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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

道明证券认为油价推动的7月美联储加息定价被高估，建议做多7月OIS接收端

Modern night-time building with pink neon vertical highlights and glass facade.

油价走高与美伊紧张推升7月加息定价至8bp，TD Securities称市场或过度付溢价，建议接收7月OIS；10年美债4.66%-4.69%，阻力4.81%与5%。

Written on July 23, 2026 at 7:27 pm
Categories: Live Updates

欧元/英镑走低：欧洲央行维持利率不变，市场计入9月加息预期，能源与英国不确定性升温

Glowing purple 3D pound symbol with bar charts and line graphs in a neon, finance-themed background.

ECB按兵不动后EUR/GBP冲高0.8544回落至0.8530；能源与中东冲突推升9月加息定价、波动或放大。低隐波下可买短期跨式/宽跨式，配合油价与利差对冲。

Written on July 23, 2026 at 6:58 pm
Categories: Live Updates

德国商业银行预计，随着美元走软拖累美元/墨西哥比索（USD/MXN）走低，市场对墨西哥央行（Banxico）加息的押注将逐步退潮

Neon-lit $100 bill overlaid with a rising stock chart, symbolizing financial growth. A neon chart colors the bill to suggest market gains.

德国商业银行警告：市场高估Banxico未来一年三次加息，墨西哥通胀与增长转弱，收紧空间有限；一旦预期出清比索或承压，但若美联储鹰派预期退潮美元走弱，USD/MXN料下行。

Written on July 23, 2026 at 6:57 pm
Categories: Live Updates

拉加德暗示欧洲央行一致同意按兵不动，7月加息讨论升温恐加剧数据驱动的波动风险

3D architectural model of a modern multi-story building on a platform, lit in pink and blue neon against a dark background.

拉加德称7月利率按兵不动一致通过，但有人提议加息；欧央行拒给前瞻指引、紧盯二轮效应。9月前数据密集，€STR波动或飙：用Euribor虚值payer及短跨式对冲。

Written on July 23, 2026 at 6:27 pm
Categories: Live Updates

拉加德称欧央行维持利率不变，能源与气候风险令通胀仍偏上行

Neon-lit policy document being signed with a glowing pen, with a neon stock-chart backdrop in blue and pink.

拉加德发出警讯：ECB 7月按兵不动，但通胀风险仍偏上行。能源价若长期高企恐引爆二轮效应；极端天气推高食品价，油价回落仍待评估。

Written on July 23, 2026 at 5:57 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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