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27

Feb 2026

德国2月调和消费者价格环比上涨0.4%，低于预期的0.5%

德国2月HICP环比仅升0.4%，低于预期0.5%：通胀降温或促ECB更早降息，利多降收益率交易、Euribor与DAX期权；宽松预期升温令欧元承压。

27

Feb 2026

在欧洲时段，日元回吐早前对美元的涨幅，美元/日元反弹至155.90附近总体走强

日元周五回吐涨幅，美元/日元逼近155.90。市场降温日本央行加息预期、通胀走弱；美联储降息受阻。利差或继续推高美元/日元至165。

27

Feb 2026

冯·格里希表示，美国稀疏的数据表明美联储将继续按兵不动，而核心PCE意外上升

核心PCE意外走强、与CPI背离：通胀降温或更慢。Nordea称美联储对就业风险更均衡，短期或按兵不动、暂停降息更久；远期仍偏向降息。

27

Feb 2026

2月16日，印度的美元储备从此前的7257.3亿美元降至7236.1亿美元

印度外储一周降21.2亿美元至7236.1亿，暗示央行卖美元护住卢比84关口；通胀5.2%助推稳汇率，或可卖3月84.25/84.50美元兑卢比看涨期权赚权利金。

27

Feb 2026

道明证券预计加拿大第四季度GDP年化将下降0.4%，第一季度将随着需求复苏而改善

GDP或年化跌0.4%引发衰退担忧，但12月与1月快报回暖；通胀降至2.6%助推央行4月降息预期，利空加元、利多利率下行与卖波动策略。

27

Feb 2026

比利时第四季度GDP环比增长0.1%，低于预期的0.2%增长率

比利时Q4 GDP环比仅增0.1%低于预期，预示欧元区动能转弱。布局Euro Stoxx 50看跌/价差对冲，做空欧元，关注ECB鸽派与VSTOXX波动机会。

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