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8

Aug 2026

美国就业数据疲弱拖累美元，墨西哥比索走强；通胀降温之际，墨西哥央行维持利率不变

美国疲弱非农打压美元，墨西哥披索走强至17.18；通胀降温、Banxico稳健维持6.50%利率。抓利差做套息，偏空USD/MXN，关注17.45阻力与15.69支撑。

7

Aug 2026

欧元/美元小幅走高，美元走软及市场重新定价美联储政策，焦点仍在关键移动均线阻力

非农疲弱拖累美元，EUR/USD逼近七周高位1.1562，挑战100日均线“天花板”。CPI成关键催化剂；可布局短期欧元看涨/牛市价差，兼配保护性看跌控险。

7

Aug 2026

金价飙升突破4,300美元，疲弱美国非农拖累美债收益率与美元；市场聚焦CPI

非农爆冷拖累美债与美元，金价飙升：XAU/USD周涨逾7%至4340。9月加息概率降至30%。CPI将成下个引爆点，技术上挑战4390、目标4450-4500。

7

Aug 2026

印尼第二季GDP超预期，缓和市场对印尼央行降息押注；渣打上调经济展望

印尼次季GDP增5.3%超预期，虽放缓但韧性十足；渣打上调2026预测至5.3%。降息动力减，印尼盾料稳。就业转弱促曲线趋平、股市偏防御。

7

Aug 2026

道指平收，7月非农就业降温，美债收益率曲线陡峭化，市场对美联储加息概率预期转变

非农转弱，道指却几乎无感守住54,000点；市场改押地缘乐观、降再加息预期。美债曲线变陡、油价78美元偏乐观。关注CPI，53,800成风控关键。

7

Aug 2026

美国非农疲软降温美联储加息预期，日元干预打压美元；市场静待美国CPI

非农降温令9月加息概率降至43%，美元/日元受日美干预波动加剧；油价守80美元、亚欧股走强。下周美国CPI成关键，期权布局利率、汇率与股指波动。

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