{"id":50968,"date":"2026-06-30T04:39:28","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T04:39:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/uncategorized\/50968\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T04:39:28","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T04:39:28","slug":"%e6%b2%b9%e5%83%b9%e4%bc%81%e7%a9%a9%e6%96%bc%e6%af%8f%e6%a1%b670-39%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%e3%80%80%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%86%a7%e6%86%ac%e5%a4%9a%e5%93%88%e6%9c%83%e8%ab%87%e6%9c%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/analysis\/50968\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6cb9\u50f9\u4f01\u7a69\u65bc\u6bcf\u687670.39\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u3000\u5e02\u5834\u61a7\u61ac\u591a\u54c8\u6703\u8ac7\u6709\u671b\u9650\u5236\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u61c9"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Oil3-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-59516\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u8981\u9ede<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CL-OIL \u65bc<strong>70.39\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u9644\u8fd1\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u9023\u7e8c\u5169\u500b\u6708\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5f8c\uff0c\u4ecd\u5927\u81f4\u5b88\u4f4f\u6230\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u6307\u7f8e\u570b\u57fa\u6e96\u539f\u6cb9\uff09\u8f03<strong>5\u670829\u65e5<\/strong>\u6536\u5e02\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7d04<strong>19%<\/strong>\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u4e0b\u8abf\u300c\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u98a8\u96aa\u300d\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u77ed\u7dda\u7559\u610f<strong>70.83\u7f8e\u5143\u963b\u529b<\/strong>\uff08\u5347\u7a7f\u624d\u7b97\u7a81\u7834\uff09\u53ca<strong>70.08\u7f8e\u5143\u652f\u6301<\/strong>\uff08\u8dcc\u7a7f\u6216\u8f49\u5f31\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>CL-OIL \u5468\u4e8c\u8f15\u5fae\u56de\u843d\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u8a55\u4f30\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6216\u5728\u591a\u54c8\uff08Doha\uff09\u63a5\u89f8\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4ea6\u7559\u610f\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u901a\u9053\uff09\u6cb9\u8f2a\u901a\u884c\u60c5\u6cc1\u6709\u6539\u5584\u8de1\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WTI \u4e0b\u8dcc\u7d04<strong>0.6%<\/strong>\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876<strong>70.36\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff1b\u5e03\u862d\u7279\uff08Brent\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u53e6\u4e00\u4e3b\u8981\u57fa\u6e96\u539f\u6cb9\uff098\u6708\u671f\u8ca8\uff08futures\uff0c\u6309\u7d04\u5b9a\u65e5\u671f\u4ea4\u6536\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u8dcc<strong>0.9%<\/strong>\u81f3<strong>72.51\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u3002\u5169\u5927\u57fa\u6e96\u73fe\u5df2\u63a5\u8fd12\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u7684\u6230\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u9010\u6b65\u5254\u9664\u65e9\u524d\u7f8e\u4f0a\u885d\u7a81\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u300c\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u300d\uff08risk premium\uff0c\u5373\u56e0\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u800c\u984d\u5916\u63a8\u9ad8\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">President Trump on Monday declined to say whether he thought the next round of US-Iran talks set for Tuesday in Qatar would lead to a breakthrough.<br><br>\u201cThe meeting in Doha is going to be perhaps important, perhaps not,\u201d Trump said. \u201cWe\u2019re going to find out&quot; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ed0mzhGIQH\">https:\/\/t.co\/ed0mzhGIQH<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/h1uqbJva1M\">pic.twitter.com\/h1uqbJva1M<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2071715469514444815?