{"id":46677,"date":"2026-05-05T04:47:21","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T04:47:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46677\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T04:47:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T04:47:21","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e6%9c%ac%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%b9%b2%e9%a0%90%e9%a9%9a%e5%96%9c%e5%be%8c%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e6%97%a5%e5%9c%93%e5%9c%a8%e5%90%84%e6%99%82%e6%ae%b5%e5%87%ba%e7%8f%be%e8%a3%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/46677\/","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u5e72\u9810\u9a5a\u559c\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u5728\u5404\u6642\u6bb5\u51fa\u73fe\u88c2\u53e3\u53ca\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u4ecd\u65bc157.20\u9644\u8fd1\u5340\u9593\u4e0a\u843d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u5468\u4e00\u5927\u81f4\u7121\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u6536\u5831\u7d04157.20\u3002\u532f\u50f9\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\u65e9\u6bb5\u66fe\u8dcc\u81f3\u7d04156.20\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u53ca\u7f8e\u570b\u6642\u6bb5\u56de\u5347\u3002\u81ea\u5f9e\u7531160.00\u4ee5\u4e0a\u9023\u8dcc\u5169\u65e5\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u4e00\u76f4\u5728157.50\u81f3157.00\u7684\u72f9\u7a84\u5340\u9593\u5167\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u6d88\u606f\u6307\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7576\u5c40\u57284\u670830\u65e5\u53ca5\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u5728\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u903c\u8fd1160.00\u5f8c\u5165\u5e02\u8cb7\u5165\u5408\u5171\u7d04300\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7b49\u503c\u7684\u65e5\u5713\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u628a\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u57280.75%\uff0c9\u540d\u59d4\u54e1\u4e2d\u67093\u4eba\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u805a\u7126\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da<\/h3>\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede\u843d\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\uff08Non-Farm Payrolls\uff0c\u5373\u300c\u975e\u8fb2\u65b0\u589e\u8077\u4f4d\u300d\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u589e\u9577\uff09\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u65b0\u589e\u8077\u4f4d\u70ba6\u842c\uff0c\u524d\u503c\u70ba17.8\u842c\uff1b\u5931\u696d\u7387\u9810\u671f\u70ba4.3%\u3002\u8f03\u65e9\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6578\u64da\u5305\u62ec\u5468\u4e8c\u7684ISM\u670d\u52d9\u696dPMI\uff08\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u53cd\u6620\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u666f\u6c23\uff09\u53caJOLTS\uff08\u8077\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u53ca\u52de\u5de5\u6d41\u52d5\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u89c0\u5bdf\u62db\u8058\u9700\u6c42\u8207\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u71b1\u5ea6\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5468\u4e09\u7684ADP\uff08\u79c1\u4eba\u6a5f\u69cb\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u63d0\u524d\u89c0\u5bdf\u5c31\u696d\u8b8a\u5316\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ee515\u5206\u9418\u5716\u8868\u89c0\u5bdf\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u5831157.19\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u65e5\u5167\u958b\u5e02\u50f9156.91\uff1b\u96a8\u6a5f\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff08Stochastic RSI\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u77ed\u671f\u8d85\u8cb7\u6216\u8d85\u8ce3\u7684\u6280\u8853\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u7d04\u572881\u3002\u4ee5\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u89c0\u5bdf\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u5831157.23\uff0c\u4ecb\u4e4e50\u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08EMA\uff0c\u4ee5\u8f03\u91cd\u6b0a\u91cd\u8a08\u7b97\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u7dda\uff09158.34\u8207200\u65e5EMA 154.99\u4e4b\u9593\uff1bStochastic RSI\u7d0454\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u73fe\u65bc\u7d04158.50\u9644\u8fd1\u8cb7\u8ce3\uff0c\u8d70\u52e2\u6a21\u5f0f\u82072025\u5e745\u6708\u521d\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u4eca\u6b21\u56de\u5347\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u76f8\u540c\uff1a\u7f8e\u5143\u504f\u5f37\uff0c\u80cc\u5f8c\u662f\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u7136\u504f\u9ad8\uff1b\u65e5\u5713\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u504f\u5f31\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u4ea6\u8a18\u5f97\u65e5\u672c\u7576\u5c40\u53bb\u5e74\u628a160.00\u8996\u70ba\u91cd\u8981\u9632\u7dda\u3002<\/p>\n

2025\u5e744\u6708\u5e95\u81f35\u6708\u521d\u7684\u5165\u5e02\u5e72\u9810\uff08\u5373\u5b98\u65b9\u5728\u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834\u8cb7\u8ce3\u672c\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u4ee5\u5f71\u97ff\u532f\u50f9\uff09\uff0c\u4f30\u8a08\u898f\u6a21\u8d85\u904e300\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u6709\u610f\u9858\u4ea6\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u652f\u6490\u65e5\u5713\u3002\u7576\u6642\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u5728\u5169\u65e5\u5167\u7531160.00\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6025\u632b\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1155.00\uff0c\u8d70\u52e2\u5287\u70c8\u53cd\u8986\uff08whipsaw\uff0c\u5373\u50f9\u683c\u6025\u5347\u6025\u8dcc\u3001\u4f86\u56de\u6383\u52d5\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u672a\u6709\u98a8\u96aa\u6e96\u5099\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u640d\u5931\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u5b98\u54e1\u518d\u5ea6\u767c\u51fa\u53e3\u982d\u8b66\u544a\uff08verbal warnings\uff0c\u5373\u4ee5\u8a00\u8ad6\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\uff09\uff0c\u518d\u51fa\u73fe\u6025\u901f\u5927\u6ce2\u5e45\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u671f\u6b0a\u98a8\u96aa\u7ba1\u7406\u505a\u6cd5<\/h3>\n

