{"id":48283,"date":"2026-03-04T07:05:26","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T07:05:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/39121\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T07:05:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T07:05:26","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e4%b8%ad%e6%9d%b1%e8%a1%9d%e7%aa%81%e6%86%82%e6%85%ae%e5%8d%87%e6%ba%ab%e4%b9%8b%e9%9a%9b%ef%bc%8c%e9%81%93%e7%93%8a%e5%b7%a5%e6%a5%ad%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b8%e6%9a%b4%e8%b7%8c85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/48283\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u4e2d\u6771\u885d\u7a81\u6182\u616e\u5347\u6eab\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\u66b4\u8dcc850\u9ede\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u8207\u90a3\u65af\u9054\u514b\u540c\u6b65\u4e0b\u632b"},"content":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u9031\u4e8c\u4e2d\u5348\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\uff08DJIA\uff0c30\u6a94\u5927\u578b\u80a1\u6307\u6578\uff09\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7d04850\u9ede\uff08\u7d041.7%\uff09\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd148,000\u9ede\uff1b\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\uff08S&#038;P 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yields\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u516c\u50b5\u7684\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u7387\uff09\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u63a5\u8fd14.10%\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u9031\u65e5\u4e00\u5ea6\u8dcc\u78344.00%\uff0c\u70ba4\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5169\u65e5\u5347\u5e45\u3002CME FedWatch\uff08\u829d\u5546\u6240\u7684\u5229\u7387\u6a5f\u7387\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c3\u670818\u201319\u65e5\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u592e\u884c\uff09\u628a\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u57283.50%\u20133.75%\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u70ba94%\uff0c\u4e14\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d2026\u5e74\u7684\u964d\u606f\u6b21\u6578\u9810\u671f\u8b8a\u5c11\u3002\u9031\u4e94\u7684\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff08NFP\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6bcf\u6708\u91cd\u8981\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\uff09\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u516c\u5e03\u3002\n\n\u65c5\u904a\u80a1\u7e8c\u8dcc\uff1a\u806f\u5408\u822a\u7a7a\uff08UAL\uff09\u5ef6\u7e8c\u9031\u4e006%\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\uff1b\u7f8e\u822a\uff08AAL\uff09\u8207\u9054\u7f8e\u822a\u7a7a\uff08DAL\uff09\u5728\u9031\u4e00\u5404\u8dcc\u903e5%\u5f8c\u518d\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u5609\u5e74\u83ef\u90f5\u8f2a\uff08CCL\uff09\u9031\u4e00\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8fd112%\uff1b\u7687\u5bb6\u52a0\u52d2\u6bd4\uff08RCL\uff09\u3001\u632a\u5a01\u90f5\u8f2a\uff08NCLH\uff09\u3001\u842c\u8c6a\uff08MAR\uff09\u3001\u5e0c\u723e\u9813\uff08HLT\uff09\u3001Booking\uff08BKNG\uff09\u8207Expedia\uff08EXPE\uff09\u4e5f\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002\n\nTarget \u516c\u5e03\u8abf\u6574\u5f8c\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\uff08adjusted EPS\uff0c\u6392\u9664\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u9805\u76ee\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u7372\u5229\uff092.44\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc2.16\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u71df\u6536\uff08revenue\uff0c\u92b7\u552e\u6536\u5165\uff09304.5\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u540c\u5e97\u92b7\u552e\uff08comparable sales\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u6279\u9580\u5e97\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u8b8a\u5316\uff09\u4e0b\u6ed12.5%\u3002\u516c\u53f8\u9810\u4f30\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u99187.50\u20138.50\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u92b7\u552e\u6210\u95772%\uff1b\u76e4\u524d\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u7d043%\u3002Best Buy \u516c\u5e03\u8abf\u6574\u5f8c\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u99182.61\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc2.47\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u71df\u6536138.1\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u540c\u5e97\u92b7\u552e\u4e0b\u6ed10.8%\uff1b\u80a1\u5229\uff08dividend\uff0c\u767c\u7d66\u80a1\u6771\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u5206\u914d\uff09\u4e0a\u8abf1%\uff0c\u4e26\u9810\u4f30FY27\uff082027\u8ca1\u5e74\uff09\u71df\u6536412\u2013421\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u76e4\u524d\u4e00\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6f329%\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u671f\u8ca8\uff08gold futures\uff0c\u7d04\u5b9a\u672a\u4f86\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u9ec3\u91d1\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u958b\u76e45,205\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9031\u4e00\u70ba5,312\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\uff08spot