附近，美国就业数据与地缘政治因素令英镑/美元维持区间震荡

英镑兑美元困在1.3400-1.3500窄幅横盘，市场屏息等NFP与初请；隐波或低估真波动，跨式/宽跨式趁低布局。地缘风险随时引爆突破。

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