今日分析

7

May 2026

美元企稳，伊朗协议希望渐淡

美伊14点备忘录传进展，美元指数跌至两月低后在98附近横摆；特朗普称对话良好但仍警告军事行动，避险与降息预期拉锯，技术偏弱守97.74。

7

May 2026

澳元/美元维持高位，风险偏好升温

澳元逼近四年高位：风险偏好回暖、油价回落与RBA加息预期撑盘，AUD/USD报0.7243；但2017年来首现贸易逆差，后市突破需警惕基本面转弱。

6

May 2026

标普500指数在AI热潮与伊朗和平希望推动下走高

AI财报+美伊和谈双引擎点燃风险偏好：标普500冲7313再创新高；AMD指引超预期领涨半导体，油价跌3.3%压通胀，后市盯7325突破。

6

May 2026

铜价上涨，伊朗和平希望提振金属市场

铜价冲上6.00关口：美伊和谈预期提振风险偏好、美元走弱与油价回落；中国复市买盘叠加AI数据中心长期用铜需求，LME与沪铜齐扬。

5

May 2026

XRP守住1.40美元附近，市场情绪转向

XRP回暖至1.40美元附近，月涨7%但年跌32%。Ripple亮相2026比特币大会，带动资金回流。技术面拉锯，关键看1.406突破或1.386失守。

5

May 2026

黄金在4,540美元附近企稳

金价回调后反弹0.5%至4542美元，关键看美联储前瞻指引是否仍偏降息。油价若长期100美元上方，或压制黄金冲5000美元。技术面4510成多空分水岭。

4

May 2026

油价守在102美元上方，霍尔木兹海峡风险加剧

油价重返102美元上方，霍尔木兹海峡油轮遇袭叠加伊朗警告美军，“自由计划”护航恐引爆冲突；市场重估供应中断与保险飙升风险溢价。

4

May 2026

日元飙升，干预风险再现

日元突发急升0.75%引爆干预猜测，美元/日元跌至155.70附近。黄金周流动性偏低放大波动；但要扭转趋势，关键仍看美日利差与美方配合。

30

Apr 2026

伊朗遇袭风险升温，油价飙升

油价飙涨引爆通胀警报：布伦特冲上123美元、WTI破109，市场改为定价伊朗冲突升级与霍尔木兹受限；OPEC+小幅增产恐难压价。

30

Apr 2026

美元守住涨幅，美联储转趋鹰派

美元靠近99强势不退？美联储维持3.50%-3.75%却现1992来最多4票反对，立场转鹰；市场排除今年降息，并计价2027加息；伊朗风险推避险与油价通胀。

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