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25

Aug 2026

随着美元走强，WTI跌破84美元；伊朗局势紧张及美国库存偏低提供支撑

WTI 连跌、欧盘失守84美元，美元转强拖累商品。但美伊紧张、美国SPR创82年新低与82.61美元EMA支撑，限制跌幅；关注82.6附近用牛市价差/卖Put博反弹至86。

25

Aug 2026

法国消费者信心降至86，低于预期，拖累欧元及法国资产

法国8月消费者信心仅86、低于预期87，内需疲弱警讯再响；交易上偏防御：CAC40买近月Put，做空零售银行；欧元承压可空EUR/USD；债市多Bund空OAT。

25

Aug 2026

印度卢比小幅走强，因印度央行抑制美元兑卢比汇率波动；霍尔木兹海峡原油风险仍存，美元偏强格局未改

卢比早盘走强压低USD/INR至95.70，市场盯RBI干预守95.50–96。霍尔木兹风险与美对伊朗制裁或推油价、美元再走强，策略布局看涨价差。

25

Aug 2026

美元走软跌破99.40，欧元瞄准1.18；美国PCE公布前美债收益率持稳

美元受困99.40下方，市场押注转弱：欧元冲1.18、人民币或破6.72。美德债收益率高位偏升，股市分化；黄金看4,800，天然气上探3.00。

25

Aug 2026

金价企稳于4,650美元下方，美元走强；市场静待美国PCE数据与杰克逊霍尔会议信号

金价自4,700回落后稳守4,650下方：美元反弹与获利了结压制，但美债破40万亿、伊朗风险推升“贬值交易”。盯PCE、杰克逊霍尔；4,500守稳仍偏多。

25

Aug 2026

中国央行将人民币中间价定得弱于预期且高于路透估值，释放容忍贬值以提振增长的信号

人民币中间价报6.7852显著弱于路透预期，释放央行容忍贬值信号！经济偏弱与低利率或推升USD/CNY与波动，期权做多波动、企业用远期锁成本成焦点。

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