{"id":51413,"date":"2026-07-07T01:00:53","date_gmt":"2026-07-07T01:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/51413\/"},"modified":"2026-07-07T01:00:53","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T01:00:53","slug":"%e9%9a%a8%e7%9d%80-opec-%e5%a2%9e%e7%94%a2%e5%8f%8a%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e4%be%9b%e6%87%89%e6%bf%80%e5%a2%9e%ef%bc%8c%e5%8e%9f%e6%b2%b9%e3%80%8c%e6%88%b0%e7%88%ad%e6%ba%a2%e5%83%b9%e3%80%8d%e6%b6%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/51413\/","title":{"rendered":"\u96a8\u7740 OPEC+ \u589e\u7522\u53ca\u7f8e\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u300c\u6230\u722d\u6ea2\u50f9\u300d\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u53d7\u58d3\u4e0b\u8dcc"},"content":{"rendered":"

WTI \u904e\u53bb\u4e09\u661f\u671f\u5df2\u5b8c\u5168\u62b9\u53bb\u300c\u6230\u722d\u6ea2\u50f9\u300d\uff0c\u73fe\u65bc\u7d04\u6bcf\u6876 68.50 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u4ea6\u8cbc\u8fd1 72.00 \u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u5169\u8005\u5747\u8f03\u6230\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8\u51fa\u7d04\u5169\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u8f03 3 \u6708\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\u63a5\u8fd1 40%\u3002\u5728 6 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u83ef\u76db\u9813\u8207\u5fb7\u9ed1\u862d\u9054\u6210\u81e8\u6642\u5354\u8b70\u5f8c\uff0c\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u822a\u904b\u5df2\u56de\u5fa9\u6b63\u5e38\uff0c\u96a8\u7740\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u6ce2\u5e45\u6536\u7a84\u3002\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u2014WTI \u50f9\u5dee\u5df2\u7a69\u5b9a\u65bc\u7d04 3.50 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u56de\u6b78\u4ee5\u904b\u8cbb\u53ca\u6cb9\u8cea\u5dee\u7570\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002<\/p>\n\n

OPEC+ \u5df2\u540c\u610f\u628a 8 \u6708\u914d\u984d\u4e0a\u8abf 18.8 \u842c\u6876\/\u65e5\uff0c\u5ef6\u7e8c\u885d\u7a81\u4ee5\u4f86\u8a08\u5283\u5408\u5171\u6062\u5fa9 94 \u842c\u6876\/\u65e5\u7684\u589e\u7522\u6b65\u4f10\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6d77\u7063\u5730\u5340\u7522\u91cf\u5728\u9ad8\u5cf0\u671f\u56e0\u5e72\u64fe\u6d41\u5931\u7d04 600 \u842c\u6876\/\u65e5\u5f8c\u6b63\u6301\u7e8c\u56de\u5347\u3002\u963f\u806f\u914b\u5df2\u9000\u51fa\u914d\u984d\u5236\u5ea6\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b\u6b63\u6d88\u5316\u5408\u5171\u91cb\u653e 1.72 \u5104\u6876\u7684\u6230\u7565\u77f3\u6cb9\u5132\u5099\uff08SPR\uff09\uff0c\u800c 5 \u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u672c\u571f\u7522\u91cf\u4ea6\u5347\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1 1,400 \u842c\u6876\/\u65e5\u7684\u7d00\u9304\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u9060\u671f\u66f2\u7dda\u8f49\u70ba\u671f\u8ca8\u5347\u6c34\uff08contango\uff09\uff0c6 \u500b\u6708\u50f9\u5dee\u7d04\u70ba\u8ca0 56 \u7f8e\u4ed9\uff1bOPEC \u4ea6\u628a 2026 \u5e74\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u9577\u9810\u6e2c\u4e0b\u8abf\u81f3\u4e0d\u8db3 100 \u842c\u6876\/\u65e5\u3002\u5f8c\u7e8c\u7126\u9ede\u5305\u62ec\u5468\u4e09 14:30 GMT \u516c\u5e03\u7684 EIA \u5eab\u5b58\u300118:00 GMT \u7684 FOMC \u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca 8 \u6708 2 \u65e5\u7684 OPEC+ \u6703\u8b70\uff1b\u95dc\u9375\u6280\u8853\u4f4d\u65b9\u9762\uff0cWTI \u963b\u529b\u5728 70.00 \u53ca 72.00 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u963b\u529b\u5728 74.00 \u7f8e\u5143\uff1bWTI \u652f\u6301\u5728 67.50\u300165.00 \u4ee5\u53ca 2 \u6708\u5e95\u90e8\u9644\u8fd1\u7684 62.00 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u652f\u6301\u5728 66.50 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u4f9b\u6c42\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u51fa\u73fe\u8f49\u5411<\/h3>\n\n

