{"id":51308,"date":"2026-07-04T01:59:50","date_gmt":"2026-07-04T01:59:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/51308\/"},"modified":"2026-07-04T01:59:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-04T01:59:50","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e7%91%9e%e9%83%8e%e6%96%99%e6%8c%89%e5%91%a8%e4%b8%8b%e8%b7%8c%ef%bc%9b%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e9%9d%9e%e8%be%b2%e5%b0%b1%e6%a5%ad%e6%95%b8%e6%93%9a%e7%96%b2%e5%bc%b1%e4%bb%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/51308\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u745e\u90ce\u6599\u6309\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u75b2\u5f31\u4ee4\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u6e1b\u606f\u6642\u9593\u8868\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u7e8c\u504f\u9d3f\u6d3e"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF \u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e94\u5468\u4e2d\u52e2\u5c07\u9304\u5f97\u9996\u6b21\u6309\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u5468\u56db\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7\u58d3\uff1b\u4e0d\u904e\u5468\u4e94\u96a8\u5e02\u5834\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Fed\uff09\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f91\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u8f49\u8da8\u7a69\u5b9a\u3002\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u6700\u65b0\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u5831\u7d04 0.8034\uff0c\u66fe\u4f4e\u898b 0.8010\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u5247\u7d04 100.84\uff0c\u65e5\u5167\u66fe\u89f8\u53ca 100.61 \u4f4e\u4f4d\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6cbd\u58d3\u672a\u898b\u660e\u986f\u8ddf\u9032\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u975e\u8fb2\u6578\u64da\u4e0d\u53ca\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u591a\u662f\u5f71\u97ff Fed \u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u300c\u6642\u9593\u9ede\u300d\u800c\u975e\u300c\u65b9\u5411\u300d\uff1b\u5728\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc 2% \u76ee\u6a19\u3001\u4e14\u8fd1\u671f\u53d7\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u5e36\u52d5\u800c\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u901f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u9810\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u9650\u5236\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5229\u7387\u5b9a\u50f9\u50c5\u8f15\u5fae\u8abf\u6574\uff1aCME FedWatch Tool \u986f\u793a 9 \u6708\u884c\u52d5\u6a5f\u6703\u964d\u81f3 53%\uff08\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u70ba 63%\uff09\uff0c\u800c 12 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u6982\u7387\u4ecd\u9054 76%\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede\u6b63\u8f49\u5411\u672c\u6708\u7a0d\u5f8c\u516c\u5e03\u7684 6 \u6708 CPI \u5831\u544a\uff1b\u96a8\u6cb9\u50f9\u56de\u5410\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u56e0\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6230\u722d\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u5e36\u52d5\u7684\u901a\u8139\u98a8\u96aa\u6709\u6240\u7de9\u548c\u3002\u745e\u58eb\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4f4e\u901a\u8139\u652f\u6301\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\uff08SNB\uff09\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u65bc 0%\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4fdd\u7559\u5728\u745e\u90ce\u904e\u5ea6\u8d70\u5f37\u6642\u5165\u5e02\u5e72\u9810\u7684\u6e96\u5099\u3002\u4e0b\u5468\u7126\u9ede\u5c07\u96c6\u4e2d\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b ISM \u670d\u52d9\u696d PMI \u53ca\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u6703\u8b70\u7d00\u8981\uff1b\u745e\u58eb\u65b9\u9762\u5247\u66ab\u7121\u91cd\u8981\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u77ed\u66ab\u53d7\u632b\uff1a\u5c6c\u56de\u8abf\u800c\u975e\u8f49\u52e2<\/h3>\n

\u9451\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u905c\u9810\u671f\u5f8c USD\/CHF \u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u4e26\u975e\u8da8\u52e2\u9006\u8f49\uff0c\u800c\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u77ed\u66ab\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u672a\u80fd\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5927\u5e45\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u9810\u671f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u53d6\u614b\u504f\u9df9\u3002\u9019\u6b21\u56de\u8abf\uff0c\u6216\u70ba\u62bc\u6ce8\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u91cd\u65b0\u8f49\u5f37\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u63d0\u4f9b\u5165\u5834\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u6700\u65b0\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u53cd\u61c9\u504f\u5927\uff1b\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u7f8e\u570b 6 \u6708\u50c5\u65b0\u589e 155,000 \u500b\u8077\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684 210,000\u3002\u96d6\u7136 CME FedWatch Tool \u986f\u793a 7 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u6982\u7387\u5df2\u964d\u81f3 25%\uff0c\u4f46\u5230 11 \u6708\u8b70\u606f\u6703\u8b70\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u4ecd\u5728 70% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u8996\u9019\u4efd\u75b2\u5f31\u6578\u64da\u70ba\u300c\u5ef6\u5f8c\u300d\u800c\u975e\u300c\u53d6\u6d88\u300d\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u884c\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5de6\u53f3\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52e2\u7684\u95dc\u9375\uff0c\u5c07\u662f 7 \u6708\u4e2d\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff09\u5831\u544a\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5b63\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u4e00\u76f4\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u7d04 3.1% \u7684\u504f\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u82e5\u4eca\u6b21\u6578\u64da\u51fa\u73fe\u4e0a\u884c\u9a5a\u559c\uff0c\u6599\u5c07\u63a8\u5347\u52a0\u606f\u62bc\u6ce8\uff0c\u5e36\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u61c9\u70ba\u8a72\u6b21\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u5f8c\u6f5b\u5728\u6ce2\u52d5\u52a0\u5287\u4f5c\u597d\u90e8\u7f72\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u8207 USD\/CHF \u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u908a\u5ec2\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\uff08SNB\uff09\u4ecd\u81f4\u529b\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9d3f\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u745e\u58eb 6 \u6708\u6700\u65b0\u901a\u8139\u70ba 1.4%\uff0c\u8655\u65bc\u53ef\u63a7\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4ee4\u592e\u884c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u52a0\u606f\u7406\u64da\u3002\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u504f\u9df9\u8207 SNB \u4e2d\u6027\u504f\u9d3f\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u70ba USD\/CHF \u63d0\u4f9b\u8f03\u5f37\u7684\u4e2d\u7dda\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c0d\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u74b0\u5883\u8f03\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u300c\u4e0b\u884c\u6709\u9650\u3001\u4e0a\u884c\u6f5b\u529b\u8f03\u5927\u300d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u6211\u5011\u50be\u5411\u8cb7\u5165\u77ed\u671f\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call\uff09\uff0c\u628a\u63e1\u7f8e\u570b CPI \u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4ea6\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u5728\u95dc\u9375\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u4ee5\u4e0b\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u5916\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money put\uff09\u4ee5\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff0c\u56e0 SNB \u96b1\u542b\u53d6\u5411\u662f\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u745e\u90ce\u904e\u5ea6\u8d70\u5f37\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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NFP\u905c\u9810\u671f\u4ee4USD\/CHF\u4e94\u5468\u9996\u9304\u5468\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u5143\u6cbd\u58d3\u6709\u9650\uff1b\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u6599\u7e8c\u7dad\u6301\u9650\u5236\u6027\uff0cCPI\u6210\u95dc\u9375\u50ac\u5316\uff1bSNB\u5b880\u5398\u517c\u6216\u5e72\u9810\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u6490\u4e2d\u7dda\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50611,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51308","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51308","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51308"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51308\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50611"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51308"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51308"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51308"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}