{"id":47194,"date":"2026-05-12T19:14:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T19:14:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/47194\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T19:14:47","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T19:14:47","slug":"%e7%b4%8d%e6%96%af%e9%81%94%e5%85%8b100%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b8%e8%87%aa29500%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%e3%80%80%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%93%a1%e9%97%9c%e6%b3%a828000%e6%94%af%e6%8c%81%e4%bd%8d%e5%8f%8a21%e5%a4%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/47194\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b100\u6307\u6578\u81ea29,500\u56de\u843d\u3000\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u95dc\u6ce828,000\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u53ca21\u5929\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b100\u6307\u6578\u81ea2026\u5e744\u6708\u521d\u8d776\u661f\u671f\u5167\uff0c\u753124,750\u5347\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd129,500\uff0c\u7d2f\u5347\u7d0419%\u3002\u5176\u5f8c\u5728\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u958b\u59cb\u51fa\u73fe\u504f\u6de1\u56de\u5410\uff08bearish pullback\uff0c\u5373\u5347\u5e02\u4e2d\u77ed\u66ab\u56de\u843d\u3001\u8d70\u52e2\u504f\u5f31\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82e5\u8dcc\u7a7f\u5468\u4e00\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c07\u78ba\u8a8d\u56de\u8a66ET\u53408\uff08ET zone 8\uff0c\u5373\u9810\u5148\u6a19\u8a18\u7684\u50f9\u683c\/\u6280\u8853\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u53ef\u80fd\u6e2c\u8a66\u7684\u652f\u6301\u6216\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff09\u3002\u672a\u4f861\u81f32\u661f\u671f\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u77ed\u7dda\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u662f\u5411\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7a7f\u3001\u53cd\u5f48\u5f8c\u518d\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

Near Term Market Structure<\/h3>\n

\u56de\u5410\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0b\u8a66\u7d0428,000\u81f328,250\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u8a72\u4f4d\u7f6e\u8207\u65e5\u7dda\u571621 EMA\u5340\uff0821 EMA\uff1a21\u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u8f03\u91cd\u8996\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u5e38\u7528\u4f5c\u52d5\u614b\u652f\u6301\/\u963b\u529b\uff09\u91cd\u758a\u3002\u57fa\u65bc\u65e9\u524d\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u63a8\u52d5\uff08bullish impulse\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u6bb5\u6025\u5347\u7684\u63a8\u9032\u6ce2\uff09\uff0c\u4ea6\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u5ef6\u7e8c\u5347\u52e2\u4e26\u518d\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6587\u4e2d\u4ea6\u63d0\u53ca\u5373\u6642\u8f49\u5f37\u7684\u8def\u5f91\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u5148\u572821 EMA\u9644\u8fd1\u53cd\u5f48\u3001\u518d\u5411\u4e0a\u7a81\u7834\u963b\u529b\u4e26\u91cd\u65b0\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7d50\u679c\u5728\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u4ee5\u66ff\u4ee3\u8def\u5f91\u5c55\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56db\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u56de\u5410\u958b\u59cb\u524d\u5df2\u51fa\u73fe\u300c\u5347\u52e2\u75b2\u5f31\u300d\u8a0a\u865f\uff08exhaustion signals\uff0c\u5373\u52d5\u529b\u8f49\u5f31\u3001\u53ef\u80fd\u8f49\u5411\u7684\u6280\u8853\u8a0a\u865f\uff09\u3002\u73fe\u50f9\u6b63\u6e2c\u8a6621 EMA\u5340\uff0c\u88ab\u5f62\u5bb9\u70ba\u95dc\u9375\u5206\u6c34\u5dba\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9810\u671f\u6216\u5148\u51fa\u73fe\u4e00\u6b21\u5411\u4e0a\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u8f03\u5927\u56de\u5410\u81f3144 EMA\uff08144 EMA\uff1a144\u5468\u671f\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u8f03\u9577\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u8f03\u6df1\u56de\u8abf\u7684\u652f\u6301\/\u963b\u529b\u53c3\u8003\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u7b2c4\u6d6a\uff08wave 4\uff1a\u6ce2\u6d6a\u7406\u8ad6\u4e2d\u7684\u8abf\u6574\u6d6a\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5728\u5347\u6d6a\u9014\u4e2d\u51fa\u73fe\u56de\u8abf\uff09\u5167\u5f62\u6210ABC\u8abf\u6574\uff08ABC correction\uff1a\u4e09\u6bb5\u5f0f\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u5e38\u898b\u70ba\u5148\u8dccA\u3001\u53cd\u5f48B\u3001\u518d\u8dccC\uff09\u3002\u82e5\u56db\u5c0f\u6642\u5716\u80fd\u5b88\u4f4f144\u81f3233 EMA\u5340\uff08233 EMA\uff1a\u66f4\u9577\u5468\u671f\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u66f4\u5f37\u7684\u52d5\u614b\u652f\u6301\uff09\uff0c\u5247\u6709\u5229\u5347\u52e2\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n

