{"id":46195,"date":"2026-04-29T05:30:28","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T05:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46195\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T05:30:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T05:30:28","slug":"%e8%81%af%e5%84%b2%e5%b1%80%e8%ad%b0%e6%81%af%e5%89%8d%ef%bc%8c%e7%8f%be%e8%b2%a8%e9%87%91%e8%b7%8c1-85%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%80%e5%ba%a6%e9%80%bc%e8%bf%914555%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8c%e6%94%b6%e5%a0%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/46195\/","title":{"rendered":"\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8b70\u606f\u524d\uff0c\u73fe\u8ca8\u91d1\u8dcc1.85%\uff0c\u4e00\u5ea6\u903c\u8fd14,555\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6536\u5831\u7d044,596\u7f8e\u5143"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\uff08XAU\/USD\uff09\u5468\u4e8c\u4e0b\u8dcc1.85%\uff0c\u6536\u5831\u7d044,596\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u76e4\u4e2d\u66fe\u4f4e\u898b\u7d044,555\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u516d\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u4e2d\u6709\u56db\u65e5\u6536\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e26\u8dcc\u7a7f\u6b64\u524d\u5b88\u7a69\u76844,650\u7f8e\u5143\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7c21\u7a31Fed\uff1b\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u5c07\u65bc\u5468\u4e0918:00 UTC\uff08\u5354\u8abf\u4e16\u754c\u6642\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08\u592e\u884c\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u65bc3.50%\u81f33.75%\u3002\u5468\u56db\u7f8e\u570b\u91cd\u9ede\u6578\u64da\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u9996\u5b63GDP\uff08Gross Domestic Product\uff0c\u672c\u5730\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff1b\u8861\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u7684\u7e3d\u6307\u6a19\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u6e2c\u6309\u5e74\u7387\uff08annualised\uff0c\u628a\u5b63\u5ea6\u589e\u901f\u63db\u7b97\u6210\u5e74\u5316\uff09\u589e\u95772.3%\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u70ba0.5%\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca3\u6708\u6838\u5fc3PCE\uff08Core Personal Consumption Expenditures\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u500b\u4eba\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff1b\u5254\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u504f\u597d\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6307\u6a19\uff09\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u6309\u5e74\u53473.2%\uff0c\u524d\u503c\u70ba3%\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Fed Decision And Market Setup<\/h3>\n<p>\u5468\u4e94\u5c07\u516c\u5e03ISM\u88fd\u9020\u696dPMI\uff08Institute for Supply Management\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u6307\u6578\uff1b50\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4ee3\u8868\u64f4\u5f35\uff09\uff0c\u201c\u6295\u5165\u50f9\u683c\u6307\u6578\u201d\uff08prices paid\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u4f01\u696d\u6210\u672c\u58d3\u529b\uff09\u9810\u671f\u63a5\u8fd180\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc50\u3002\u4ee515\u5206\u9418\u5716\u89c0\u5bdf\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u70ba4,595.84\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8f03\u7576\u65e5\u958b\u5e02\u50f94,697.98\u7f8e\u5143\u504f\u5f31\uff1b\u96a8\u6a5fRSI\uff08Stochastic RSI\uff0c\u628aRSI\u518d\u4f5c\u96a8\u6a5f\u5316\u8655\u7406\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u5224\u65b7\u8d85\u8cb7\u8d85\u8ce3\uff09\u7531\u8d85\u8cb7\u5340\u56de\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u4ecb\u4e4e50\u65e5EMA\uff08Exponential Moving Average\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff1b\u8f03\u91cd\u8996\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u7d044,764.90\u7f8e\u5143\u8207200\u65e5EMA\u7d044,325.77\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u9593\uff1b\u96a8\u6a5fRSI\u63a5\u8fd132\u3002\u5404\u570b\u592e\u884c\u65bc2022\u5e74\u589e\u6301\u9ec3\u91d11,136\u5678\uff0c\u50f9\u503c\u7d04700\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5275\u5e74\u5ea6\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4eca\u65e5\u7a0d\u5f8c\u516c\u5e03\u8b70\u606f\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u6025\u8dcc\u5f8c\u6b63\u6e2c\u8a664,600\u7f8e\u5143\u95dc\u53e3\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede\u5728\u65bc\uff1a\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5c07\u5982\u4f55\u56de\u61c9\u4ecd\u7136\u504f\u9ad8\u7684\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u8fd1\u671f\u53d7\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u5e36\u52d5\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