{"id":51742,"date":"2026-07-16T14:30:39","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T14:30:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/51742\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T14:30:39","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T14:30:39","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e5%8a%a0%e5%85%83%e4%bc%81%e7%a9%a9%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e9%80%9a%e8%84%b9%e6%94%be%e7%b7%a9%e5%8f%8a%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e6%8c%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/51742\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u52a0\u5143\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u53d7\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u8139\u653e\u7de9\u53ca\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u52a0\u570b\u52a0\u606f\u9810\u671f\u964d\u6eab"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD \u5728\u7f8e\u570b 6 \u6708 CPI \u53ca PPI \u6578\u64da\u504f\u8edf\u5f8c\uff0c\u6b63\u6574\u56fa\u8fd1\u671f\u8dcc\u52e2\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\uff08BoC\uff09\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u5c07\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u65bc 2.25%\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u65b0\u9810\u6e2c\u986f\u793a\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\uff08Q3\uff09\u6309\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u70ba 2%\u3002\u592e\u884c\u4ea6\u9810\u671f\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u5be6\u8cea GDP \u6309\u5e74\u5316\u5b63\u5ea6\u589e\u901f\u5c07\u7531\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\uff08Q2\uff09\u7684 2.5% \u653e\u6162\u81f3\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u7684 1.5%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d93\u4fee\u8a02\u7684\u5c55\u671b\u610f\u5473\u6536\u7dca\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8feb\u5207\u6027\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d BoC \u5f8c\u7e8c\u884c\u52d5\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u4ecd\u6709\u8abf\u6574\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u9810\u671f\u5df2\u53cd\u6620\u672a\u4f86 12 \u500b\u6708\u7d04 50 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u7684\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7d93\u6fdf\u8655\u65bc\u4f9b\u61c9\u904e\u5269\uff08excess supply\uff09\u7684\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u5e02\u5834\u61c9\u4e0b\u8abf\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002\u5831\u544a\u4ea6\u63d0\u5230\uff0cBoC \u5728\u6e9d\u901a\u4e0a\u5c07\u964d\u4f4e\u5c0d\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff08forward guidance\uff09\u7684\u8457\u58a8\u3002<\/p>\n

BoC \u653f\u7b56\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u5f71\u97ff<\/h3>\n

\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u8139\u5831\u544a\u8f49\u51b7\u5f8c\uff0cUSD\/CAD \u6b63\u6574\u56fa\u8fd1\u671f\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u70ba\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u7b56\u7565\u6027\u7a97\u53e3\u3002\u96a8\u7740\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u628a\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7a69\u5b9a\u5728 2.25%\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5e74\u518d\u6536\u7dca 50 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u7684\u9810\u671f\u8b8a\u5f97\u6108\u4f86\u6108\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5c07\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u9010\u6b65\u524a\u6e1b\u52a0\u606f\u62bc\u6ce8\uff0c\u9019\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u52a0\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u8207\u532f\u5e02\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n

\u53c3\u8003\u6b77\u53f2\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u7576\u5e02\u5834\u4ee5\u5982\u6b64\u5e45\u5ea6\u5254\u9664\u592e\u884c\u9df9\u6d3e\u5b9a\u50f9\u6642\uff0c\u672c\u5e63\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb6\u503c\u7d04 1.5% \u81f3 2%\u3002\u76ee\u524d USD\/CAD \u4e00\u500b\u6708\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u63a5\u8fd1\u504f\u5e73\u975c\u7684 6.0%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u671f\u6b0a\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u76f8\u5c0d\u4fbf\u5b9c\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5efa\u8b70\u628a\u63e1\u6b64\u4f4e\u5b9a\u50f9\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165 USD\/CAD \u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff09\uff0c\u90e8\u7f72\u532f\u50f9\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u4ea6\u652f\u6301\u4e0a\u8ff0\u89c0\u9ede\uff1a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927 GDP \u4e0b\u5b63\u6599\u7531 2.5% \u653e\u6162\u81f3 1.5%\uff0c\u800c\u7d93\u6fdf\u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u4f9b\u61c9\u904e\u5269\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u53ef\u5728 2% \u76ee\u6a19\u9644\u8fd1\u4fdd\u6301\u6eab\u548c\uff0c\u672a\u898b\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u8981\u4fc3\u4f7f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u52a0\u5feb\u6536\u7dca\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5efa\u8b70\u900f\u904e\u5efa\u7acb\u725b\u5e02\u8a8d\u8cfc\u5dee\u50f9\u7b56\u7565\uff08bull call spreads\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u6cbd\u51fa\u52a0\u5143\u671f\u8ca8\uff08CAD futures\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u5229\u7387\u5c55\u671b\u8f49\u8b8a\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u9ede\u64ca\u6b64\u8655<\/a>\u958b\u8a2d\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u8139\u964d\u6eab\u3001BoC \u7e8c\u6309 2.25% \u89c0\u671b\uff1aUSD\/CAD \u6574\u56fa\u8dcc\u52e2\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u6216\u4e0b\u8abf\u672a\u4f86 12 \u500b\u6708 50 \u9ede\u5b50\u52a0\u606f\u5b9a\u50f9\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a IV \u50c5 6%\uff0c\u5b9c\u8d81\u4f4e\u8cb7\u8a8d\u8cfc\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50625,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51742\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50625"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}