\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5468\u4e09\u5728 Truth Social \u767c\u6587\u7a31\uff0c\u82e5\u4f0a\u6717\u9075\u5b88\u5df2\u9054\u6210\u7684\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u300cEpic Fury\u300d\u5c07\u7d50\u675f\uff0c\u5c01\u9396\u4ea6\u6703\u89e3\u9664\uff0c\u8b93\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u91cd\u65b0\u5c0d\u6240\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u958b\u653e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4f0a\u6717\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u53c8\u6307\uff0c\u82e5\u4f0a\u6717\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\uff0c\u8f5f\u70b8\u5c07\u518d\u6b21\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u4e14\u898f\u6a21\u8207\u5f37\u5ea6\u5c07\u9ad8\u65bc\u4e4b\u524d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5e02\u5834\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u8a00\u8ad6\u5f8c\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u597d\u98a8\u96aa\uff08risk-on\uff0c\u5373\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8f03\u9858\u610f\u8cb7\u5165\u80a1\u7968\u7b49\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u3001\u6e1b\u5c11\u6301\u6709\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u7684\u6c23\u6c1b\u3002\u622a\u7a3f\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08US Dollar Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u8d70\u52e2\uff09\u5168\u65e5\u8dcc 0.7% \u81f3 97.80\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u62bc\u6ce8\u5c40\u52e2\u5411\u548c\u5e73\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u8996\u4e4b\u70ba\u5178\u578b\u7684\u300c\u4e8c\u5143\u4e8b\u4ef6\u300d\uff08binary event\uff0c\u5373\u7d50\u679c\u5927\u81f4\u53ea\u6709\u5169\u7a2e\uff1a\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u6216\u8ac7\u5224\u7834\u88c2\uff09\uff0c\u5f8c\u679c\u5dee\u8ddd\u6975\u5927\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u504f\u597d\u98a8\u96aa\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u628a\u300c\u6210\u529f\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u300d\u7684\u9810\u671f\u8a08\u5165\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u82e5\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u500b\u9810\u671f\u904e\u65bc\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u4fbf\u5b58\u5728\u7b56\u7565\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u805a\u7126\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\/\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\uff1a\u4ee5\u8f03\u5c0f\u6210\u672c\u53d6\u5f97\u5728\u6307\u5b9a\u6642\u9593\u5167\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u5c6c\u5168\u7403\u6700\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u300c\u54bd\u5589\u8981\u9053\u300d\uff08chokepoint\uff0c\u5373\u4e00\u65e6\u53d7\u963b\u6703\u4ee4\u7269\u6d41\u6216\u4f9b\u61c9\u5927\u5e45\u53d7\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u72f9\u7a84\u901a\u9053\uff09\u3002\u7d04 21% \u7684\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8017\u9700\u7d93\u6b64\u822a\u9053\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4e2d\u65b7\u90fd\u5f71\u97ff\u91cd\u5927\u30022019 \u5e74\u6c99\u7279\u8a2d\u65bd\u9047\u8972\u5f8c\uff0c\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u5317\u7f8e\u57fa\u6e96\u539f\u6cb9\uff09\u671f\u8ca8\uff08futures\uff0c\u671f\u8ca8\uff1a\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u4ee5\u4e8b\u5148\u7d04\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u8ce3\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u66fe\u55ae\u65e5\u6025\u5347\u8fd1 15%\u3002\u82e5\u73fe\u6642\u6f14\u8b8a\u6210\u5168\u9762\u885d\u7a81\uff0cWTI \u7531\u73fe\u50f9\u7d04\u6bcf\u6876 85 \u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u81f3\u4e09\u4f4d\u6578\u4e26\u4e0d\u610f\u5916\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u671f\u6b0a\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff08CBOE VIX\uff0c\u4fd7\u7a31\u300c\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6578\u300d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u80a1\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u7684\u300c\u50f9\u5916\u3001\u6210\u672c\u8f03\u4f4e\u300d\u671f\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money options\uff0c\u50f9\u5916\u671f\u6b0a\uff1a\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u5c0d\u8cb7\u65b9\u4e0d\u5229\u3001\u56e0\u6b64\u901a\u5e38\u8f03\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff09\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u73fe\u6642 VIX \u7d04\u5728 14\uff0c\u5c6c\u504f\u5e73\u975c\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u4f46\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u9280\u884c\u696d\u7dca\u5f35\u6642\uff0cVIX \u66fe\u5feb\u901f\u98c6\u5347\u81f3 30 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u82e5\u8ac7\u5224\u5931\u6557\u4e26\u5f15\u767c\u8ecd\u4e8b\u884c\u52d5\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\u8207\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u5c07\u6025\u589e\uff0cVIX \u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u8a8d\u8cfc\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u53ef\u4f5c\u8f03\u6709\u529b\u7684\u5c0d\u6c96\uff08hedge\uff0c\u5373\u7528\u53e6\u4e00\u9805\u982d\u5bf8\u62b5\u6d88\u4e0b\u8dcc\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u5e02\u5834\u8f49\u70ba\u907f\u96aa\uff08risk-off\uff0c\u5373\u62cb\u552e\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u3001\u8cb7\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u570b\u50b5\u7b49\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u5143\u672c\u8eab\u4ea6\u63d0\u4f9b\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u53ef\u4ea4\u6613\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u8d70\u5f31\u81f3 97.80\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u6e90\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u6b63\u9762\u9810\u671f\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u8ac7\u5224\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u9810\u6599\u8cc7\u91d1\u6703\u8fc5\u901f\u8f49\u5411\u907f\u96aa\uff08flight to safety\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0a\u5347\u6642\u96c6\u4e2d\u8cb7\u5165\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u8f03\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\uff09\uff0c\u63a8\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u91cd\u4e0a 100 \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u9019\u7a2e\u8d70\u52e2\u5728\u904e\u5f80\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5371\u6a5f\u4e2d\u5c62\u898b\u4e0d\u9bae\u3002<\/p>\n
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