{"id":46193,"date":"2026-04-29T04:32:06","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T04:32:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46193\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T04:32:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T04:32:06","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e8%81%af%e5%84%b2%e5%b1%80%e6%b1%ba%e8%ad%b0%e5%8f%8a%e6%9d%b1%e4%ba%accpi%e5%85%ac%e5%b8%83%e5%89%8d%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e6%97%a5%e5%9c%93%e4%bb%8d%e4%bd%8e%e6%96%bc160-00","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/46193\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u6c7a\u8b70\u53ca\u6771\u4eacCPI\u516c\u5e03\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u4ecd\u4f4e\u65bc160.00\uff0c\u65bc\u5340\u9593\u5167\u63a5\u8fd1159.62"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY \u5468\u4e8c\u5728 80 \u9ede\u5b50\uff08pip\uff0c\u5373\u532f\u7387\u6700\u5c0f\u8b8a\u52d5\u55ae\u4f4d\uff09\u5340\u9593\u5167\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u6536\u5831\u63a5\u8fd1 159.62\uff1b\u4e9e\u6d32\u65e9\u6bb5\u4f4e\u898b 158.96\uff0c\u7d10\u7d04\u5c3e\u6bb5\u9ad8\u898b 159.79\u3002\u81ea 3 \u6708\u4e2d\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u6574\u9ad4\u8b8a\u5316\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c160.00 \u591a\u6b21\u88ab\u6e2c\u8a66\u5f8c\u4ecd\u6210\u70ba\u4e0a\u65b9\u963b\u529b\uff08cap\uff0c\u5373\u4e0a\u5347\u53d7\u963b\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c\u672a\u4f86 48 \u5c0f\u6642\u6578\u64da\u8f03\u591a\uff1a\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03 3 \u6708\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\uff08Retail Trade\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u6e2c\u6309\u5e74\u5347 0.8%\uff0c\u524d\u503c\u70ba\u6309\u5e74\u8dcc 0.2%\u3002\u5468\u56db\u516c\u5e03\u6771\u4eac\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Tokyo CPI\uff1b\u53cd\u6620\u6771\u4eac\u7269\u50f9\u3001\u5e38\u4f5c\u70ba\u5168\u570b\u901a\u8139\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u6a19\uff09\uff0c\u6263\u9664\u751f\u9bae\u98df\u54c1\uff08ex-fresh-food\uff0c\u5373\u5254\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u9bae\u98df\u9805\u76ee\uff09\u9810\u6e2c\u6309\u5e74\u5347 1.8%\uff0c\u524d\u503c 1.7%\uff1b\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u65e5\u672c 2 \u5e74\u671f\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u5238\u5b73\u606f\u7387\uff08JGB yields\uff0c\u5373\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u5238\u5229\u7387\uff09\u4ecd\u5728\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u9644\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n

Key US And Japan Catalysts<\/h3>\n

\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Federal Reserve\uff09\u5468\u4e09 18:00 UTC \u516c\u5e03\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08federal funds rate\uff0c\u5373\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u5728 3.50% \u81f3 3.75%\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u4ea6\u95dc\u6ce8\u4f0a\u6717\u885d\u7a81\u53ca\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\uff0c\u5728\u5468\u56db\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63 GDP\uff08\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff09\u53ca\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08Core PCE Price Index\uff1b\u500b\u4eba\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u3001\u5254\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u806f\u5132\u91cd\u8981\u901a\u8139\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u524d\uff0c\u76f8\u95dc\u6d88\u606f\u6216\u52a0\u5927\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n

