{"id":46013,"date":"2026-04-27T11:39:32","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T11:39:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/46013\/"},"modified":"2026-04-27T11:39:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T11:39:32","slug":"%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e7%b6%ad%e6%8c%81%e6%96%bc1-1700%e4%b8%8a%e6%96%b9%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%a8%82%e8%a7%80%e6%83%85%e7%b7%92%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e6%ad%90%e5%85%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/46013\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u7dad\u6301\u65bc1.1700\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u63a8\u5347\u6b50\u5143\uff0c\u5fb7\u570bGfK\u6d88\u8cbb\u4fe1\u5fc3\u75b2\u5f31\u5f71\u97ff\u6709\u9650"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08EUR\/USD\uff09\u7531\u63a5\u8fd1 1.1730 \u7684\u6642\u6bb5\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5b88\u5728 1.1700 \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u9023\u5347\u7b2c\u4e8c\u65e5\u3002\u5fb7\u570b GfK\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u8abf\u67e5\uff095 \u6708\u6578\u64da\u8f49\u5dee\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u5373\u6642\u53cd\u61c9\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n<p>5 \u6708 GfK \u6307\u6578\u7531 4 \u6708\u7684 -28.1 \u8dcc\u81f3 -33.3\uff0c\u5dee\u904e\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684 -29.5\uff0c\u5275\u903e\u4e09\u5e74\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4e2d\u6771\u63d0\u6848\u4ee4\u7126\u9ede\u8f49\u79fb<\/h3>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u7e7c\u7e8c\u95dc\u6ce8\u4e2d\u6771\u5c40\u52e2\u3002\u300aAxios\u300b\u5831\u9053\u4f0a\u6717\u5411\u7f8e\u570b\u9001\u4ea4\u65b0\u7684\u548c\u5e73\u63d0\u6848\u3002\u5831\u9053\u6307\u4f0a\u6717\u9858\u610f\u7d50\u675f\u6575\u5c0d\u884c\u52d5\u4e26\u91cd\u958b\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u822a\u9053\uff09\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u62bc\u5f8c\u6838\u8ac7\u5224\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5831\u9053\u5f62\u5bb9\u8ac7\u5224\u9677\u5165\u50f5\u5c40\uff0c\u539f\u5b9a\u5468\u672b\u8209\u884c\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u6703\u8ac7\u4ea6\u5df2\u53d6\u6d88\u3002\u6cb9\u8f2a\u5728\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u53d7\u963b\u5df2\u5169\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u63a5\u8fd1\u6bcf\u6876 100 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u5468\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u53ca\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u5c07\u65bc\u5468\u4e09\u53ca\u5468\u56db\u516c\u5e03\u8b70\u606f\u7d50\u679c\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u9810\u671f\u5169\u8005\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u9810\u671f\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728\u901a\u8139\u4e0a\u5347\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c07\u91cb\u51fa\u504f\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\uff08\u5373\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\uff0c\u504f\u7dca\u7e2e\u3001\u50be\u5411\u52a0\u606f\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6280\u8853\u8d70\u52e2\u65b9\u9762\uff0cEUR\/USD \u5728 1.1645 \u81f3 1.1675 \u5340\u9593\u6709\u652f\u6301\uff1b\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u7d04\u5728 1.1730 \u53ca 1.1745\u3002RSI\uff08\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u8861\u91cf\u5347\u8dcc\u52d5\u80fd\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5f98\u5f8a 50 \u9644\u8fd1\uff1bMACD\uff08\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u6536\u6582\uff0f\u767c\u6563\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u5224\u65b7\u8da8\u52e2\u5f37\u5f31\u8207\u8f49\u5411\uff09\u7565\u70ba\u8f49\u6b63\u3002\u95dc\u9375\u6c34\u5e73\u5305\u62ec 1.1760\u30011.1849 \u53ca 1.1505\u20131.1525\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4e3b\u8981\u98a8\u96aa\u524d\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6ce2\u5e45<\/h3>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba EUR\/USD \u593e\u5728\u5169\u80a1\u529b\u91cf\u4e4b\u9593\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u4f0a\u548c\u5e73\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u61a7\u61ac\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u6bcf\u6876\u63a5\u8fd1 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u73fe\u5be6\uff0c\u6216\u5f15\u767c\u5168\u7403\u8870\u9000\u3002\u9019\u985e\u62c9\u92f8\u4ee4\u4eba\u60f3\u8d77 2022 \u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4ee4\u5e03\u862d\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\uff08Brent\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u6cb9\u50f9\u57fa\u6e96\uff09\u98c6\u5347\u81f3 120 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\u4ea6\u6025\u5347\uff0cVIX\uff08\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7f8e\u80a1\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff09\u66fe\u5347\u7a7f 