u8ce6\u4e88\u8cb7\u8ce3\u6b0a\u5229\u4f46\u975e\u7fa9\u52d9\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u7684\u5f15\u4f38\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u63a8\u7684\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u5347\u81f3\u516d\u5468\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u8b70\u606f\u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u8f03\u5927\u55ae\u908a\u8d70\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82e5\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u7acb\u5834\u504f\u9df9\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u512a\u5148\u58d3\u901a\u8139\u3001\u50be\u5411\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff09\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6216\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u6216\u7e8c\u8dcc\u3002\u6b64\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165\u8a8d\u6cbd\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u671f\u91d1\u7a7a\u5009\uff08short futures\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u5148\u770b\u8dcc\u7a7f\u6628\u65e5\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7d044,555\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u82e5\u8dcc\u52e2\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u652f\u6301\u4f4d\u70ba200\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08200-day moving average\uff09\u7d044,325\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u82e5\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u91cb\u51fa\u8010\u5fc3\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u4e26\u627f\u8a8d\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\u6216\u62d6\u7d2f\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u6216\u51fa\u73fe\u53cd\u5f48\u3002\u6b64\u60c5\u6cc1\u53ef\u7559\u610f\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u671f\u91d1\u591a\u5009\uff08long futures\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u671f\u8ca8\u5408\u7d04\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u4e3b\u8981\u963b\u529b\u70ba50\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u73fe\u7d044,765\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Macro Backdrop And Key Catalysts<\/h3>\n<p>\u985e\u4f3c\u201c\u80fd\u6e90\u885d\u64ca+\u901a\u8139\u504f\u9ad8\u201d\u7684\u7d44\u5408\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u5834\u806f\u60f3\u52301970\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u6eef\u8139\uff08stagflation\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u653e\u6162\u4f46\u901a\u8139\u504f\u9ad8\uff09\u3002\u7576\u5e74\u6ce2\u52d5\u96d6\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u9ec3\u91d1\u6700\u7d42\u56e0\u5177\u4fdd\u503c\u4f5c\u7528\uff08store of value\uff0c\u8cc7\u7522\u53ef\u5728\u901a\u8139\u4e0b\u7dad\u6301\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\uff09\u800c\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u4fd7\u3002\u4e2d\u9577\u7dda\u770b\u597d\u7684\u8ad6\u9ede\u4ea6\u53d7\u592e\u884c\u6301\u7e8c\u8cb7\u91d1\u652f\u6301\uff1b\u56de\u671b2025\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c2022\u5e74\u589e\u6301\u5df2\u5275\u7d00\u9304\uff0c\u800c\u4eca\u5e74\u4ecd\u7136\u7dad\u6301\u5f37\u52c1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4eca\u65e5\u8b70\u606f\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede\u5c07\u8f49\u5411\u5468\u56db\u7684\u9996\u5b63GDP\u53ca\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u3002\u82e5\u6578\u64da\u512a\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5c07\u652f\u6301\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u504f\u9df9\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u91d1\u50f9\u5728\u672c\u5468\u9918\u4e0b\u6642\u9593\u7e8c\u53d7\u58d3\uff1b\u82e5\u898b\u589e\u9577\u653e\u6162\u6216\u901a\u8139\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u5247\u6216\u91cd\u71c3\u5c0d\u91d1\u50f9\u7684\u770b\u597d\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8b70\u606f\u524d\u5915\u907f\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u73fe\u8ca8\u91d1\u6025\u632b1.85%\uff0c\u66fe\u903c\u8fd14,555\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6536\u5831\u7d044,596\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u91d1\u50f9\u77ed\u7dda\u8f49\u52e2\uff1f\u5e02\u5834\u5c4f\u606f\u5f85\u8b70\u606f\u6307\u5f15\u8207\u9ede\u9663\u5716\u8d70\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46195","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46195","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46195"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46195\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46195"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46195"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46195"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}