gold\uff0c\u5373\u6642\u6210\u4ea4\u50f9\uff09\u4e00\u5ea6\u89f8\u53ca5,400\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08Dollar Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u5c0d\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff095\u5929\u7d2f\u8a08\u4e0a\u6f32\u8fd11.7%\uff1b\u767d\u9280\u53cd\u5f48\u8fd12%\uff08\u6b64\u524d\u4e0b\u8dcc6%\uff09\uff1bLIT\uff08\u92f0\u96fb\u6c60\u76f8\u95dcETF\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u8cb7\u8ce3\u57fa\u91d1\uff09\u4e0b\u8dcc10%\uff1bAMAT\u3001LRCX\u3001KLAC\u8207ASML\uff08\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u8a2d\u5099\u80a1\uff09\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d85\u904e6%\u3002\n\nVIX\u5347\u783425\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u7968\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u7d66\u4e88\u8cb7\u5165\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\u8cc7\u7522\u6b0a\u5229\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff08option premium\uff0c\u8cb7\u671f\u6b0a\u9700\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u8b8a\u8cb4\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\u5347\u9ad8\u3002\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u5e7e\u9031\u6ce2\u52d5\u53ef\u80fd\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9ad8\u3002\u53ef\u7528\u8cb7\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08puts\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6642\u7372\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u4fdd\u8b77\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982SPY\uff08\u8ffd\u8e64\u6a19\u666e500\u7684ETF\uff09\u8207\u5927\u8dcc\u7684IWM\uff08\u8ffd\u8e64\u7f85\u7d202000\u7684ETF\uff09\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u64ca\uff08geopolitical shock\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u885d\u7a81\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u885d\u64ca\uff09\u59822022\u5e74\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u521d\u671f\uff0cVIX\u66fe\u572830\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7dad\u6301\u903e\u4e00\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u3002\n\n\u8377\u59c6\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u82e5\u88ab\u5c01\u9396\u662f\u6700\u95dc\u9375\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u97ff\u5168\u7403\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u6d77\u904b\u539f\u6cb9\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u80fd\u6e90ETF\uff08energy ETF\uff0c\u8ffd\u8e64\u80fd\u6e90\u985e\u80a1\u7684ETF\uff09\u5982XLE\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff08calls\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\u6642\u7372\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u500b\u5225\u7522\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u6cb9\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u8f15\u6613\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u6876100\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u4f5c\u70ba\u53c3\u8003\uff0c2022\u5e74\u521d\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u66fe\u5728\u5169\u9031\u5167\u5f9e\u7d0490\u7f8e\u5143\u8df3\u5347\u81f3120\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u6f14\u3002\n\n<h3>\u70ba\u4e0b\u4e00\u6ce2\u884c\u60c5\u5e03\u5c40<\/h3>\n\u9019\u6ce2\u6cb9\u50f9\u885d\u64ca\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u5229\u7387\u524d\u666f\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u5f9e\u9810\u671f3\u6708\u964d\u606f\u8f49\u70ba\u9810\u671f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u98c6\u5347\u6703\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\uff08inflation\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u7269\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5411\u4f86\u66f4\u91cd\u8996\u58d3\u4f4e\u901a\u81a8\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u7e7c\u7e8c\u627f\u58d3\u8d70\u9ad8\uff1b\u5728\u9031\u4e94\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u524d\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u50b5\u5238ETF\u5982TLT\uff08\u9577\u5929\u671f\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5ETF\uff09\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7b56\u7565\u3002\n\n\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u7684\u8d0f\u5bb6\u8207\u8f38\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u7522\u696d\u671f\u6b0a\uff08sector options\uff0c\u91dd\u5c0d\u7279\u5b9a\u7522\u696d\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002\u570b\u9632\u80a1\u53ef\u80fd\u7e8c\u5f37\uff0cITA\uff08\u822a\u592a\u8207\u570b\u9632ETF\uff09\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u822a\u7a7a\u696d\u9762\u81e8\u71c3\u6cb9\u6210\u672c\u8207\u65c5\u904b\u5e72\u64fe\uff0c\u53ef\u7528JETS\uff08\u822a\u7a7aETF\uff09\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\u638c\u63e1\u4e0b\u884c\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\n\n\u8cc7\u91d1\u907f\u96aa\uff08flight to safety\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u8f49\u5411\u8f03\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u63a8\u5347\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e26\u58d3\u6291\u5e74\u521d\u8868\u73fe\u8f03\u597d\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u3002\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u8cc7\u91d1\u64a4\u51fa\u9ad8\u6210\u9577\u52d5\u80fd\u80a1\uff08high-growth 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