{"id":46675,"date":"2026-05-05T04:15:57","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T04:15:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46675\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T04:15:57","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T04:15:57","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%e8%87%b3%e7%b4%840-7170%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e5%93%a1%e9%9d%9c%e5%80%99%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e8%ad%b0%e6%81%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/46675\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u7d040.7170\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u975c\u5019\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u66fe\u5275\u591a\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u5468\u4e00\u8dcc\u7d040.5%\uff0c\u6536\u5831\u7d040.7170\uff0c\u65e5\u5167\u4f4e\u898b0.7150\u3002\u6b64\u524d\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u66fe\u5347\u81f3\u56db\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3001\u7a81\u78340.7225\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u4e26\u5931\u5b880.7200\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08RBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5c07\u65bc\u5468\u4e8c\u516c\u5e03\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70\u3002\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8ca8\uff08\u7528\u4f86\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u52a0\u606f25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff08basis point\uff0c1\u500b\u57fa\u9ede=0.01\u5398\uff0c\u53730.01%\uff09\u81f34.35%\uff08\u75314.10%\u4e0a\u8abf\uff09\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u7d04\u70ba60%\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Rba Policy And Inflation Backdrop<\/h3>\n<p>\u6fb3\u6d323\u6708\u6574\u9ad4\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7269\u50f9\u5347\u8dcc\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u6309\u5e74\u5347\u81f34.6%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bcRBA\u76842%\u81f33%\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\u3002\u5254\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u9805\u76ee\u5f8c\u7684\u4fee\u526a\u5e73\u5747CPI\uff08trimmed mean CPI\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u66f4\u53cd\u6620\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\uff09\u70ba3.3%\uff0c\u800c3\u6708\u8b70\u606f\u6295\u7968\u70ba5\u6bd44\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\u50c5\u96aa\u52dd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\uff08Non-Farm 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RSI\uff0c\u628aRSI\u518d\u4f5c\u96a8\u6a5f\u5316\u8655\u7406\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u5224\u65b7\u77ed\u7dda\u8d85\u8cb7\u8d85\u8ce3\uff09\u7d0445\u3002\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u986f\u793a\u532f\u50f9\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc50\u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08EMA\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u6bd4\u91cd\u8f03\u9ad8\u7684\u5747\u7dda\uff090.7061\u53ca200\u65e5EMA 0.6816\uff0cStochastic RSI\u7d0454\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u98672025\u5e745\u6708\u524d\u5f8c\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u66fe\u57280.7200\u4ee5\u4e0a\u9644\u8fd1\u5f98\u5f8a\u65bc\u56db\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002RBA\u7576\u6642\u6301\u7e8c\u52a0\u606f\u4ee5\u58d3\u6291\u504f\u9ad8\u7684\u901a\u8139\uff084.6%\uff09\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u77ed\u7dda\u6709\u7372\u5229\u56de\u5410\u58d3\u529b\uff0cAUD\/USD\u6574\u9ad4\u5e02\u5834\u6c23\u6c1b\u4ecd\u504f\u5411\u770b\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5feb\u8f49\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5f62\u52e2\u5df2\u6709\u660e\u986f\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u96d6\u7136RBA\u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08cash rate\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u5df2\u57284.35%\u7dad\u6301\u6578\u6708\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u65b02026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u4ecd\u300c\u9ecf\u6027\u300d\u504f\u9ad8\uff08sticky\uff0c\u6307\u56de\u843d\u7de9\u6162\u3001\u4e0d\u6613\u4e0b\u964d\uff09\u81f33.6%\uff0c\u4ee4\u6e1b\u606f\u8a0e\u8ad6\u66ab\u96e3\u5c55\u958b\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u5730\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5247\u91cb\u51fa\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u9010\u6b65\u653e\u5bec\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5be9\u614e\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Options Positioning In A Range Bound Market<\/h3>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u8868\u73fe\u8f03\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u5177\u97cc\u6027\uff08resilient\uff0c\u6307\u4e0d\u6613\u8f49\u5f31\uff09\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u76842026\u5e744\u6708\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u986f\u793a\u65b0\u589e\u8077\u4f4d\u905417.5\u842c\u500b\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u57283.9%\u7684\u504f\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u504f\u5f37\u70ba\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5c0d\u6fb3\u5143\u69cb\u6210\u9006\u98a8\uff08headwind\uff0c\u6307\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9451\u65bcAUD\/USD\u76ee\u524d\u7d04\u57280.6650\u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u53bb\u5e74\u7d040.7060\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\uff08support level\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u8f03\u5bb9\u6613\u6b62\u8dcc\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u66f4\u50cf\u5728\u5340\u9593\u4e0a\u843d\uff08range-bound\uff0c\u6307\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u9ad8\u4f4e\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u53cd\u8986\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u3002\u5728\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u5916\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff08out-of-the-money call options\uff0c\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u9ad8\u65bc\u73fe\u50f9\u7684\u770b\u5347\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u4e26\u628a\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u53ef\u8cb7\u5165\/\u8ce3\u51fa\u7684\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u8a2d\u5728\u7d040.6800\uff0c\u6216\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u6536\u53d6\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff08premium\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u671f\u6b0a\u6536\u53d6\/\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u8cbb\u7528\uff09\u7372\u5229\uff1b\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0a\u5347\u7a7a\u9593\u6216\u53d7\u9650\u5236\u30021\u500b\u6708\u671f\u6b0a\u7684\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u63a8\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u5e45\uff09\u7d048.5%\uff0c\u5728\u627f\u64d4\u53ef\u754c\u5b9a\u98a8\u96aa\uff08defined risk\uff0c\u53ef\u9810\u5148\u4f30\u7b97\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff09\u4e0b\u56de\u5831\u5c1a\u7b97\u5408\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u7b56\u7565\u662f\uff0c\u82e5\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u64d4\u5fc3\u532f\u50f9\u7a81\u7136\u6025\u8dcc\uff0c\u53ef\u8cb7\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u4f5c\u5c0d\u6c96\uff08hedge\uff0c\u7528\u53e6\u4e00\u9805\u5de5\u5177\u62b5\u92b7\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u8dcc\u7a7f\u5e74\u5167\u4f4e\u4f4d\u3002\u82e5\u672a\u4f86\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u8feb\u4f7f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u628a\u653e\u5bec\u653f\u7b56\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5ef6\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u8f49\u5f37\u4e26\u89f8\u767c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u770b\u8dcc\u50f9\u5dee\uff08put 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content=\"\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u7d040.7170\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u975c\u5019\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u66fe\u5275\u591a\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u843d\u81f30.7170\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u524d\u671f\u885d\u4e0a\u591a\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5f8c\u73fe\u7372\u5229\u56de\u5410\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u5c4f\u606f\u975c\u5019\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8b70\u606f\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u6307\u5f15\u6210\u77ed\u7dda\u8d70\u52e2\u95dc\u9375\u3002\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/46675\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-05T04:15:57+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-05T04:15:57+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" 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