{"id":51504,"date":"2026-07-08T11:31:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T11:31:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/51504\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T11:31:03","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T11:31:03","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%9b%9e%e8%bb%9f%e3%80%81fomc%e6%9c%83%e8%ad%b0%e7%b4%80%e8%a6%81%e5%85%ac%e5%b8%83%e5%89%8d%e9%87%91%e5%83%b9%e5%ae%88%e6%96%bc4100%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bb%a5%e4%b8%8a%e3%80%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/51504\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u8edf\u3001FOMC\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u91d1\u50f9\u5b88\u65bc4,100\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3000\u6cb9\u50f9\u63a8\u5347\u901a\u8139\u6182\u616e\u9650\u5236\u5347\u5e45"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5468\u4e09\u6b50\u6d32\u65e9\u6bb5\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u7dad\u6301\u65bc4,100\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7f8e\u570b6\u6708FOMC\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\u516c\u5e03\u524d\uff0c\u96a8\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u8edf\u800c\u9304\u5f97\u7684\u6eab\u548c\u5347\u5e45\u96e3\u4ee5\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u64f4\u5927\u3002\u91d1\u50f9\u5468\u4e00\u66fe\u4e0a\u8a664,200\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u3001\u89f8\u53ca\u5169\u5468\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u800c\u6574\u9ad4\u5b8f\u89c0\u80cc\u666f\u4ea6\u4ee4\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u56e0\u7d20\u70ba\u5e02\u6cc1\u589e\u6dfb\u8b8a\u6578\uff1a\u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u6709\u5831\u9053\u6307\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u4e09\u8258\u6cb9\u8f2a\u9047\u8972\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u767c\u52d5\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u7a7a\u8972\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u83ef\u5e9c\u4ea6\u63a8\u52d5\u64a4\u56de\u4e00\u9805\u66fe\u5bb9\u8a31\u4f0a\u6717\u5728\u570b\u969b\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u552e\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u8c41\u514d\uff0c\u5e36\u52d5\u539f\u6cb9\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u4e26\u91cd\u65b0\u9ede\u71c3\u7531\u80fd\u6e90\u63a8\u52d5\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6182\u616e\uff0c\u8207\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u300c\u9ad8\u606f\u7dad\u6301\u66f4\u9577\u6642\u9593\u300d\uff08higher for longer\uff09\u7684\u53d6\u614b\u76f8\u547c\u61c9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5229\u7387\u5b9a\u50f9\u4ecd\u5c0d\u7121\u606f\u8cc7\u7522\u9ec3\u91d1\u4e0d\u5229\u3002CME Group\u7684FedWatch\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u81f3\u5c11\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b2125\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08bps\uff09\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u8a55\u4f30\u8d85\u904e80%\uff1b\u50b5\u606f\u4ea6\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u58314.567%\uff0c\u5169\u5e74\u671f\u58314.189%\u3002\u6280\u8853\u9762\u65b9\u9762\uff0cXAU\/USD\u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u4e0b\u884c\u901a\u9053\u5167\uff0c\u4e26\u4f4e\u65bc200\u65e5\u7c21\u55ae\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08SMA\uff09\uff1bMACD\u8f49\u70ba\u6b63\u503c\uff0c\u4f46RSI\u4ecd\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u583144.33\u3002\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u898b\u65bc4,164.35\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u963b\u529b\u70ba200\u65e5SMA\u7d044,491.30\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u7d04\u57283,713.85\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u61c9\u8207\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u504f\u9df9\u524d\u666f<\/h3>\n

\u5728\u73fe\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u91d1\u50f9\u8fd1\u671f\u8f49\u5f37\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u6cbd\u552e\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u5347\u6d6a\u7684\u8d77\u9ede\u3002\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5730\u7de3\u7dca\u5f35\u66f4\u80fd\u63d0\u5347\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u52dd\u65bc\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u63d0\u632f\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u91d1\u50f9\u51fa\u73fe\u986f\u8457\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u8cc7\u6599\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u502b\u6566\u52de\u5408\u793e\uff08Lloyd\u2019s of