{"id":47191,"date":"2026-05-12T18:10:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T18:10:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/47191\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T18:10:27","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T18:10:27","slug":"%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%ad%89%e5%88%b8%ef%bc%9a%e5%8f%97%e8%8b%b1%e5%9c%8b%e6%94%bf%e5%b1%80%e5%8f%8a%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%88%86%e6%ad%a7%e5%bd%b1%e9%9f%bf%ef%bc%8c%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e8%8b%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/47191\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9053\u660e\u8b49\u5238\uff1a\u53d7\u82f1\u570b\u653f\u5c40\u53ca\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u82f1\u938a\u53ca\u52a0\u5143\u6599\u7dad\u6301\u5f37\u52e2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD Securities \u7684\u5916\u532f\uff08FX\uff0c\u5373\u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5728\u4ea4\u53c9\u76e4\uff08currency crosses\uff0c\u5373\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\uff09\u5c07\u4fdd\u6301\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u52e2\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5c0d\u82f1\u938a\u53ca\u52a0\u5143\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u628a\u539f\u56e0\u6b78\u65bc\u82f1\u570b\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u9078\u8209\u5f8c\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5404\u570b\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u5411\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u82e5\u82f1\u570b\u653f\u6cbb\u767c\u5c55\u4ee4\u82f1\u938a\u53d7\u58d3\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u6703\u8f03\u82f1\u938a\u7406\u60f3\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u4ea6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u82e5\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\uff08geopolitical\uff0c\u5373\u570b\u969b\u653f\u6cbb\u53ca\u5730\u5340\u885d\u7a81\u5f62\u52e2\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u50f5\u5c40\uff0c\u4e14\u653f\u7b56\u5dee\u7570\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u8dd1\u8d0f\u52a0\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Central Bank Divergence And Euro Strength<\/h3>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08European Central Bank\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u592e\u884c\uff09\u5728 2026 \u5e74\u81f3\u5c11\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\uff08Bank of Canada\uff09\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u9918\u4e0b\u6642\u9593\u6703\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u57fa\u672c\u5047\u8a2d\uff08baseline\uff0c\u5373\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u3001\u6700\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u5047\u8a2d\uff09\u662f\u6cb9\u50f9\u5728\u6bcf\u6876 90 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u7a69\u5b9a\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u4ea6\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u6b50\u5143\u5728\u4f9d\u8cf4\u77f3\u6cb9\u9032\u53e3\uff08oil imports\uff0c\u5373\u9700\u8981\u7531\u6d77\u5916\u8cb7\u5165\u80fd\u6e90\uff09\u4e0b\u4ecd\u80fd\u4f01\u7a69\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u5728\u73fe\u6c34\u5e73\u518d\u5347\uff0c\u96e3\u5ea6\u6216\u6703\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u65bc\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u5411\u5206\u6b67\uff08divergence\uff0c\u5373\u4e0d\u540c\u592e\u884c\u63a1\u53d6\u4e0d\u540c\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u6b50\u5143\u76f8\u5c0d\u82f1\u938a\u53ca\u52a0\u5143\u5177\u5099\u512a\u52e2\u3002\u82f1\u570b\u653f\u6cbb\u74b0\u5883\u53ca\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff08monetary policy\uff0c\u5373\u592e\u884c\u900f\u904e\u5229\u7387\u53ca\u76f8\u95dc\u5de5\u5177\u5f71\u97ff\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u901a\u8139\uff09\u4ee4\u4ea4\u53c9\u76e4\u51fa\u73fe\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\u53ef\u504f\u5411\u90e8\u7f72\u6b50\u5143\u8f49\u5f37\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Trade Setup For Eur Crosses<\/h3>\n<p>\u82f1\u570b\u653f\u6cbb\u96dc\u97f3\u81ea 2024 \u5e74\u5927\u9078\u5f8c\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u958b\u59cb\u4ee4\u82f1\u938a\u53d7\u58d3\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u82f1\u938a\u76f8\u95dc\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u5f15\u4f38\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08one-month implied volatility\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\u63a8\u7b97\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u5347\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1 11%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u6182\u616e\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u570b\u6703\u50c5\u6709\u8f15\u5fae\u591a\u6578\uff08narrow majority\uff0c\u5373\u512a\u52e2\u6709\u9650\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u8ca1\u653f\u8a08\u5283\uff08fiscal plans\uff0c\u5373\u653f\u5e9c\u6536\u652f\u3001\u8d64\u5b57\u8207\u653f\u7b56\u5b89\u6392\uff09\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u505a\u591a EUR\/GBP\uff08long\uff0c\u5373\u8cb7\u5165\uff0f\u770b\u5347\uff09\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5011\u4ea6\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u56e0\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u5dee\u8ddd\u800c\u8f03\u52a0\u5143\u6709\u5229\u3002\u6700\u65b0 2026 \u5e74 4 \u6708\u521d\u503c\uff08flash estimate\uff0c\u5373\u8f03\u65e9\u767c\u5e03\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u6578\u64da\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u5728 2.8%\uff0c\u4ee4\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u79cb\u5b63\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u9810\u671f\u6703\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\uff08Brent crude\uff0c\u5373\u570b\u969b\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u50f9\u683c\u7a69\u5b88\u6bcf\u6876\u7d04 92 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7d93\u6fdf\u4ecd\u898b\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63 GDP\uff08\u672c\u5730\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff0c\u5373\u7d93\u6fdf\u7e3d\u7522\u51fa\uff09\u6309\u5e74\u7387\uff08annualized\uff0c\u5373\u628a\u55ae\u5b63\u589e\u9577\u63db\u7b97\u70ba\u5168\u5e74\u901f\u5ea6\uff09\u50c5\u589e\u9577 0.5%\uff0c\u8868\u73fe\u504f\u5f31\u3002\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u672c\u5730\u6578\u64da\u4ee4\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u7531\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u5dee\uff08policy differential\uff0c\u5373\u5169\u5730\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u5411\u8207\u6c34\u5e73\u5dee\u8ddd\uff09\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u61c9\u53ef\u70ba EUR\/CAD \u5e36\u4f86\u652f\u6301\uff08tailwind\uff0c\u5373\u6709\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c0d\u884d\u751f\u5de5\u5177\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u7b49\u4ee5\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u70ba\u57fa\u790e\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u89c0\u9ede\u652f\u6301\u8cb7\u5165 EUR\/GBP \u53ca EUR\/CAD \u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u53ef\u9078\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u81f3\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u53c3\u8207\u6b50\u5143\u5728\u4ea4\u53c9\u76e4\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u628a\u98a8\u96aa\uff08\u6700\u5927\u640d\u5931\u901a\u5e38\u70ba\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff0c\u5373\u8cb7\u5165\u671f\u6b0a\u6240\u4ed8\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff09\u754c\u5b9a\u6e05\u695a\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u9053\u660e\u8b49\u5238\u6307\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u653f\u5c40\u52d5\u76ea\u8207\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u7e8c\u62d6\u7d2f\u82f1\u938a\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f49\u6295\u6b50\u5143\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u82f1\u938a\u53ca\u52a0\u5143\u5f37\u52e2\u53ef\u671b\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u7559\u610f\u653f\u7b56\u8a0a\u865f\u8207\u6578\u64da\u50ac\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47191"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47191\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}