{"id":45811,"date":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/uncategorized\/45811\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T23:24:49","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8bpmi%e5%8f%8a%e5%b0%b1%e6%a5%ad%e6%95%b8%e6%93%9a%e5%bc%b7%e5%8b%81%e5%b8%b6%e5%8b%95%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e9%ab%98%e5%be%8c%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83%e5%85%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh\/live-updates\/45811\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u7f8e\u570bPMI\u53ca\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u5f37\u52c1\u5e36\u52d5\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u9ad8\u5f8c\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5f98\u5f8a\u65bc0.7160\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u6301\u5e73"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u5468\u56db\u8cbc\u8fd1 0.7160 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\u5e74\u540c\u671f\uff0cAUD\/USD \u65bc 0.7160 \u9644\u8fd1\u6574\u56fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8f03\u5f37\u4ee4\u532f\u50f9\u53d7\u58d3\uff1bRBA \u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\u70ba\u6fb3\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u62c9\u92f8\u3002\u7576\u6642\u5e02\u5834\u5448\u73fe\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u6578\u64da\u5f37\u300d\u8207\u300c\u6fb3\u6d32\u6297\u901a\u8139\u300d\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u77db\u76fe\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u622a\u81f3\u4eca\u65e5\uff082026 \u5e74 4 \u6708 23 \u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u504f\u5f31\u8d70\u52e2\u5df2\u660e\u986f\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u73fe\u7d04 0.6550\u3002\u96a8\u7740\u6fb3\u6d32\u901a\u8139\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u5b63\u5ea6\u6578\u64da\u964d\u81f3 3.2%\uff0cRBA \u7684\u9df9\u6d3e\u7acb\u5834\u9010\u6b65\u964d\u6eab\uff1b\u540c\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7dad\u6301\u52d5\u80fd\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5dee\u8ddd\u4ee4\u6301\u6709\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56de\u5831\u8f03\u6301\u6709\u6fb3\u5143\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>2025 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rate\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u70ba 4.75%\uff0c\u5c0d\u6bd4 RBA \u73fe\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08cash rate\uff1a\u6fb3\u6d32\u4e3b\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff093.85%\u3002\u6b64\u5dee\u8ddd\u63d0\u9ad8\u6301\u6709 AUD\/USD\u300c\u505a\u591a\u300d\uff08long positions\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u532f\u50f9\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u6cbd\u58d3\uff1b\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u53cd\u6620\u6b64\u73fe\u5be6\uff0c\u8207\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u722d\u8ad6\u5f62\u6210\u5c0d\u6bd4\u3002  <\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u4f86\u6578\u5468\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u8cb7\u5165 AUD\/USD \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08put options\uff1a\u652f\u4ed8\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u5f8c\uff0c\u7372\u5f97\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\/\u5230\u671f\u6642\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u8ce3\u51fa\u7684\u6b0a\u5229\uff0c\u7528\u4f5c\u5c0d\u6c96\u6216\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c0d\u6c96\u6216\u628a\u63e1\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u56fa\u5b9a\uff08defined risk\uff1a\u6700\u5927\u640d\u5931\u70ba\u5df2\u4ed8\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\uff09\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u53c3\u8207\u532f\u50f9\u4e0b\u8a66 0.6400 \u7684\u6f5b\u5728\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u96b1\u542b\u6ce2\u5e45\uff08implied volatility\uff1a\u671f\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\u63a8\u7b97\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u9ad8\u4f4e\uff09\u4ecd\u5c6c\u6eab\u548c\uff0c\u4ee4\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u76f8\u5c0d\u53ef\u63a7\u3002  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