London\uff09\u525b\u5c07\u5340\u5167\u6cb9\u8f2a\u6230\u722d\u98a8\u96aa\u4fdd\u96aa\u4fdd\u8cbb\u4e0a\u8abf35%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u9019\u7a2e\u5229\u597d\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u4ecd\u5c07\u6301\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u6025\u5347\u2014\u2014\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u671f\u6cb9\u73fe\u6642\u70ba\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u5347\u7a7f\u6bcf\u6876115\u7f8e\u5143\u2014\u2014\u76f4\u63a5\u5f37\u5316\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u300c\u9ad8\u606f\u66f4\u4e45\u300d\u7684\u6558\u4e8b\u3002\u6b64\u60c5\u6cc1\u767c\u751f\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u9811\u56fa\u7dad\u6301\u57283.9%\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u6df1\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u518d\u5ea6\u51fa\u73fe\u7269\u50f9\u58d3\u529b\u7684\u6182\u616e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u76f8\u4fe1\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5c07\u65bc\u590f\u5b63\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9df9\u7acb\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9\u4ea6\u53cd\u6620\u6b64\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u6b63\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\uff1a\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u671f\u8ca8\u73fe\u986f\u793a9\u6708\u8b70\u606f\u6703\u8b70\u52a0\u606f25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u7d0465%\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u9810\u671f\u4ee4\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u7a69\u5b884.5\u5398\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6210\u672c\u4ee4\u6a5f\u69cb\u8cc7\u91d1\u6301\u6709\u7121\u606f\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\u7ba1\u7406<\/h3>\n

\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u662f\u628a\u91d1\u50f9\u6bcf\u6b21\u53cd\u5f48\u81f3\u901a\u9053\u963b\u529b\u7d044,164\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u8996\u70ba\u5efa\u7acb\u770b\u6de1\u5009\u4f4d\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u6cbd\u51fa8\u6708\u5230\u671f\u3001\u50f9\u5916\uff08out-of-the-money\uff09\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\uff08call spread\uff09\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u98a8\u96aa\u53ef\u63a7\uff08risk-defined\uff09\u4e14\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u82e5\u91d1\u50f9\u5728\u963b\u529b\u4e0b\u65b9\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u8a72\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u540c\u6642\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u843d\u53ca\u6642\u9593\u503c\u8017\u640d\uff08theta\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6ce2\u5e45\u4ea6\u6b63\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\uff0cCboe\u9ec3\u91d1\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff08GVZ\uff09\u56de\u5347\u81f322.5\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u6b63\u70ba\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\u4f5c\u6e96\u5099\u3002\u70ba\u6355\u6349\u6f5b\u5728\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ea6\u8003\u616e\u90e8\u7f72\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\u718a\u5e02\u50f9\u5dee\uff08bear put spread\uff09\uff1a\u8cb7\u5165\u884c\u4f7f\u50f94,000\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u6cbd\u51fa\u884c\u4f7f\u50f93,800\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u53ef\u6e05\u6670\u9396\u5b9a\u5411\u4e0b\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u5c0d\u6e96\u73fe\u6709\u50f9\u683c\u901a\u9053\u7684\u4e0b\u7de3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c0d\u65bc\u4ecd\u6301\u6709\u9577\u5009\u8005\uff0c\u5c0d\u6c96\u91d1\u50f9\u4e0b\u8a66\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u7d043,715\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u5c6c\u5be9\u614e\u4e4b\u8209\u3002\u8cb7\u51659\u6708\u5230\u671f\u7684\u4fdd\u8b77\u6027\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08protective puts\uff09\u53ef\u70ba\u4e0b\u7834\u60c5\u666f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4fdd\u96aa\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u5be9\u614e\u81f3\u770b\u6de1\u7684\u53d6\u614b\uff0c\u76f4\u81f3\u91d1\u50f9\u80fd\u6709\u529b\u7a81\u7834\u4e26\u4f01\u7a69\u65bc\u95dc\u9375200\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u4e4b\u4e0a\u2014\u2014\u8a72\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u9060\u57284,491\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u9ede\u64ca\u6b64\u8655<\/a>\u958b\u8a2d\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u91d1\u50f9\u5b884,100\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u60df\u4e0a\u884c\u4e4f\u529b\uff1b\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u7dca\u5f35\u63a8\u6cb9\u50f9\u7834115\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u91cd\u71c3\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u300c\u9ad8\u606f\u66f4\u4e45\u300d\u58d3\u5236\u7121\u606f\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002\u7b56\u7565\uff1a4,164\u963b\u529b\u6cbd\u53cd\u5f48\u3001\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\u6355\u6349\u4e0b\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50770,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51504"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51504\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}