\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u4e2d\u7684\u6230\u722d\u6ea2\u50f9\u5df2\u5b8c\u5168\u84b8\u767c\uff0c\u4ee4 WTI \u56de\u843d\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1 2 \u6708\u5e95\u90e8\u7d04 68.50 \u7f8e\u5143\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u518d\u4ee5\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u6050\u614c\u4f5c\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u4ea4\u6613\u908f\u8f2f\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u88ab\u8feb\u56de\u5230\u55ae\u7d14\u7684\u4f9b\u6c42\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u3002\u4ee5\u6211\u5011\u7684\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u50f9\u683c\u963b\u529b\u8f03\u5c0f\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u504f\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u4f9b\u61c9\u6b63\u5f9e\u591a\u500b\u65b9\u5411\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5c0d\u6cb9\u50f9\u69cb\u6210\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0cOPEC+ \u5c0d\u7522\u91cf\u914d\u984d\u7684\u5c65\u7d04\u60c5\u6cc1\u8f49\u5dee\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u6838\u5fc3\u6210\u54e1\u63d0\u9ad8\u7522\u91cf\u4ee5\u722d\u53d6\u5e02\u5834\u4efd\u984d\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ecd\u5728\u91cb\u653e SPR\uff0c\u570b\u5167\u7522\u91cf\u4ea6\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u6bcf\u65e5 1,400 \u842c\u6876\u7684\u7d00\u9304\u9ad8\u4f4d\u9644\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u8a0a\u865f\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u4f86\u81ea\u4e3b\u8981\u6d88\u8cbb\u5730\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u6700\u65b0\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI \u8dcc\u7a7f 50\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5de5\u5ee0\u6d3b\u52d5\u6536\u7e2e\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u52de\u5de5\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u7b97\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u5931\u696d\u7387\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3 4.1%\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5206\u6790\u54e1\u4e0b\u8abf\u5c0d\u590f\u5b63\u99d5\u99db\u65fa\u5b63\u9700\u6c42\u9ad8\u5cf0\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5e02\u5834\u6301\u5009\u8207\u524d\u666f<\/h3>\n\n

\u671f\u8ca8\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u78ba\u8a8d\u4e0a\u8ff0\u504f\u6de1\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u66f2\u7dda\u73fe\u5df2\u660e\u986f\u8655\u65bc\u671f\u8ca8\u5347\u6c34\uff08contango\uff09\u30022026 \u5e74 12 \u6708\u5408\u7d04\u8f03\u8fd1\u6708\u5408\u7d04\u6ea2\u50f9\u903e 1.00 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u5e02\u5834\u9858\u610f\u4ee5\u8f03\u9ad8\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u9060\u6708\u3001\u7b49\u540c\u300c\u4ed8\u8cbb\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u5132\u6cb9\u300d\u3002\u9019\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u4f9b\u61c9\u904e\u5269\u3001\u5373\u671f\u8cb7\u76e4\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\u660e\u78ba\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u57fa\u65bc\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8996 WTI \u53cd\u5f48\u81f3 70.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u6c34\u5e73\u9644\u8fd1\u70ba\u5efa\u7acb\u504f\u6de1\u90e8\u7f72\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u8cb7\u5165\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u4f4e\u65bc 67.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put\uff09\u6216\u53ef\u4f5c\u70ba\u6210\u672c\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0b\u8a66 2 \u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7d04 62.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u6cbd\u51fa\u50f9\u5916\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money call\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u5728 72.00 \u7f8e\u5143\u963b\u529b\u4e4b\u4e0a\u5efa\u7acb\u718a\u5e02\u8a8d\u8cfc\u50f9\u5dee\uff08bear call spread\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u4fdd\u6301\u504f\u6de1\u53d6\u5411\u4e0b\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u672c\u5468\u4e09\u7684 EIA \u5eab\u5b58\u5831\u544a\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u50ac\u5316\u5291\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u4e0a\u5468\u6578\u64da\u610f\u5916\u589e\u52a0 310 \u842c\u6876\uff1b\u82e5\u518d\u51fa\u73fe\u986f\u8457\u7d2f\u5eab\uff0c\u5c07\u78ba\u8a8d\u4f9b\u61c9\u904e\u5269\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u6cb9\u50f9\u8dcc\u7a7f\u8fd1\u671f\u652f\u6301\u3002\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e0a\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u504f\u9df9\u53d6\u614b\u4ea6\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u5143\u504f\u5f37\u901a\u5e38\u76f4\u63a5\u5c0d\u6cb9\u50f9\u69cb\u6210\u9006\u98a8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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