{"id":52543,"date":"2026-07-28T19:07:34","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T19:07:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/52543\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T19:07:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T19:07:34","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e5%93%a5%e5%80%ab%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9e%e6%8a%ab%e7%b4%a2%e6%96%bc%e6%8e%a5%e8%bf%912019%e5%b9%b4%e4%bd%8e%e4%bd%8d%e4%bc%81%e7%a9%a9%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e8%81%9a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/52543\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u62ab\u7d22\u65bc\u63a5\u8fd12019\u5e74\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u805a\u7126\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u53ca\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u592e\u884c\uff08BanRep\uff09\u8b70\u606f\uff0c\u54e5\u570b\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u5347\u6eab"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/COP \u73fe\u5831 3,204.9\uff0c\u8655\u65bc\u7d04 2019 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u672a\u898b\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u5468\u4e00\u6536\u5e02\u5831 3,191.5\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u5728\u7d04\u5341\u5468\u5167\u7d2f\u8dcc 16%\u30027 \u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\u70ba 3,186.3\u3002\u5468\u4e8c\u8d70\u52e2\u5c6c 0.42% \u6280\u8853\u6027\u53cd\u5f48\uff1b13 \u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08EMA\uff09\u4f4d\u65bc 3,237\uff0c\u81ea 5 \u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u4ee5\u4f86\u4e00\u76f4\u9650\u5236\u53cd\u5f48\u5e45\u5ea6\uff0c\u65e5\u7dda\u96a8\u6a5f RSI\uff08Stoch RSI\uff09\u5831 86.51\u30022026 \u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u70ba 5 \u6708 19 \u65e5\u7684 3,800.73\u3002\u5f8c\u7e8c\u50ac\u5316\u56e0\u7d20\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\u660e\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u592e\u884c\uff08BanRep\uff09\u5247\u65bc\u5468\u4e94\u8b70\u606f\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u70ba 3.50\u20133.75%\uff1bCME FedWatch \u986f\u793a\u7d04\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u6a5f\u6703\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3001\u7d04\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0a\u8abf\u81f3 3.75\u20134.00%\u3002\u6574\u9ad4 CPI \u70ba 3.5%\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3 CPI \u70ba 2.6%\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3 PCE 5 \u6708\u70ba 3.4%\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff09\u73fe\u5831 101.511\uff08\u524d\u503c 101.640\uff09\uff0cStoch RSI 99.89\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\uff08DANE\uff09\u516c\u5e03 6 \u6708\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6309\u5e74 CPI\uff08IPC\uff09\u5347 6.14%\uff0c\u7576\u4e2d\u9910\u5ef3\u8207\u9152\u5e97\u5347 9.59% \u53ca\u91ab\u7642\u5347 8.39% \u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u63a8\u624b\uff0c\u800c\u300c\u4f4f\u5bbf\u3001\u6c34\u52d9\u3001\u96fb\u529b\u53ca\u71c3\u6c23\u300d\u5347 5.02%\u3002\u5c0d\u6307\u6578\u8ca2\u737b\u6700\u5927\u9805\u76ee\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u63d0\u4f9b\u9910\u684c\u670d\u52d9\u53ca\u81ea\u52a9\u5f0f\u9910\u98f2\u7684\u81b3\u98df\u5408\u5171\u8ca2\u737b 0.74 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff08pp\uff09\u3001\u81ea\u4f4f\u623f\u79df\u91d1\uff08imputed rent\uff09\u8ca2\u737b 0.62pp\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u57ce\u5e02\u4ea4\u901a\u8ca2\u737b 0.51pp\u3002\u670d\u52d9\u5728\u7c43\u5b50\u4e2d\u4f54\u6b0a\u91cd 57.46%\uff0c\u6309\u6708\u5347 0.29%\uff1b\u8010\u7528\u54c1\u6b0a\u91cd 4.92%\uff0c\u6309\u6708\u8dcc 0.12%\u3002\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u901a\u8139\u70ba 4.77%\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4 2025 \u5e74\u540c\u671f\u70ba 3.74%\u3002BanRep \u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u73fe\u70ba 12.00%\uff0c\u81ea 2 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u7d2f\u8a08\u52a0\u606f 275 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08bp\uff09\uff1b\u6309 6.14% \u901a\u8139\u8a08\uff0c\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\uff08ex-post real rate\uff09\u7d04\u70ba 5.86%\u3002\u6280\u8853\u4f4d\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u963b\u529b\u898b 3,237.1 \u53ca 3,400\u20133,455\uff1b\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u5148\u770b 3,186.3\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u70ba 2,992.7 \u53ca 2,689.4\u3002WTI \u73fe\u5831 81.28\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4 13 \u65e5 EMA \u70ba 82.43\u3002<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>Technical Overview And Near-Term Trading View<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u95dc\u6ce8 USD\/COP \u65bc 3,204.9 \u9644\u8fd1\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u5c6c 2019 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u672a\u898b\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5468\u6025\u8dcc 