今日分析

14

May 2026

美元走强，市场重燃对美联储加息的押注

通胀升温+美债收益率走高，美元指数逼近98.48，本周涨逾0.6%或创伊朗战以来最强。FedWatch押注12月加息概率升至31.8%，人民币连8日走强，紧盯特习峰会风险。

14

May 2026

甲骨文凭借 AI 订单积压支撑资本开支

甲骨文股价冲上189.98美元，Wedbush称AI资本开支有订单与长期合约撑腰，capex/RPO仅9%远低同业；但高通胀与利率偏高或压制估值续涨。

13

May 2026

英伟达股价攀升，中国谈判提振AI前景信心

黄仁勋随特朗普访华消息引爆市场，英伟达升至221美元；但中国营收几乎归零。5月20日财报料营收+79%、EPS+119%，政策信号成关键催化。

13

May 2026

以太坊在宏观压力加剧下测试2,300美元

以太坊冲关2,300再受挫：短线偏弱，需站回2,320/2,335才像反弹；失守2,250恐下探2,200。宏观risk-off与美国《CLARITY法案》审议成关键变量。

12

May 2026

布伦特原油走高，霍尔木兹风险再现

油价反弹，布伦特105美元、WTI 99美元；中东紧张与霍尔木兹风险溢价回归。美中会谈压制需求预期，API/EIA库存与OPEC+限产成短线关键。

12

May 2026

XRP守住1.45美元，做空压力与政策风险升温

XRP守1.45美元却跌0.96%，币安资金费率连负埋“轧空”伏笔；参议院5月14日审CLARITY法案，若破1.57阻力，或复制2025飙涨行情。

11

May 2026

日经指数回落，伊朗风险冲击创纪录涨势

冲高新高却急转弯？日经225受中东风险与油价飙升拖累回落，Topix逆势小涨。AI景气与强劲业绩仍撑盘，但高位震荡、选股更关键。

11

May 2026

英镑承压，美元买盘回流

英镑兑美元跌0.35%至1.3582，美元受美联储偏鹰与中东避险、油价走高支撑。英央行抗通胀限跌；唯有站稳1.3635才算重启升势。

8

May 2026

金价在4,700美元持稳，关注非农就业数据与地缘政治风险

美伊冲突与霍尔木兹风险推高油价，黄金仅小涨至4,700美元仍受强美元与高利率压制；今晚非农将定调美联储预期与金油走向。

8

May 2026

美元/日元徘徊在157.00附近，静待美国非农就业数据

美元/日元回落至157附近，传日本趁假期低流动性再度干预撑日元，美元反弹受限。今晚美国非农来袭，或改写美联储降息预期与汇率走向。

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