{"id":48385,"date":"2026-03-04T08:02:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T08:02:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39136\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T08:02:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T08:02:54","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e6%9d%b1%e5%9c%b0%e5%8d%80%e4%be%9b%e6%87%89%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e5%8a%a0%e5%8a%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/analysis\/48385\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u6771\u5730\u5340\u4f9b\u61c9\u98a8\u96aa\u52a0\u5287"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Oil4-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41759\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u91cd\u9ede\u6574\u7406<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c0d\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u8ecd\u4e8b\u6253\u64ca\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u6771\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8a2d\u65bd\u8207\u904b\u8f38\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6cb9\u8f2a\u9047\u8972\u3001\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u6301\u7e8c\u95dc\u9589\uff0c\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u4f9b\u61c9\u66f4\u5403\u7dca\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u56e0\u51fa\u53e3\u53d7\u963b\uff0c\u5df2\u628a\u539f\u6cb9\u7522\u91cf\u6e1b\u5c11\u7d04\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u7f8e\u570b\u63d0\u51fa\u8ecd\u8266\u8b77\u822a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u822a\u7dda\u66f4\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u4fe1\u5fc3\u5c1a\u672a\u6062\u5fa9\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9031\u4e09\u6cb9\u50f9\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u8ecd\u4e8b\u885d\u7a81\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u8b93\u4e2d\u6771\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u61c9\u8207\u904b\u8f38\u53d7\u5e72\u64fe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\uff08Brent crude\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u4e0a\u6f32\u7d04 1.4%\uff0c\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876 82.53 \u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u524d\u4e00\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u5728 2025 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9ad8\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5347\u81f3\u7d04 75.37 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5275 6 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u5f37\u6536\u76e4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u6ce2\u6f32\u52e2\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u64d4\u5fc3\uff1a\u82e5\u885d\u7a81\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u751f\u7522\u8207\u51fa\u53e3\u8a2d\u65bd\u53d7\u640d\uff0c\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5287\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u51fa\u53e3\u822a\u7dda\u627f\u58d3<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u662f\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u5834\u6700\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f0a\u6717\u8ecd\u65b9\u653b\u64ca\u901a\u904e\u8a72\u6c34\u9053\u7684\u6cb9\u8f2a\uff0c\u7b49\u540c\u8b93\u822a\u884c\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c 4 \u5929\u505c\u64fa\u3002\u5168\u7403\u7d04\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u8207\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\uff08LNG\uff0c\u628a\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u51b7\u537b\u6210\u6db2\u9ad4\uff0c\u65b9\u4fbf\u7528\u8239\u904b\u8f38\uff09\u8981\u7d93\u904e\u6d77\u5cfd\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5373\u4f7f\u77ed\u66ab\u4e2d\u65b7\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u61c9\u8207\u904b\u8f38\u9020\u6210\u660e\u986f\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Major oil storage sites in Saudi Arabia are filling rapidly as the key export route through the Strait of Hormuz effectively remains closed to shipping, according to geospatial analytics company Kayrros <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/iSuwomH8XU\">https:\/\/t.co\/iSuwomH8XU<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2029017230160089515?