{"id":51165,"date":"2026-07-02T11:29:50","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T11:29:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/51165\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T11:29:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T11:29:50","slug":"%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%8f%8d%e5%bd%88%e9%87%8d%e4%b8%8a1-1400%ef%bc%8c%e7%96%b2%e5%bc%b1%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e6%95%b8%e6%93%9a%e6%8b%96%e7%b4%af%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%ef%bc%9b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/51165\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u53cd\u5f48\u91cd\u4e0a1.1400\uff0c\u75b2\u5f31\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u62d6\u7d2f\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u975c\u5f85\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EUR\/USD\uff09\u5468\u56db\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u65e9\u6bb5\u5ef6\u7e8c\u65e5\u5167\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u5728\u6536\u5fa9\u9694\u591c\u6025\u632b\u81f3\u4e00\u5468\u4f4e\u4f4d\u5f8c\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u4f01\u7a691.1400\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u905c\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e3b\u5e2dKevin Warsh\u7684\u8a00\u8ad6\u672a\u5c31\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u5411\u4f5c\u51fa\u660e\u78ba\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u8edf\u3002ADP\u516c\u5e036\u6708\u79c1\u71df\u90e8\u9580\u5c31\u696d\u589e\u52a09.8\u842c\u4eba\uff0c\u8f03\u524d\u503c12.2\u842c\u4eba\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4ea6\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u768411.3\u842c\u4eba\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0cISM\u88fd\u9020\u696dPMI\u753154\u56de\u843d\u81f353.3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u904e\uff0cWarsh\u4ecd\u6307\u901a\u8139\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u4e26\u91cd\u7533\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u81f4\u529b\u9054\u62102%\u901a\u8139\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u7e7c\u7e8c\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u81f3\u5c11\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u6216\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u5143\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u6771\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u4ecd\u53d7\u95dc\u6ce8\uff1a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u5728\u591a\u54c8\u7684\u9593\u63a5\u6703\u8ac7\u672a\u6709\u5c31\u6301\u4e45\u548c\u5e73\u53d6\u5f97\u9032\u5c55\uff0c\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5468\u908a\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u672a\u89e3\uff1b\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u4ea6\u65bc\u5468\u56db\u6e05\u6668\u5411\u57fa\u8f14\u767c\u5c04\u5c0e\u5f48\u53ca\u7121\u4eba\u6a5f\u3002\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u53406\u6708\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u504f\u8edf\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff097\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6182\u616e\u964d\u6eab\uff1b\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5247\u805a\u7126\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff08NFP\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u7814\u5224\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

Current Price Action and Diverging Central Bank Policy<\/h3>\n

\u6211\u5011\u73fe\u6b63\u89c0\u5bdfEUR\/USD\u57282026\u5e747\u67082\u65e5\u5617\u8a66\u5411\u4e0a\u63a8\u9032\u81f31.0900\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u56e0\u8fd1\u671f\u7d93\u6fdf\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u964d\u6eab\u3001\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u6d3b\u52d5\u653e\u7de9\u800c\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u70ba\u6b50\u5143\u5e36\u4f86\u5598\u606f\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u9810\u671f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u5f8c\u6703\u6e1b\u606f\uff0cCME FedWatch Tool\u986f\u793a12\u6708\u524d\u81f3\u5c11\u6e1b\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u7387\u8d85\u904e65%\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\uff08Jerome Powell\uff09\u4e00\u518d\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u9ecf\u7740\u65bc\u7d042.8%\uff0c\u6297\u901a\u8139\u6230\u5f79\u5c1a\u672a\u544a\u6377\u3002\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u9019\u7a2e\u5be9\u614e\u53d6\u614b\u61c9\u53ef\u70ba\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u51fa\u73fe\u5168\u9762\u5d29\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76f8\u8f03\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u66f4\u6e96\u5099\u653e\u5bec\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e26\u5df2\u65bc2024\u5e746\u6708\u555f\u52d5\u6e1b\u606f\u5468\u671f\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u901a\u8139\u5f98\u5f8a\u65bc\u7d042.5%\uff0c\u4f7fECB\u76f8\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u64da\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8abf\u5229\u7387\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u6b64\u7a2e\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u6700\u7d42\u5c07\u9650\u5236EUR\/USD\u4efb\u4f55\u5927\u578b\u4e14\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u5347\u6d6a\u3002<\/p>\n

Range-Bound Outlook, Volatility, and Key Risks<\/h3>\n

\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e92\u76f8\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u5728\u672c\u5468\u95dc\u9375\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\u4e0a\u843d\u3002EUR\/USD\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u6ce2\u5e45\u73fe\u8655\u591a\u5e74\u4f4e\u4f4d\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u4ee4\u671f\u6b0a\u4fdd\u8cbb\u76f8\u5c0d\u4fbf\u5b9c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8003\u616e\u5728\u672c\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff08NFP\uff09\u524d\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6b0a\uff08straddles\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u4efb\u4f55\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u7a81\u7834\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4ea6\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u8996\u4e2d\u6771\u53ca\u6771\u6b50\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7dca\u5f35\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u300c\u80cc\u666f\u566a\u97f3\u300d\uff0c\u5176\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u89f8\u767c\u8cc7\u91d1\u7a81\u7136\u8f49\u5411\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u3002\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u8fb2\u5831\u544a\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u6700\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5291\uff1a\u82e5\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u986f\u8457\u5f37\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u63a8\u9072\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e26\u5229\u597d\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u82e5\u6578\u64da\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u5c07\u5f37\u5316\u653e\u5bec\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7406\u64da\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u9ede\u64ca\u6b64\u8655<\/a>\u958b\u8a2d\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5be6\u8cec\u6236\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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