{"id":51193,"date":"2026-07-02T20:59:53","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T20:59:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/51193\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T20:59:53","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T20:59:53","slug":"%e6%b3%b0%e5%9c%8b%e8%b8%8f%e5%85%a52026%e5%b9%b4%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e5%ad%a3%e8%b5%b0%e5%8b%a2%e8%bd%89%e7%a9%a9%e3%80%80%e5%87%ba%e5%8f%a3%e5%b8%b6%e5%8b%95%e5%89%8d%e6%99%af%e6%94%b9%e5%96%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/51193\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6cf0\u570b\u8e0f\u51652026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u8d70\u52e2\u8f49\u7a69\u3000\u51fa\u53e3\u5e36\u52d5\u524d\u666f\u6539\u5584\u3000\u6cf0\u570b\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u73871.00%"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6cf0\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8e0f\u51652026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\uff082Q26\uff09\u6642\u7684\u57fa\u8abf\u8f03\u65e9\u524d\u6182\u616e\u70ba\u4f73\uff0c\u52d5\u529b\u4e3b\u8981\u4f86\u81ea\u51fa\u53e3\u53ca\u8207\u79d1\u6280\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u4f46\u5167\u9700\u4ecd\u7136\u75b2\u5f31\u3002\u6cf0\u570b\u592e\u884c\uff08Bank of Thailand\uff09\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08MPC\uff09\u65bc6\u6708\u4e00\u81f4\u7dad\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u57281.00%\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u4e26\u628a2026\u5e74GDP\u9810\u6e2c\u4e0a\u8abf\/\u4fee\u8a02\u81f32.3%\uff0c2027\u5e74\u9810\u6e2c\u70ba1.8%\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f91\u9810\u8a08\u65bc2026\u81f32027\u5e74\u7dad\u6301\u57281.00%\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7576\u5c40\u5c0d\u589e\u9577\u4e0d\u5747\u53ca\u7531\u4f9b\u61c9\u7aef\u58d3\u529b\u63a8\u52d5\u901a\u8139\u7684\u8a55\u4f30\u3002<\/p>\n

4\u81f35\u6708\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u964d\u4f4e\u8870\u9000\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4e26\u63d0\u9ad82026\u5e74\u5be6\u969b\u589e\u9577\u53ef\u80fd\u9ad8\u65bc\u5148\u524d\u57fa\u6e96\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u4f46\u64f4\u5f35\u4ecd\u4f9d\u8cf4\u5916\u90e8\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u8207\u79d1\u6280\u76f8\u95dc\u6295\u8cc7\u53ca\u653f\u7b56\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u90e8\u9580\u97cc\u6027\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002\u901a\u8139\u88ab\u754c\u5b9a\u70ba\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e3b\u5c0e\uff1a\u6cb9\u50f9\u3001\u904b\u8cbb\u3001\u904b\u8f38\u53ca\u6295\u5165\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u64e0\u58d3\u5be6\u8cea\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u8207\u5229\u6f64\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u63a8\u9ad8\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u5247\u88ab\u5f62\u5bb9\u70ba\u53d7\u63a7\u3002\u9810\u671f\u8d70\u52e2\u70ba\uff1a2026\u5e74\u589e\u9577\u8f03\u5f37\u30012027\u5e74\u5728\u524d\u7f6e\u9700\u6c42\u53ca\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u6548\u61c9\u6d88\u9000\u5f8c\u8f49\u8da8\u5be9\u614e\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u6642\u9593\u66f4\u9577\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u91cd\u65b0\u555f\u52d5\u6e1b\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