Primary Trade Plan<\/h3>\n

\u8fd119%\u5347\u5e45\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u9996\u5b63\u696d\u7e3e\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u6700\u65b0\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u7565\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u3001\u58312.9%\u5e36\u52d5\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u81ea29,500\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u8f03\u4f3c\u7372\u5229\u76e4\u56de\u5410\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5927\u578b\u8f49\u52e2\uff0c\u5c6c\u90e8\u7f72\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u6642\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n

\u77ed\u7dda1\u81f32\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u504f\u6de1\u8d70\u52e2\u8f03\u5927\u6a5f\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u3002\u8dcc\u7a7f\u5468\u4e00\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u6216\u4e0b\u8a6628,000\u81f328,250\u652f\u6301\u5340\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff1a\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ed8\u51fa\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u5f8c\u53ef\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u6cbd\u51fa\uff0c\u5e38\u7528\u4f5c\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6216\u5c0d\u6c96\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u671f\u8ca8\u6cbd\u7a7a\u5009\uff08short futures\uff1a\u5728\u671f\u8ca8\u5e02\u5834\u5148\u8ce3\u51fa\u3001\u671f\u671b\u65e5\u5f8c\u4ee5\u66f4\u4f4e\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u56de\u8cfa\u53d6\u5dee\u50f9\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9019\u985e\u56de\u5410\u4e26\u4e0d\u7f55\u898b\uff1b2025\u5e74\u5347\u6d6a\u671f\u9593\u4ea6\u66fe\u51fa\u73fe\u6025\u8dcc\u4f46\u77ed\u66ab\u7684\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u518d\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u8d70\u52e2\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u5f37\u52e2\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u4e2d\uff0c\u56de\u8abf\u81f321\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0821-day moving average\uff1a21\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\uff0c\u820721 EMA\u540c\u5c6c\u5e38\u7528\u77ed\u671f\u5747\u7dda\u53c3\u8003\uff09\u5f80\u5f80\u6210\u70ba\u591a\u65b9\u91cd\u65b0\u5165\u5834\u5340\u3002CBOE\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578VIX\uff08VIX\uff1a\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5e38\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u300c\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6a19\u300d\uff09\u50c5\u8f15\u5fae\u5347\u81f314.5\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5e02\u5834\u672a\u898b\u660e\u986f\u6050\u614c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56e0\u6b64\u9700\u7559\u610f28,000\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u6709\u5426\u4f01\u7a69\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u5982\u65bc\u8a72\u5340\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u5c07\u53ef\u8996\u70ba\u9010\u6b65\u5e73\u6389\u7a7a\u5009\uff08unwinding short positions\uff1a\u8cb7\u56de\u6cbd\u7a7a\u90e8\u4f4d\u4ee5\u9396\u5b9a\u5229\u6f64\u6216\u6b62\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u6e96\u5099\u56de\u6b78\u4e3b\u8981\u5347\u52e2\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5e95\u6c23\u53ef\u7531\u4e00\u9805\u5bec\u5ea6\u6307\u6a19\u53cd\u6620\uff1a\u903e85%\u7d0d\u6307100\u6210\u4efd\u80a1\u4ecd\u5728200\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08200-day moving average\uff1a200\u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\uff0c\u5e38\u7528\u4f5c\u5224\u65b7\u4e2d\u9577\u7dda\u5f37\u5f31\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u7dda\uff09\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u65e6\u78ba\u8a8d\u898b\u5e95\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u65e5\u7dda\u51fa\u73fe\u5f37\u52e2\u967d\u71ed\uff1abullish candle\uff0c\u5373\u6536\u5e02\u50f9\u660e\u986f\u9ad8\u65bc\u958b\u5e02\u50f9\u4e26\u986f\u793a\u8cb7\u76e4\u4e3b\u5c0e\uff09\uff0c\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u8f49\u70ba\u5efa\u7acb\u597d\u5009\u3002\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u8cb7\u5165\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff1a\u770b\u5347\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4ed8\u51fa\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\u5f8c\u53ef\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u8cb7\u5165NQ100\u671f\u8ca8\uff08futures\uff1a\u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\uff0c\u4ee5\u69d3\u687f\u65b9\u5f0f\u8ddf\u96a8\u6307\u6578\u5347\u8dcc\uff09\u6355\u6349\u4e0b\u4e00\u6bb5\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u82e5\u5347\u6d6a\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u6709\u671b\u7a81\u7834\u8fd1\u671f\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u661f\u671f\u6311\u623030,000\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u53e3\uff08psychological level\uff1a\u6574\u6578\u95dc\u53e3\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5e38\u56e0\u639b\u55ae\u96c6\u4e2d\u800c\u51fa\u73fe\u8f03\u5927\u963b\u529b\u6216\u652f\u6301\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7d0d\u6307100\u81ea29,500\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u5410\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u8f49\u5f31\uff1b\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u7dca\u76ef28,000\u95dc\u9375\u652f\u6301\u53ca21\u5929\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u5f97\u5931\uff0c\u82e5\u5931\u5b88\u6050\u89f8\u767c\u66f4\u6df1\u8abf\u6574\u8207\u6b62\u8755\u76e4\u6e67\u73fe\u58d3\u529b\u52a0\u5287\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47194\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}