16%\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5468\u7dda\u52d5\u80fd\u6975\u5ea6\u8d85\u8ce3\uff08\u96a8\u6a5f RSI \u50c5 1.14\uff09\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u77ed\u7dda\u6216\u51fa\u73fe\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u6307\u5411 3,237 \u6216 3,400 \u963b\u529b\u5340\u3002\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5b9c\u5229\u7528\u9019\u8f2a\u77ed\u66ab\u53cd\u5f48\u90e8\u7f72\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u6cbd\u7a7a\u5009\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u9006\u52e2\u5c0d\u6297\u6574\u9ad4\u4e0b\u884c\u8da8\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u672c\u5468\u95dc\u9375\u50ac\u5316\u56e0\u7d20\u70ba\u660e\u65e5\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u6703\u8b70\u53ca\u5468\u4e94 BanRep \u8b70\u606f\u3002\u73fe\u6642 CME FedWatch \u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u65bc 3.50\u20133.75% \u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u7d04 66%\uff0c\u60df\u4e00\u65e6\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u9df9\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u5c07\u8fc5\u901f\u63a8\u5347\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9810\u671f BanRep \u70ba\u61c9\u5c0d\u4ecd\u7136\u504f\u97cc\u7684\u5167\u9700\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u6216\u628a\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8abf\u81f3 12.50%\u3002<\/p>\n\n&#8212;\n\n<h3>Inflation Drivers And Options Strategy<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u90e8\u5206\u5206\u6790\u8a8d\u70ba\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u901a\u8139\u53ea\u662f\u77ed\u66ab\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u4f46 DANE \u6700\u65b0\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5167\u751f\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u624d\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u58d3\u529b\u4f86\u6e90\u3002\u9910\u5ef3\u901a\u8139\u9054 9.59%\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\u5c0d\u6307\u6578\u589e\u52a0 0.62 \u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u901a\u8139\u5177\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u7279\u5fb5\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u9054 5.86%\uff0c\u5c0d\u62ab\u7d22\uff08COP\uff09\u5177\u6301\u7e8c\u652f\u6301\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u671f\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5efa\u8b70\u4ee5\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u5143\/\u62ab\u7d22\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call\uff09\u5c0d\u6c96\u6216\u628a\u63e1\u5feb\u901f\u62bd\u5347\u81f3 3,237 \u963b\u529b\u7dda\u7684\u300c\u64e0\u5009\u300d\u884c\u60c5\uff1b\u5f85\u53cd\u5f48\u4e4f\u529b\u5f8c\uff0c\u8f03\u504f\u597d\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u9577\u5e74\u671f\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u6355\u6349 2,800\u20133,000 \u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u652f\u6301\u5340\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u9ad8\u606f\u5dee\uff08carry\uff09\u8655\u65bc\u6975\u7aef\u6c34\u5e73\u6642\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4ee4\u62ab\u7d22\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u52e2\uff0c\u4ee4\u53cd\u5f48\u66f4\u50be\u5411\u6210\u70ba\u53ef\u6cbd\u51fa\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u9ede\u64ca<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/trade-now\/\">\u6b64\u8655<\/a>\u958b\u8a2d\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/COP\u8dcc\u81f33,205\u52752019\u5e747\u6708\u5f8c\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u5341\u5468\u7d2f\u632b16%\uff0c\u56e0\u8d85\u8ce3\u73fe\u6280\u8853\u53cd\u5f48\uff1b\u7126\u9ede\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8207BanRep\u8b70\u606f\u3002\u963b\u529b3,237\/3,400\uff0c\u53cd\u5f48\u5b9c\u4f3a\u9ad8\u7e8c\u6cbd\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50601,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta 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content=\"\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u62ab\u7d22\u65bc\u63a5\u8fd12019\u5e74\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u805a\u7126\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u53ca\u54e5\u502b\u6bd4\u4e9e\u592e\u884c\uff08BanRep\uff09\u8b70\u606f\uff0c\u54e5\u570b\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u5347\u6eab - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"USD\/COP\u8dcc\u81f33,205\u52752019\u5e747\u6708\u5f8c\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u5341\u5468\u7d2f\u632b16%\uff0c\u56e0\u8d85\u8ce3\u73fe\u6280\u8853\u53cd\u5f48\uff1b\u7126\u9ede\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8207BanRep\u8b70\u606f\u3002\u963b\u529b3,237\/3,400\uff0c\u53cd\u5f48\u5b9c\u4f3a\u9ad8\u7e8c\u6cbd\u3002\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/52543\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-28T19:07:34+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-28T19:07:34+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" 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