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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

10月回顾与11月展望

10月地缘与宏观共振：停火与对俄制裁扰动油金；中美关税博弈后转向框架；美联储降息提振风险偏好，股指创新高，11月警惕高估值回撤。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 1:31 am
Categories: Monthly Market Insights

九月月度回顾

央行政策分化加剧：美联储降息预期反复、美元波动上升，欧央行偏谨慎、日银退出超宽松；黄金白银走强，原油区间震荡，美股创新高，加密资产静待宽松催化。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 1:29 am
Categories: Monthly Market Insights

美伊霍尔木兹谈判陷入僵局推升油价，布伦特升至每桶90美元并带动柴油溢价走高

霍尔木兹重开协议前景转淡，补偿条件拉锯推升冲突溢价；布油逼近90美元、柴油涨至1350。炼厂遇袭叠加停运收紧供应，期权与裂解价差布局受关注。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 1:27 am
Categories: Live Updates

8月月度市场洞察

淡季成交量回落难掩风险：鲍威尔偏鸽推升降息定价，美元走弱、日元套息回撤；美股AI驱动创新高但估值承压；黄金震荡、油价受地缘拉锯；Ripple案落槌提振加密合规预期。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 1:26 am
Categories: Monthly Market Insights

美元指数守在99.80附近，CPI、PPI与美联储利率预期定价引发突破风险

Neon-lit $100 bill overlaid with a rising stock chart, symbolizing financial growth. A neon chart colors the bill to suggest market gains.

美元指数99.80窄幅盘整，夹在99.50均线与100关口，随CPI/PPI及联储发言或将突破；市场9月会议几乎50/50，加息预期偏鹰，守99.50仍偏多。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 12:28 am
Categories: Live Updates

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