\u9451\u65bc\u53ef\u80fd\u7a81\u7136\u5e72\u9810\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u7528\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u5373\u4ee5\u8f03\u5c0f\u6210\u672c\u8cb7\u5165\u672a\u4f86\u6309\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u8ce3\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u7ba1\u7406\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4e26\u5229\u7528\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u3002\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08straddle\uff0c\u5373\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u540c\u4e00\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u53ca\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08strangle\uff0c\u5373\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u4e0d\u540c\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u53ca\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u8f03\u70ba\u7a69\u59a5\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4e0d\u8ad6\u532f\u50f9\u5411\u4e0a\u6216\u5411\u4e0b\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u90fd\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u53d7\u60e0\uff0c\u4ea6\u6bcb\u9808\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e72\u9810\u7684\u6642\u9593\u6216\u6210\u6548\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u61c9\u5c0d\u9707\u76ea\u5e02\u7684\u53cd\u8986\u8d70\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82072025\u5e74\u76f8\u8fd1\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u6578\u64da\u652f\u6301\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9df9\u7acb\u5834\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u5373\u504f\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u606f\u4ee5\u58d3\u901a\u8139\uff09\u3002\u7f8e\u570b2026\u5e744\u6708\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u901a\u8139\uff09\u5347\u5e45\u90543.6%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u672a\u53d7\u63a7\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u7e7c\u7e8c\u63a8\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u5411\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e26\u4ee4\u8d70\u52e2\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u7b56\u90e8\u9580\u7684\u5bb9\u5fcd\u5e95\u7dda\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u74b0\u5883\u672a\u898b\u660e\u986f\u6539\u5584\u30022026\u5e743\u6708\u6700\u65b0\u8cbf\u6613\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u9006\u5dee\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u80fd\u6e90\u9032\u53e3\u6210\u672c\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u8cbf\u6613\u689d\u4ef6\uff08terms of trade\uff0c\u5373\u51fa\u53e3\u50f9\u683c\u76f8\u5c0d\u9032\u53e3\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff09\u8f49\u5dee\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u504f\u5f31\u4ee4\u65e5\u5713\u96e3\u4ee5\u81ea\u884c\u8f49\u5f37\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u5373\u4f7f\u56e0\u5e72\u9810\u800c\u77ed\u7dda\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u96e3\u4ee5\u6301\u4e45\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6280\u8853\u5c64\u9762\uff0c160.00\u5c6c\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u53e3\uff08psychological barrier\uff0c\u5373\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u6574\u6578\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u9858\u610f\u5728\u6b64\u4f4d\u5927\u8209\u7a81\u7834\u30022025\u5e74\u5e72\u9810\u5f8c\u5f62\u6210\u65b0\u7684\u652f\u6490\u5340\uff08support base\uff0c\u5373\u50f9\u683c\u8f03\u5bb9\u6613\u6b62\u8dcc\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u73fe\u95dc\u6ce8155.50\u4f5c\u70ba\u95dc\u9375\u5e95\u90e8\uff0c\u8a72\u6c34\u5e73\u4ea6\u820750\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08moving average\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u5e73\u6ed1\u50f9\u683c\u3001\u5224\u65b7\u8da8\u52e2\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u5747\u7dda\uff09\u76f8\u8fd1\u3002\u82e5\u532f\u50f9\u903c\u8fd1159.00\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u5de5\u5177\u5e02\u5834\uff08derivatives market\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u7b49\u5408\u7d04\u5e02\u5834\uff09\u6599\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u5c0d\u6c96\uff08hedging\uff0c\u5373\u7528\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\u964d\u4f4e\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u6d3b\u52d5\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6c23\u6c1b\u66f4\u8da8\u5be9\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u592e\u884c\u7a81\u8972\u5e72\u9810\u6380\u5e02\u5834\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u5404\u6642\u6bb5\u73fe\u88c2\u53e3\u6025\u632b\u5f8c\u53cd\u8986\uff0c\u77ed\u7dda\u6ce2\u5e45\u64f4\u5927\uff1b\u60df\u6ed9\u50f9\u4ecd\u5b88157.20\u9644\u8fd1\u5340\u9593\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u5f8c\u5e02\u95dc\u6ce8\u518d\u5e72\u9810\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46677"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46677\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}