35\u3002\u884d\u751f\u5de5\u5177\uff08\u4ee5\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u4f5c\u70ba\u8a08\u50f9\u57fa\u790e\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u7522\u54c1\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u671f\u6b0a\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u7559\u610f\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5e73\u975c\u672a\u5fc5\u6301\u4e45\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b50\u5143\u672c\u8eab\u4ea6\u51fa\u73fe\u77db\u76fe\uff1a\u5fb7\u570b\u6d88\u8cbb\u4fe1\u5fc3\u75b2\u5f31\u62d6\u7d2f\u6b50\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u61a7\u61ac\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u504f\u9df9\u5247\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\u3002-33.3 \u7684\u8b80\u6578\u903c\u8fd1 2022 \u5e74\u80fd\u6e90\u5371\u6a5f\u6642\u4f4e\u65bc -40 \u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6b50\u6d32\u6700\u5927\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u58d3\u529b\u6c89\u91cd\u3002\u57fa\u672c\u56e0\u7d20\u4e92\u76f8\u62c9\u626f\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u672c\u5468\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4efb\u4f55\u8a0a\u606f\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u653e\u5927\u532f\u50f9\u6ce2\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u9ad8\u3001\u800c\u7f8e\u4f0a\u8ac7\u5224\u7d50\u679c\u504f\u5411\u300c\u975e\u9ed1\u5373\u767d\u300d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u4e0d\u62bc\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u671f\u6b0a\uff08options\uff0c\u8ce6\u4e88\u5728\u6307\u5b9a\u65e5\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8cb7\u5165\u6216\u8ce3\u51fa\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff09\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u300c\u8cb7\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\u300d\uff08long straddle\uff1a\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u540c\u4e00\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u3001\u540c\u4e00\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a call \u8207\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a put\uff09\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u4ee5\u63a5\u8fd1 1.1700 \u7684\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u5165 call \u8207 put\uff0c\u82e5\u532f\u50f9\u5411\u4e0a\u6216\u5411\u4e0b\u7a81\u7834\u4e26\u51fa\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u7372\u5229\u3002\u9019\u662f\u62bc\u6ce8\u5728\u592e\u884c\u8b70\u606f\u53ca\u4e2d\u6771\u6d88\u606f\u524d\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u7f8e\u4f0a\u8ac7\u5224\u5fb9\u5e95\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f49\u5411\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\uff08risk-off\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6e1b\u5c11\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u8f49\u5f37\u30022020 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u5e02\u5834\u6050\u614c\u671f\u9593\u4e5f\u51fa\u73fe\u985e\u4f3c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5c0d\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u5f37\u5f31\uff09\u4e0d\u8db3\u5169\u5468\u5347\u903e 8%\u3002\u70ba\u9632\u7bc4\u9019\u9ede\uff0c\u53ef\u8cb7\u5165\u50f9\u5916\uff08out-of-the-money\uff0c\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u8f03\u73fe\u50f9\u66f4\u4e0d\u5229\u3001\u4f46\u901a\u5e38\u8f03\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff09EUR\/USD \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u5c0d\u6c96\uff08hedge\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e0d\u5229\u8d70\u52e2\u640d\u5931\uff09\u6025\u632b\u81f3 1.1500 \u652f\u6301\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6280\u8853\u4e0a\uff0c1.1745 \u662f\u95dc\u9375\u5206\u6c34\u5dba\uff0c\u5c07\u5de6\u53f3\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u82e5\u660e\u78ba\u5347\u7a7f\u8a72\u8da8\u52e2\u7dda\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u6216\u89f8\u767c\u6025\u5347\u81f3 1.1850\uff0c\u77ed\u5e74\u671f\u770b\u6f32\u671f\u6b0a\u53ef\u7528\u4f5c\u6355\u6349\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u82e5\u591a\u6b21\u4e0a\u8a66\u4ecd\u672a\u80fd\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u5c07\u78ba\u8a8d\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u4e0b\u884c\u4fdd\u8b77\u66f4\u70ba\u7a69\u59a5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u4f01\u7a691.1700\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u80c3\u7d0d\u56de\u5347\u63a8\u52d5\u6b50\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\uff1b\u5fb7\u570bGfK\u6d88\u8cbb\u4fe1\u5fc3\u504f\u5f31\u5f71\u97ff\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5f8c\u5e02\u80fd\u5426\u6311\u6230\u66f4\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c4f\u606f\u4ee5\u5f85\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46013\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}