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 29, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u504f\u5be9\u614e\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u95dc\u6ce8\u591a\u54c8\u6703\u8ac7\u80fd\u5426\u4ee4\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u505c\u706b\u66f4\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u672a\u6709\u660e\u78ba\u6d88\u606f\u8b49\u5be6\u96d9\u65b9\u6703\u76f4\u63a5\u6703\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u70ba\u4f55\u5e02\u5834\u95dc\u6ce8<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>CL-OIL \u593e\u5728\u5169\u80a1\u529b\u91cf\u4e4b\u9593\uff1a\u6230\u4e8b\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u60df\u4f9b\u61c9\u4ecd\u6709\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u822a\u904b\u6539\u5584\u3002\u4e2d\u6771\u7522\u6cb9\u570b\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u8972\u64ca\u5f8c\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u88dd\u8239\uff0c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\uff08LNG\uff0c\u5c07\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u51b7\u537b\u6210\u6db2\u9ad4\u65b9\u4fbf\u904b\u8f38\uff09\u4ea6\u6301\u7e8c\u5916\u904b\uff1b\u4e0a\u5468\u822a\u904b\u91cf\u66f4\u9054\u885d\u7a81\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u300c\u4f9b\u61c9\u88ab\u5927\u5e45\u6536\u7dca\u300d\uff08squeeze\uff0c\u6307\u4f9b\u61c9\u7a81\u7136\u8b8a\u5c11\u4ee4\u50f9\u683c\u53d7\u58d3\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u7684\u6182\u616e\u964d\u6eab\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Morgan Stanley cuts its oil price forecasts as flows through the Strait of Hormuz return faster than expected, while strong US supply and weak Chinese demand increase the risk of a surplus <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nMreDYbT7m\">https:\/\/t.co\/nMreDYbT7m<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2071756261532553334?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 30, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5916\u4ea4\u8d70\u5411\u4ecd\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\u3002\u4f0a\u6717\u8868\u793a\u5176\u5c08\u5bb6\u5c07\u8207\u963f\u66fc\u5b98\u54e1\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7d93\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u7684\u901a\u884c\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u4f46\u4f0a\u6717\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u53c8\u7a31\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u65e5\u4e0d\u6703\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u8209\u884c\u8ac7\u5224\u6703\u8b70\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u570b\u9700\u6c42\u4ea6\u62d6\u7d2f\u6c23\u6c1b\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5e0c\u671b\u898b\u5230\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u8b49\u64da\uff0c\u8b49\u660e\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u539f\u6cb9\u9032\u53e3\u570b\u7684\u8cb7\u76e4\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u624d\u6703\u66f4\u7a4d\u6975\u62bc\u6ce8\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u95dc\u9375\u6280\u8853\u4f4d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/OILUSD\/?exchange=EASYMARKETS\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">OILUSD chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\"> by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"EASYMARKETS:OILUSD\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.06)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 980,\n  \"height\": 610\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>\u6c34\u5e73<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u5e02\u5834\u91cd\u9ede<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>71.11<\/td><td>\u8fd1\u671f\u300c\u6ce2\u6bb5\u9ad8\u4f4d\u300d\uff08swing high\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u4e00\u6bb5\u5347\u52e2\u7684\u9ad8\u9ede\uff09\u53ca\u8f03\u5927\u7d1a\u5225\u53cd\u5f48\u4f4d<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.83<\/td><td>\u65e5\u5167\u9ad8\u4f4d\u53ca\u7a81\u7834\u963b\u529b\uff08\u5347\u7a7f\u624d\u78ba\u8a8d\u5411\u4e0a\uff09<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.77<\/td><td>\u77ed\u7dda\u53cd\u5f48\u53c3\u8003\u4f4d<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.46<\/td><td>\u73fe\u6642\u963b\u529b\u5340<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.43<\/td><td>5\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08MA\uff0c\u5c07\u6700\u8fd15\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u50f9\u683c\u5e73\u5747\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u770b\u8da8\u52e2\uff09<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.43<\/td><td>10\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08MA\uff0c\u6700\u8fd110\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\uff09<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.39<\/td><td>\u73fe\u6642\u6210\u4ea4\u5340<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.32<\/td><td>20\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08MA\uff0c\u6700\u8fd120\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\uff09\u53ca\u652f\u6301<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>70.08<\/td><td>\u65e5\u5167\u4f4e\u4f4d\u53ca\u95dc\u9375\u652f\u6301<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>69.4<\/td><td>\u8f03\u4e0b\u65b9\u5716\u8868\u652f\u6301<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>CL-OIL \u73fe\u9760\u8fd1\u77ed\u7dda\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff1a<strong>5\u65e5MA\u70ba70.433<\/strong>\u3001<strong>10\u65e5MA\u70ba70.427<\/strong>\u3001<strong>20\u65e5MA\u70ba70.323<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8d70\u52e2\u986f\u793a\u50f9\u683c\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u56de\u843d\u5f8c\u300c\u6574\u56fa\u300d\uff08consolidation\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u5340\u9593\u5167\u4e0a\u843d\uff0c\u65b9\u5411\u672a\u660e\uff09\u3002\u8cb7\u65b9\u5b88\u4f4f<strong>70.08\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u8981\u91cd\u5efa\u66f4\u5f37\u4e0a\u5347\u52d5\u80fd\uff08momentum\uff0c\u5373\u5347\u52e2\u529b\u5ea6\uff09\uff0c\u4ecd\u9700\u56de\u5347\u4e26\u4f01\u7a69<strong>70.83\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82e5\u8dcc\u7a7f<strong>70.08\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c\u5f62\u52e2\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c07\u518d\u5ea6\u805a\u7126<strong>69.40\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u504f\u597d\u53ca\u504f\u6de1\u60c5\u666f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image-34-1024x473.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60358\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>\u60c5\u666f<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u89f8\u767c\u689d\u4ef6<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u61c9<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u504f\u597d\u53cd\u5f48<\/td><td>\u5347\u7a7f70.83<\/td><td>\u8cb7\u65b9\u6216\u4e0a\u671b71.11<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u56de\u8abf\u5f8c\u4f01\u7a69<\/td><td>\u5b88\u4f4f70.08<\/td><td>\u5e02\u5834\u6216\u77ed\u7dda\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u6d88\u606f<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u504f\u6de1\u4e0b\u7834<\/td><td>\u8dcc\u7a7f70.08<\/td><td>\u6cbd\u65b9\u6216\u4e0b\u671b69.40<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u5340\u9593\u4e0a\u843d<\/td><td>70.08\u81f370.83\u4e4b\u9593\u7dad\u6301<\/td><td>\u5e02\u5834\u6216\u7b49\u5f85\u591a\u54c8\u6d88\u606f\u66f4\u6e05\u6670<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u504f\u597d\u60c5\u666f\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc CL-OIL \u80fd\u5426\u5347\u7a7f<strong>70.83\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u3002\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u8cb7\u65b9\u5728\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u6230\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u9644\u8fd1\u5f8c\uff0c\u5617\u8a66\u91cd\u65b0\u638c\u63e1\u4e3b\u5c0e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82e5\u50f9\u683c\u5b88\u4f4f<strong>70.08\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u5bc6\u96c6\u5340\uff08cluster\uff0c\u5373\u591a\u689d\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u63a5\u8fd1\u3001\u5e38\u898b\u652f\u6490\/\u963b\u529b\u5340\uff09\u9644\u8fd1\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u300c\u56de\u8abf\u5f8c\u4f01\u7a69\u300d\u7684\u5f62\u614b\u6703\u8f03\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6cbd\u65b9\u66ab\u7de9\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7b49\u5f85\u591a\u54c8\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82e5 CL-OIL \u8dcc\u7a7f<strong>70.08\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c\u504f\u6de1\u60c5\u666f\u52a0\u5f37\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0b\u8abf\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4ea6\u64d4\u5fc3\u9700\u6c42\u504f\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>\u514d\u8cac\u8072\u660e<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u50f9\u4f4d\u53ca\u4ea4\u6613\u60c5\u666f\u50c5\u53cd\u6620\u4f5c\u8005\u64b0\u5beb\u6642\u89c0\u9ede\uff0c\u4e0d\u69cb\u6210\u6295\u8cc7\u5efa\u8b70\u6216 VT Markets \u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5b98\u65b9\u63a8\u85a6\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u61c9\u81ea\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4e26\u56b4\u683c\u505a\u597d\u98a8\u96aa\u7ba1\u7406\uff08\u5373\u8a2d\u5b9a\u6b62\u8755\u3001\u63a7\u5236\u5009\u4f4d\u7b49\uff09\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u70ba\u4f55\u4ee5\u5dee\u50f9\u5408\u7d04\uff08CFD\uff09\u4ea4\u6613 CL-OIL\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>CL-OIL 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