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今日分析

29

May 2026

停火希望升温缓解油价冲击，金价反弹

金价反弹至4,514美元，传美伊延长停火、放宽霍尔木兹航运提振情绪；但本月或跌2.4%、三个月回落15%，高利率预期仍压制走势。

29

May 2026

美元走软，霍尔木兹协议希望降温削弱避险需求

美伊或延长停火60天、放宽霍尔木兹航运，风险溢价回落压低美元：USDX徘徊99附近，本周料跌0.3%止连涨；油价周挫逾9%削弱支撑，但高通胀仍托底与限制跌幅。

28

May 2026

金价下挫，美元走强压力加大

黄金跌破两个月低点：美袭伊朗推升美元与油价、通胀疑虑升温，削弱避险买盘；市场聚焦美国PCE与联储利率路径，XAU/USD回落至4,392。

28

May 2026

日经指数暂歇，亚洲轮动降温令涨势放缓

日经225冲高后降温，回落0.3%仍守6.5万点。今年累涨29%引发估值忧虑，科技股获利回吐拖累；油价与美伊消息成关键变数，短线或区间震荡。

26

May 2026

油价风险考验美联储前景，金价走低

黄金跌破每盎司4,550美元，XAU/USD报4,542.82挫0.61%。中东风险未必撑金，油价通胀牵动加息预期；市场押12月加息56%，金价恐续承压。

26

May 2026

标普500指数守住高位，伊朗协议憧憬提振风险偏好

美伊谈判升温，市场押注霍尔木兹海峡或30天后重开，压低通胀与油价预期，带动美股期货走高；标普现回调至7,530，仍守上升趋势。

25

May 2026

日经指数突破65,000点，油价风险缓解

日经225假期淡市放量狂飙，首破6.5万点涨3%；特朗普称美伊谈判建设性，油价崩5%助日本降进口通胀；但金价仍站上4560美元，避险未退。

25

May 2026

USDCNH下跌，人民币创三年新高

人民币飙三年新高：美伊谈判憧憬霍尔木兹重开压油价、美元转弱，USDCNH跌至6.7812；央行中间价偏强但仍“稳汇率”，防升值过快冲击出口与资金流。

22

May 2026

欧元区PMI萎缩，欧元兑美元走弱

欧元/美元跌至1.1604逼近4月低位；欧元区PMI降至47.5现滞胀阴影。德数据撑盘，但市场仍押注ECB年底前加息两次，油价与美元成关键变量。

22

May 2026

日经指数反弹，英伟达提振科技股

英伟达财报点燃AI行情，亚洲股市齐升；日经225飙至63,234逼近新高。油价与美伊和谈、日央行通胀抉择成变数，关注63,817突破。

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