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u885d\u7a81\u5df2\u8feb\u4f7f\u7522\u6cb9\u65b9\u8207\u822a\u904b\u696d\u8005\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u5340\u57df\u5167\u7684\u904b\u8f38\u5b89\u6392\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u51fa\u53e3\u53d7\u963b\u800c\u6e1b\u7522<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u662f OPEC\uff08\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f38\u51fa\u570b\u7d44\u7e54\uff0c\u7531\u591a\u500b\u7522\u6cb9\u570b\u7d44\u6210\u3001\u5354\u8abf\u7522\u91cf\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7d44\u7e54\uff09\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u539f\u6cb9\u751f\u7522\u570b\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5132\u5b58\u7a7a\u9593\u6709\u9650\u3001\u51fa\u53e3\u901a\u9053\u88ab\u5c01\u9396\uff0c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u5df2\u5c07\u7522\u91cf\u6e1b\u5c11\u7d04\u6bcf\u65e5 150 \u842c\u6876\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DazXNHh1a9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">\u5b98\u54e1\u8b66\u544a<\/a>\uff0c\u82e5\u51fa\u53e3\u7121\u6cd5\u76e1\u5feb\u6062\u5fa9\uff0c\u5e7e\u5929\u5167\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u518d\u505c\u7522\u8fd1\u6bcf\u65e5 300 \u842c\u6876\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u985e\u6e1b\u7522\u6703\u660e\u986f\u6536\u7dca\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u61c9\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\uff08\u56e0\u570b\u969b\u885d\u7a81\u8207\u653f\u6cbb\u56e0\u7d20\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u5df2\u504f\u9ad8\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u8ecd\u8266\u8b77\u822a\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u822a\u904b\u66f4\u7a69<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5510\u7d0d\u30fb\u5ddd\u666e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82e5\u6709\u9700\u8981\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vLzPEimYvo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">\u7f8e\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u958b\u59cb\u8b77\u822a\u6cb9\u8f2a<\/a>\u901a\u904e\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff0c\u4ee5\u6062\u5fa9\u8cbf\u6613\u904b\u8f38\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u83ef\u5e9c\u4e5f\u6307\u793a\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u969b\u958b\u767c\u91d1\u878d\u516c\u53f8\uff08DFC\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u6a5f\u69cb\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u878d\u8cc7\u8207\u4fdd\u96aa\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u5c0d\u5916\u6295\u8cc7\uff09\u70ba\u6ce2\u65af\u7063\u7684\u6d77\u904b\u63d0\u4f9b\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u4fdd\u96aa\uff08\u91dd\u5c0d\u6230\u722d\u3001\u5236\u88c1\u3001\u6c92\u6536\u7b49\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u4fdd\u96aa\uff09\u8207\u8ca1\u52d9\u64d4\u4fdd\uff08\u7531\u6a5f\u69cb\u627f\u8afe\u88dc\u511f\u90e8\u5206\u640d\u5931\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u878d\u8cc7\u6216\u4ea4\u6613\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u6216\u8a31\u80fd\u964d\u4f4e\u822a\u904b\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u504f\u4fdd\u5b88\u3002\u8239\u6771\u8207\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8cea\u7591\uff0c\u5149\u9760\u8ecd\u4e8b\u4fdd\u8b77\u662f\u5426\u8db3\u4ee5\u6062\u5fa9\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790\uff08\u770b\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\u7684\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff09<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6cb9\u50f9\u4ecd\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c<strong>UKOUSD\uff08\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4ee3\u865f\uff09<\/strong>\u5728<strong>82.40 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5f9e 12 \u6708\u4f4e\u9ede\u7d04<strong>58.96 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\uff0c\u4ecd\u8cbc\u8fd1\u8fd1\u671f\u9ad8\u9ede\u3002\u5f9e\u65e5\u7dda\u7d50\u69cb\uff08\u4ee5\u6bcf\u65e5\u50f9\u683c\u7e6a\u6210\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\uff09\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u5e74\u521d\u4ee5\u4f86\u9ad8\u9ede\u9010\u6b65\u588a\u9ad8\u3001\u4f4e\u9ede\u4e5f\u9010\u6b65\u588a\u9ad8\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u660e\u986f\u591a\u982d\u8da8\u52e2\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u504f\u5411\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-3-1024x474.