{"id":46240,"date":"2026-04-29T13:27:32","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T13:27:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46240\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T13:27:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T13:27:32","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e4%b8%8d%e7%a2%ba%e5%ae%9a%e6%80%a7%e5%8d%87%e6%ba%ab%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e6%96%99%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%96%bc2-25%e4%b8%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/46240\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u5347\u6eab\u4e0b\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u6599\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u65bc2.25%\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u975c\u5f85\u901a\u8139\u5f71\u97ff\u66f4\u660e\u6717"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\uff08BoC\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u5236\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u9810\u6599\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u56db\u6b21\u8b70\u606f\u7dad\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08policy rate\uff0c\u5373\u592e\u884c\u7528\u4ee5\u5f71\u97ff\u501f\u8cb8\u6210\u672c\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff09\u5728 2.25%\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u89c0\u5bdf\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6230\u4e8b\u5c0d\u901a\u8139\uff08inflation\uff0c\u7269\u50f9\u6574\u9ad4\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\uff08growth\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u64f4\u5f35\u901f\u5ea6\uff09\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u592e\u884c\u5728 3 \u6708\u522a\u9664\u5148\u524d\u300c\u73fe\u884c\u5229\u7387\u5408\u9069\u300d\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff08guidance\uff0c\u5373\u592e\u884c\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u7684\u63d0\u793a\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u6307\u51fa\u9996\u5b63\u589e\u9577\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca\uff08energy shock\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u6025\u5347\uff09\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u7269\u50f9\u58d3\u529b\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6c11\u751f\u5546\u54c1\u53ca\u670d\u52d9\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5728 3 \u6708\u6309\u5e74\u5347\u81f3 2.4%\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc 2% \u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u4f46\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684 2.5%\u3002\u592e\u884c\u9810\u6e2c\u901a\u8139\u5e74\u5e95\u7d04 2.2%\uff0c\u5230 2027 \u5e74\u7d04 2.1%\u3002  <\/p>\n<h3>Inflation Growth Trade Uncertainty<\/h3>\n<p>\u589e\u9577\u6578\u64da\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u52a0\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927 GDP\uff08\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u7522\u51fa\uff09\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u6309\u5e74\u5316\uff08annualised\uff0c\u628a\u5b63\u5ea6\u8b8a\u5316\u63db\u7b97\u6210\u5168\u5e74\u901f\u5ea6\uff09\u6536\u7e2e 0.6%\uff1b1 \u6708\u6708\u5ea6 GDP \u5347 0.1%\uff1b\u7d93\u5b63\u7bc0\u8abf\u6574\uff08seasonally adjusted\uff0c\u6263\u9664\u5b63\u7bc0\u56e0\u7d20\u4fbf\u65bc\u6bd4\u8f03\uff09\u7684 IVEY PMI\uff08\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4ee5\u53cd\u6620\u4f01\u696d\u666f\u6c23\uff093 \u6708\u8dcc\u5165\u6536\u7e2e\u5340\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u4f4e\u65bc 50 \u4ee3\u8868\u6536\u7e2e\uff09\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\u5c07\u65bc\u5468\u4e09 13:45 GMT \u516c\u5e03\uff0c14:30 GMT \u8209\u884c\u8a18\u8005\u6703\u3002\u8def\u900f\u5831\u9053\u6307\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u53cd\u6620 4 \u6708\u5f8c\u5c07\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\uff1b\u53d7\u8a2a\u5206\u6790\u54e1\u4e2d\u6709 76% \u9810\u671f 2026 \u5e74\u4e0d\u6703\u6539\u8b8a\u653f\u7b56\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u52a0\u5143\uff08USD\/CAD\uff093 \u6708\u5e95\u9ad8\u898b\u63a5\u8fd1 1.4000\uff0c\u5176\u5f8c\u66fe\u89f8\u53ca 1.3605\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u4f4e\u4f4d\u70ba 1.3597\u3002\u6280\u8853\u4f4d\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e0a\u65b9\u963b\u529b\u5728 1.3700 \u53ca 1.3800 \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e0b\u65b9\u652f\u6301\u5728 1.3525 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002  <\/p>\n<h3>Trading Strategy For USDCAD<\/h3>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u6838\u5fc3\u77db\u76fe\u662f\u901a\u8139\u56de\u5347\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u8f49\u5f31\u4e26\u5b58\u30023 \u6708\u901a\u8139\u5347\u81f3 2.4%\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u9ad8\uff1b\u4f46 2 \u6708\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u53ea\u589e 0.2%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u6536\u7e2e\u5f8c\u52d5\u529b\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4ee4\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u7531\u5148\u89c0\u671b\uff0c\u5f85\u6578\u64da\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u518d\u8abf\u6574\u653f\u7b56\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u8b8a\u6578\u3002WTI \u539f\u6cb9\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8cea\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u5f98\u5f8a\u6bcf\u6876\u7d04 95 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8f03 2025 \u5e74\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6642\u9593\u7d04 82 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u660e\u986f\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u884c\u9577\u9ea5\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\uff08Macklem\uff09\u8868\u793a\u53ef\u5bb9\u5fcd\u9019\u6b21\u77ed\u671f\u901a\u8139\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u5e74\u5167\u6709\u671b\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u610f\u5916\u52a0\u606f\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0d\u5927\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u4ea4\u6613\u7126\u9ede\u8f03\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f USD\/CAD\u3002\u82e5\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u8d70\u5411\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u540c\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u8ca0\u8cac\u7f8e\u570b\u5229\u7387\u7684\u592e\u884c\uff09\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3002\u8fd1\u671f USD\/CAD \u8d70\u52e2\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u53cd\u5f48\u81f3 1.3700 \u9644\u8fd1\u53ef\u8996\u70ba\u90e8\u7f72\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u3001\u52a0\u5143\u8f49\u5f37\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u5728 1.3700 \u9644\u8fd1\u963b\u529b\u8f03\u5927\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u5de5\u5177\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u50f9\u503c\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u76f8\u95dc\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5982\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u6cbd\u51fa USD\/CAD \u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u770b\u597d\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u4e26\u628a\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u53ef\u8cb7\u5165\/\u8ce3\u51fa\u7684\u9810\u5148\u8a2d\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u8a2d\u65bc 1.3700 \u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u5728\u532f\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6216\u6a6b\u884c\u6642\u8f03\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u300c\u592e\u884c\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\u3001\u532f\u50f9\u5ef6\u7e8c\u504f\u5f31\u300d\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u8b70\u606f\u671f\u9593\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08volatility\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5347\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u6216\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u65e2\u6709\u4e0b\u884c\u901a\u9053\uff08downward channel\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5728\u5169\u689d\u5411\u4e0b\u50be\u659c\u5340\u9593\u5167\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u6599\u4ecd\u53ef\u7dad\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u6599\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u63012.25%\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff1b\u6c7a\u7b56\u5c64\u7e8c\u89c0\u5bdf\u901a\u8139\u50b3\u5c0e\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u805a\u7126\u4f55\u6642\u8f49\u5411\u6216\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46240\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}