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CME Group \u7684 FedWatch Tool\uff08\u5229\u7387\u6a5f\u7387\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8ca8\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u52a0\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u7d0435%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u4e0d\u8db310%\u3002\u6b64\u8b8a\u5316\u652f\u6301DXY\u8d70\u52e2\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7531\u907f\u96aa\u8cb7\u76e4\u8f49\u5411\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u6369\u9ede<\/h3>\n

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2025\u5e74\u652f\u6490\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u504f\u5411\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u606f\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u901a\u8139\uff09\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6558\u4e8b\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u52a0\u5165\u5168\u7403\u589e\u9577\u653e\u6162\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u800c\u8b8a\u5f97\u8907\u96dc\u3002CME FedWatch Tool \u76ee\u524d\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u63a5\u8fd160%\uff0c\u8207\u4e2d\u6771\u5c40\u52e2\u5347\u6eab\u671f\u9593\u300c\u52a0\u606f\u6a5f\u670335%\u300d\u5f62\u6210\u660e\u986f\u53cd\u8f49\u3002\u9019\u610f\u5473\u7531\u300c\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u300d\uff08interest rate differentials\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u5dee\u8ddd\uff09\u63a8\u52d5\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u5347\u52d5\u80fd\u6216\u63a5\u8fd1\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

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