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-43369\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u52d5\u80fd\u6307\u6a19\uff08\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u6f32\u8dcc\u529b\u9053\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u4e5f\u652f\u6301\u504f\u591a\u3002<strong>5 \u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0877.52\uff09<\/strong>\u8207<strong>10 \u65e5\uff0874.56\uff09<\/strong>\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u63da\uff1b<strong>20 \u65e5\uff0871.65\uff09<\/strong>\u8207<strong>30 \u65e5\uff0870.31\uff09<\/strong>\u4ecd\u660e\u986f\u4f4e\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\uff0c\u4e14\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u73fe\u50f9\u8207\u8f03\u9577\u5929\u671f\u5747\u7dda\u5dee\u8ddd\u5927\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u5728\u7a81\u7834<strong>80 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u9019\u500b\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u5361\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u5e38\u628a\u6574\u6578\u50f9\u4f4d\u8996\u70ba\u95dc\u9375\u50f9\u4f4d\uff09\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e0a\u6f32\u529b\u9053\u5f37\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0a\u65b9\u8fd1\u671f\u963b\u529b\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u5e38\u5728\u6b64\u9047\u5230\u8ce3\u58d3\u3001\u4e0d\u6613\u518d\u4e0a\uff09\u5728<strong>85.40 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u524d\u4e00\u6ce2\u4e0a\u6f32\u5728\u6b64\u505c\u4f4f\u3002\u82e5\u660e\u78ba\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u4f38\u81f3<strong>87.50 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u3002\u4e0b\u65b9\u652f\u6490\uff08\u50f9\u683c\u5e38\u5728\u6b64\u5f97\u5230\u652f\u6490\u3001\u4e0d\u6613\u518d\u8dcc\uff09\u5148\u770b<strong>80.00\u201381.00 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff1b\u66f4\u5f37\u652f\u6490\u5728<strong>75.00\u201377.00 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5747\u7dda\u96c6\u4e2d\u65bc\u6b64\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u50f9\u683c\u5b88\u5728 80 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u4ecd\u504f\u6b63\u9762\uff1b\u4f46\u5148\u524d\u6f32\u52e2\u904e\u5feb\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u5148\u76e4\u6574\uff08\u5728\u5340\u9593\u5167\u4f86\u56de\u6574\u7406\uff09\u518d\u9078\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u5168\u7403\u8cb7\u65b9\u5c0b\u627e\u66ff\u4ee3\u4f9b\u61c9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u6771\u822a\u7dda\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u5347\u9ad8\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u80fd\u6e90\u9032\u53e3\u570b\u958b\u59cb\u627e\u66ff\u4ee3\u4f86\u6e90\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u8207\u5370\u5c3c\u5728\u5c0b\u627e\u66ff\u4ee3\u8ca8\u6e90\uff1b\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\u570b\u7149\u6cb9\u5ee0\uff08\u628a\u539f\u6cb9\u52a0\u5de5\u6210\u6c7d\u67f4\u6cb9\u7b49\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u5de5\u5ee0\uff09\u5247\u964d\u4f4e\u958b\u5de5\u7387\uff0c\u6216\u63d0\u524d\u5b89\u6392\u7dad\u4fee\u4fdd\u990a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6c99\u70cf\u5730\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u963f\u7f8e\uff08Aramco\uff0c\u6c99\u570b\u570b\u71df\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\uff09\u64da\u5831\u5617\u8a66\u628a\u90e8\u5206\u51fa\u53e3\u6539\u8d70\u7d05\u6d77\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u958b\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u4e9b\u8abf\u6574\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u904b\u8f38\u6b63\u9762\u81e8\u660e\u986f\u5e72\u64fe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">\u5e38\u898b\u554f\u984c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff1f<\/strong> <br>\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u885d\u7a81\u5347\u7d1a\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u8a2d\u65bd\u8207\u822a\u904b\u8def\u7dda\u9047\u8972\uff0c\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u64d4\u5fc3\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u61c9\u91cf\u8b8a\u5c11\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5c0d\u6cb9\u5e02\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff1f<\/strong> <br>\u5168\u7403\u7d04 20% \u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u8207\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u904b\u8f38\u8981\u7d93\u904e\u9019\u88e1\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u822a\u884c\u53d7\u963b\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u5927\u5e45\u5f71\u97ff\u4f9b\u61c9\u8207\u50f9\u683c\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u5df2\u6e1b\u7522\u591a\u5c11\uff1f<\/strong> 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