15 \u5206\u9418\u5716\u4e0a\uff0cUSD\/JPY \u5831 159.62\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc\u7576\u65e5\u958b\u5e02 159.36\uff1b\u96a8\u6a5f\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6a19\uff08Stochastic RSI\uff1b\u628a RSI \u518d\u4f5c\u96a8\u6a5f\u5316\u7684\u52d5\u80fd\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u89c0\u5bdf\u8d85\u8cb7\u8d85\u8ce3\uff09\u7d04\u5728 50 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u4e0a\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u8655\u65bc 50 \u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0850-day EMA\uff1b\u4ee5\u8fd1\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u6b0a\u91cd\u8f03\u9ad8\u8a08\u7b97\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff09158.44 \u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ea6\u9ad8\u65bc 200 \u65e5 EMA 155.10\uff1bStochastic RSI \u540c\u6a23\u63a5\u8fd1 50 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7576 USD\/JPY \u5411 170.00 \u63a8\u9032\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u6cc1\u8207 2025 \u5e74\u540c\u671f\u88ab\u56f0 160.00 \u4e0b\u65b9\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u6838\u5fc3\u56e0\u7d20\u672a\u8b8a\uff1a\u7f8e\u65e5\u5229\u5dee\uff08interest-rate gap\uff0c\u5373\u5169\u570b\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u8ddd\uff09\u4ecd\u662f\u65e5\u5713\u504f\u5f31\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u52d5\u529b\u3002\u806f\u5132\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728 4.50%\uff0c\u800c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\uff08Bank of Japan\uff09\u50c5\u628a\u5229\u7387\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0a\u8abf\u81f3 0.10%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b63\u5982 160.00 \u66fe\u662f\u95dc\u9375\u5206\u6c34\u5dba\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5b98\u54e1\u8fd1\u671f\u52a0\u5f37\u53e3\u982d\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u628a 170.00 \u8996\u70ba\u65b0\u95dc\u53e3\u3002\u56de\u9867 2022 \u5e74\u532f\u50f9\u7a81\u7834 150 \u5f8c\u5b98\u65b9\u5165\u5e02\u5e72\u9810\uff08intervention\uff0c\u5373\u7576\u5c40\u8cb7\u8ce3\u5916\u532f\u5f71\u97ff\u532f\u7387\uff09\u5f15\u767c\u65e5\u5713\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u53bb\u5e74\u5931\u5b88 160 \u5f8c\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u5287\u70c8\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u5e02\u5834\uff1a\u8cb7\u5165\u6df1\u5ea6\u50f9\u5916\uff08far out-of-the-money\uff0c\u5373\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u9060\u96e2\u73fe\u50f9\u3001\u770b\u4f3c\u4fbf\u5b9c\u4f46\u6210\u529f\u6a5f\u6703\u4f4e\uff09\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u98a8\u96aa\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u56e0\u5b98\u65b9\u82e5\u7a81\u7136\u51fa\u624b\uff0c\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u503c\u53ef\u5728\u77ed\u6642\u9593\u5167\u5927\u5e45\u84b8\u767c\u3002<\/p>\n

Options Strategies And Volatility<\/h3>\n

\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u5c07\u5de6\u53f3\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u901a\u8139\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\u65bc 2.8%\uff0c\u806f\u5132\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u4e0d\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u91cb\u653e\u660e\u78ba\u6e1b\u606f\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u7f8e\u5143\u4fdd\u6301\u652f\u6301\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\u96d6\u4ecd\u9ad8\u65bc 2% \u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u4f46\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u7acb\u5834\u504f\u5be9\u614e\uff0c\u4ee4\u65e5\u5713\u627f\u58d3\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u66f4\u6613\u5411\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u8207\u5e72\u9810\u98a8\u96aa\u4e26\u5b58\uff0c\u63a8\u9ad8\u671f\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff1b\u7531\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u683c\u5012\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u9810\u671f\u6ce2\u52d5\uff09\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u6cbd\u51fa\u77ed\u5e74\u671f\u5bec\u8de8\u5f0f\u7d44\u5408\uff08short-dated strangles\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u5916\u770b\u6f32\u53ca\u50f9\u5916\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\uff09\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u532f\u50f9\u53d7\u9650\u65bc 170.00 \u4e0b\u65b9\u4fbf\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u5716\uff1b\u4f46\u82e5\u532f\u7387\u5411\u4e0a\u6216\u5411\u4e0b\u6025\u5287\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u8667\u640d\u98a8\u96aa\u4ea6\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82e5\u5e0c\u671b\u7dad\u6301\u504f\u597d\u4e0a\u5347\uff08bullish bias\uff09\u540c\u6642\u63a7\u5236\u5e72\u9810\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4ee5\u671f\u6b0a\u50f9\u5dee\uff08option spreads\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u53ca\u8ce3\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u50f9\u4f4d\u671f\u6b0a\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\u8f03\u5408\u7406\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u725b\u5e02\u770b\u6f32\u50f9\u5dee\uff08bull call spread\uff1b\u8cb7\u5165\u8f03\u4f4e\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\u8f03\u9ad8\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u532f\u50f9\u7e8c\u5347\u6642\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u628a\u6700\u5927\u8667\u640d\u9396\u5b9a\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u56e0\u7a81\u767c\u5e72\u9810\u800c\u51fa\u73fe\u96e3\u4ee5\u627f\u53d7\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u8b70\u606f\u53ca\u6771\u4eacCPI\u5c07\u63ed\u76c5\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u7e8c\u53d7\u58d3\uff0c160\u95dc\u53e3\u672a\u7834\uff0c\u5f98\u5f8a159.62\u5340\u9593\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u5c4f\u606f\u4ee5\u5f85\u5b98\u54e1\u9df9\u9d3f\u8a0a\u865f\u8207\u901a\u8139\u8d70\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46193","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46193"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46193\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46193"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46193"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46193"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}