{"id":51322,"date":"2026-07-06T03:59:50","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T03:59:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/51322\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T03:59:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T03:59:50","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e6%97%a5%e5%9c%93%e9%80%bc%e8%bf%91161-70%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%8a%bc%e6%b3%a8%e8%81%af%e5%84%b2%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af%e6%94%af%e6%92%90%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/51322\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u903c\u8fd1161.70\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u62bc\u6ce8\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u52a0\u606f\u652f\u6490\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u65e5\u672c\u5e72\u9810\u98a8\u96aa\u5347\u6eab"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\uff08USD\/JPY\uff09\u9023\u5347\u7b2c\u4e8c\u65e5\uff0c\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u6bb5\u65bc161.70\u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6295\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u5728\u9032\u53e3\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e0b\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u65e5\u672c10\u5e74\u671f\u65e5\u672c\u570b\u50b5\uff08JGB\uff09\u5b73\u606f\u7387\u5347\u81f330\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad82.79%\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u4fdd\u6301\u5f37\u52e2\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7e7c\u7e8c\u9810\u671f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u5f8c\u5c07\u591a\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff09\u6cb9\u6d41\u56de\u5fa9\u6b63\u5e38\u4ee4\u901a\u8139\u6182\u616e\u6709\u6240\u964d\u6eab\u3002CME FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u70ba77.3%\uff0c\u7126\u9ede\u8f49\u5411\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u806f\u5132\u5c406\u6708\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u9304\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u5de6\u53f3\u5229\u7387\u9810\u671f\uff1a\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u53e3\uff08Nonfarm Payrolls\uff09\u986f\u793a\u4e0a\u6708\u65b0\u589e\u8077\u4f4d5.7\u842c\u500b\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u768411\u842c\u500b\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4ecd\u75315\u6708\u76844.3%\u5fae\u964d\u81f34.2%\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e3b\u5e2d\u91cd\u7533\u592e\u884c\u81f4\u529b\u7dad\u63012%\u50f9\u683c\u7a69\u5b9a\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u4e26\u6307\u51fa\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u901a\u8139\u98a8\u96aa\u53ca\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u958b\u59cb\u964d\u6eab\u3002\u5927\u5e02\u80cc\u666f\u4ecd\u7531\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u53ca\u5b73\u606f\u5dee\u4e3b\u5c0e\uff1a2013\u81f32024\u5e74\u7684\u8d85\u5bec\u9b06\u53d6\u5411\u4ee4\u65e5\u5713\u53d7\u58d3\uff0c\u800c2024\u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u6e1b\u606f\uff0c\u4ee4\u7f8e\u65e510\u5e74\u671f\u5b73\u606f\u5dee\u6536\u7a84\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5229\u5dee\u8207\u653f\u7b56\u9810\u671f\u63a8\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713<\/h3>\n

\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u6e2c\u8a66161.70\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u8a72\u6c34\u5e73\u5e36\u4f86\u986f\u8457\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u6b65\u4f10\u76f8\u5c0d\u843d\u5f8c\u3002\u9019\u500b\u5229\u5dee\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u63a8\u52d5\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u52d5\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u73fe\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8b66\u60d5\u65e5\u672c\u7576\u5c40\u5165\u5e02\u5e72\u9810\u3001\u652f\u6301\u65e5\u5713\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u904e\u5f80\u65e5\u672c\u8ca1\u52d9\u7701\u66fe\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u7a7f155\u81f3160\u5340\u9593\u6642\u5165\u5e02\u8cb7\u5165\u65e5\u5713\uff08\u5373\u62cb\u552e\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff0c\u59822024\u5e74\u66fe\u591a\u6b21\u63a1\u53d6\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u9032\u53e3\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u4f01\u4ea6\u70ba\u7576\u5c40\u5e36\u4f86\u66f4\u5927\u653f\u6cbb\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5176\u63a1\u53d6\u884c\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u52a0\u606f\u5b9a\u50f977.3%\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u652f\u6490\u7f8e\u5143\u504f\u5f37\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u50c5\u65b0\u589e5.7\u842c\u500b\u8077\u4f4d\uff0c\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u768411\u842c\u500b\u3002\u6578\u64da\u75b2\u5f31\u8207\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8db3\u4ee5\u627f\u53d7\u591a\u6b21\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u300d\u7684\u6558\u4e8b\u5f62\u6210\u76f4\u63a5\u77db\u76fe\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b56\u7565\u90e8\u7f72\u8207\u524d\u77bb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u98a8\u96aa<\/h3>\n

\u9451\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u5b9a\u50f9\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u4e4b\u9593\u5b58\u5728\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u8cb7\u5165\u65e5\u5713\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08JPY calls\uff0c\u6216\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0aUSD\/JPY puts\uff09\u5c6c\u8f03\u5be9\u614e\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u53ef\u90e8\u7f72\u532f\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u6025\u632b\u7684\u60c5\u666f\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u6216\u65e5\u672c\u7576\u5c40\u51fa\u4e4e\u610f\u6599\u5e72\u9810\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u91cb\u653e\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff09\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4ee4\u671f\u6b0a\u6210\u70ba\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n

\u77ed\u671f\u7126\u9ede\u70ba\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u806f\u5132\u5c406\u6708\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u9304\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5c07\u5f9e\u6587\u672c\u4e2d\u5c0b\u627e\u5b98\u54e1\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\u6182\u616e\u662f\u5426\u52a0\u6df1\u7684\u7dda\u7d22\u3002\u5176\u5f8c\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u8139\u5831\u544a\u4ea6\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5c07\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7269\u50f9\u58d3\u529b\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u964d\u6eab\u81f3\u8db3\u4ee5\u4ee4\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u6539\u8b8a\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u6642\u4ea6\u9700\u8003\u616e\u65e5\u5713\u50b3\u7d71\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u82e5\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u53cd\u6620\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u958b\u7aef\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u6216\u8fc5\u901f\u6d41\u5165\u65e5\u5713\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u9700\u8981\u4f9d\u8cf4\u592e\u884c\u76f4\u63a5\u884c\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u9ede\u64ca\u6b64\u8655<\/a>\u958b\u8a2d\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u9023\u5347\u8a66161.70\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff01\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u52a0\u606f\u9810\u671f\uff08FedWatch 77.3%\uff09\u6490\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u504f\u5f31\uff1b\u63d0\u9632\u65e5\u672c\u5e72\u9810\uff0c\u5b9c\u90e8\u7f72USD\/JPY\u6cbd\u6216\u65e5\u5713\u8a8d\u8cfc\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50805,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51322\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}