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Live Updates

28

Feb 2026

德意志银行预计消费者信贷将更强劲，抵押贷款获批数量升至6.45万，PMI维持不变（52.0/53.9）

英国本周重磅数据来袭：预算声明、PMI终值、DMP与BRC价格、信贷。信贷与按揭回暖支撑地产零售；通胀与工资预期降温利好降息；就业偏弱或压英镑，宜用期权对冲。

28

Feb 2026

Mercan预计土耳其2025年增长率为3.8%，2025年第四季度为3.9%，受需求推动，增长动能放缓

土耳其增长仍靠内需但动能转弱，2025增速约3.8%。2月通胀或回升至31.4%令降息时点更悬。利率、里拉波动与股指区间交易机会并存。

28

Feb 2026

欧元/美元维持区间震荡；尽管美国PPI数据强劲未能提振美元，欧元仍保持坚挺

欧元/美元震荡回升至1.1815！美国PPI与核心PPI超预期却未支撑美元；美元指数回落，美联储降息预期偏后；德国通胀低于预期，欧元获喘息。

28

Feb 2026

俄罗斯12月工业产出降至-0.8%，逆转此前3.7%的增长，显示出现萎缩

俄罗斯12月工业产出从+3.7%骤转-0.8%，经济降温警报拉响：卢布或续贬、MOEX承压，央行偏鸽，期权对冲与押注波动成关键策略。

28

Feb 2026

尽管美国PPI更强劲，美元/日元仍徘徊在156.00附近，因美元动能减弱且日元走强

PPI超预期却推不动美元，USD/JPY回落156附近。美联储降息预期降温但受政策不确定压制；日银渐进收紧撑日元。区间震荡或放大，偏用跨式期权捕捉波动。

28

Feb 2026

自2025年初以来，瑞典就业人数有所增加，北欧联合银行（Nordea）的安娜·韦斯特伦德指出，随着BAS和LFS指标改善

瑞典就业自2025年初回升、招聘意愿转强，失业率料降但仍偏高。闲置未消使央行更偏鸽派，春末降息预期升温：利率做多下行，克朗承压，股指受益。

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