Interest Rates, Inflation, and Currency Outlook<\/h3>\n

\u57fa\u65bc\u73fe\u6642\u5c55\u671b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u6cf0\u570b\u592e\u884c\u57282026\u5e74\u9918\u4e0b\u6642\u9593\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u65bc1.00%\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u77ed\u7aef\u5229\u7387\u6ce2\u5e45\u504f\u4f4e\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee4\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u5728\u6cf0\u9296\u5229\u7387\u6389\u671f\uff08IRS\uff09\u4e0a\u8ce3\u51fa\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u7b49\u7b56\u7565\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u9694\u591c\u6307\u6578\u6389\u671f\uff08OIS\uff09\u53ea\u53cd\u6620\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u6a5f\u6703\u6975\u4f4e\uff0c\u8207\u6211\u5011\u300c\u9577\u6642\u9593\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\u300d\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u4ea6\u652f\u6301\u7a69\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u56e0\u50f9\u683c\u58d3\u529b\u6e90\u65bc\u4f9b\u61c9\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5167\u9700\u904e\u71b1\u3002\u4ee52026\u5e746\u6708\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\u56e0\u904b\u8f38\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u90542.1%\uff0c\u4f46\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u504f\u6eab\u548c\uff0c\u50c50.8%\u3002\u9019\u4ee4\u592e\u884c\u6709\u7a7a\u9593\u4e0d\u5fc5\u56e0\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\u77ed\u671f\u4e0a\u885d\u800c\u6536\u7dca\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u7dad\u6301\u76f8\u5c0d\u5bec\u9b06\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u4e0d\u5747\u8861\u5fa9\u7526\u3002<\/p>\n

\u81f3\u65bc\u6cf0\u9296\uff0c\u4e92\u76f8\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u610f\u5473\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u6216\u5927\u6982\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u7a84\u5e45\u4e0a\u843d\u3002\u53d7\u60e0\u96fb\u5b50\u7522\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u5e36\u52d5\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u57285\u6708\u6309\u5e74\u589e\u95776.8%\uff0c\u70ba\u6cf0\u9296\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\uff1b\u60df\u6cf0\u7f8e\u606f\u5dee\u504f\u4f4e\u5c07\u9650\u5236\u986f\u8457\u5347\u503c\u7a7a\u9593\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u63a1\u7528\u53d7\u60e0\u4f4e\u6ce2\u5e45\u7684\u77ed\u5e74\u671f\u671f\u6b0a\u7b56\u7565\u5c6c\u8f03\u5408\u7406\u90e8\u7f72\u3002<\/p>\n

Equity Derivatives and Growth Outlook<\/h3>\n

\u80a1\u7968\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5916\u90e8\u90e8\u9580\u5f37\u52c1\u8207\u5167\u9700\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u5206\u5316\u5e36\u4f86\u6e05\u6670\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u6211\u5011\u504f\u597d\u90e8\u7f72\u53d7\u60e0\u51fa\u53e3\u5c0e\u5411\u80a1\u4efd\u76f8\u5c0d\u8dd1\u8d0f\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u5c0d\u96f6\u552e\u3001\u9280\u884c\u7b49\u5167\u9700\u76f8\u95dc\u677f\u584a\u4fdd\u6301\u5be9\u614e\u3002\u6574\u9ad4SET50\u6307\u6578\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u6216\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u6307\u6578\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u8f03\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u5716\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c0d2027\u5e74\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u5be9\u614e\u614b\u5ea6\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u7531\u51fa\u53e3\u53ca\u6295\u8cc7\u5e36\u52d5\u7684\u5f37\u52e2\u6216\u5c6c\u968e\u6bb5\u6027\u3002\u9019\u652f\u6301\u6211\u5011\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff1a\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5009\u4f4d\u61c9\u4ee5\u589e\u9577\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u8f03\u6162\u7bc0\u594f\u4f5c\u7d50\u69cb\u8a2d\u8a08\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u62bc\u6ce8\u5c55\u958b\u65b0\u7684\u3001\u81ea\u6211\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u5468\u671f\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u7d93\u9a57\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7576\u6cf0\u570b\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u6548\u61c9\u6d88\u9000\u5f8c\uff0c\u589e\u9577\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u5728\u5169\u81f3\u4e09\u500b\u5b63\u5ea6\u5167\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u8f03\u4f4e\u8da8\u52e2\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u9ede\u64ca\u6b64\u8655<\/a>\u958b\u8a2d\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6cf0\u570b2Q26\u51fa\u53e3\u53ca\u79d1\u6280\u6295\u8cc7\u6490\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u5167\u9700\u4ecd\u5f31\uff1b\u6cf0\u592e\u884cMPC\u7dad\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u73871\u5398\uff0c\u4e0a\u8abfGDP\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u901a\u8139\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e3b\u5c0e\uff0c\u6cf0\u9296\u6599\u7a84\u5e45\u3002\u504f\u597dIRS\/OIS\u53caSET50\u8ce3\u6ce2\u5e45\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50744,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t