\u82f1\u938a\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08GBP\/USD\uff09\u63a5\u8fd1 1.3600 \u5f8c\u8f49\u8dcc\u3002\u9810\u8a08\u65e5\u5167\uff08\u5373\u65e5\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u4ecd\u6703\u5728 1.3495 \u81f3 1.3555 \u5340\u9593\u5167\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4eca\u6b21\u56de\u843d\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u66fe\u5347\u81f3 1.3595\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1 1.3545 \u81f3 1.3600 \u5340\u9593\u4e0a\u6cbf\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u8dcc\u81f3 1.3518\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ee5 1 \u81f3 3 \u661f\u671f\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u4e0a\u5347\u52d5\u529b\u6b63\u5728\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u82e5\u8dcc\u7a7f 1.3480\uff0c\u5c07\u78ba\u8a8d\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u5347\u52e2\u5df2\u544a\u4e00\u6bb5\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6211\u5011\u898b\u5230\u4e00\u500b\u5e38\u898b\u8d70\u52e2\uff1a\u82f1\u938a\u5728\u903c\u8fd1\u91cd\u8981\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff08\u5373\u4e0a\u65b9\u8f03\u96e3\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u50f9\u4f4d\uff09\u6642\uff0c\u4e0a\u5347\u52d5\u529b\u9010\u6b65\u6d88\u9000\u3002\u8a72\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u5728\u4e0a\u6708\u81ea 1.2600 \u4ee5\u4e0b\u6025\u5347\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u672a\u80fd\u660e\u78ba\u7a81\u7834 1.2800 \u95dc\u53e3\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u4eca\u8f2a\u53cd\u5f48\u53ef\u80fd\u958b\u59cb\u4e4f\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56de\u9867 2025 \u5e74\u521d\u7684\u985e\u4f3c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u5728\u903c\u8fd1 1.3600 \u5f8c\u66fe\u6025\u901f\u56de\u843d\uff1a\u5347\u52e2\u505c\u6eef\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u9032\u5165\u6574\u56fa\uff08\u5373\u5728\u8f03\u7a84\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u4e0a\u843d\u6536\u96c6\u65b9\u5411\uff09\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u7684\u770b\u597d\u60c5\u7dd2\u9010\u6f38\u964d\u6eab\u3002\u9019\u500b\u6b77\u53f2\u4f8b\u5b50\u4ee4\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u532f\u50f9\u80fd\u5426\u7531\u73fe\u6c34\u5e73\u518d\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u653b\u4fdd\u6301\u5be9\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u82f1\u570b 2026 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u901a\u8139\uff08\u7269\u50f9\u5347\u5e45\uff09\u6578\u64da\u5831 2.5%\uff0c\u7565\u70ba\u300c\u9ecf\u6027\u300d\uff08\u5373\u56de\u843d\u901f\u5ea6\u8f03\u6162\uff0c\u8f03\u96e3\u5f88\u5feb\u4e0b\u964d\uff09\uff0c\u662f\u63a8\u52d5\u82f1\u938a\u8d70\u5f37\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u76f8\u95dc\u5229\u597d\u76ee\u524d\u770b\u4f86\u5df2\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u300c\u6d88\u5316\u4e26\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u50f9\u683c\u5167\u300d\uff08\u5373\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5df2\u63d0\u524d\u8cb7\u5165\u6216\u8abf\u6574\u5009\u4f4d\uff09\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u518d\u51fa\u73fe\u65b0\u7684\u82f1\u570b\u5229\u597d\u50ac\u5316\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u4e0a\u5347\u7a7a\u9593\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n
\u53e6\u4e00\u908a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u504f\u5f37\u5e36\u4f86\u300c\u9006\u98a8\u300d\uff08\u5373\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\uff08Non-Farm Payrolls\uff0c\u6307\u7f8e\u570b\u6bcf\u6708\u65b0\u589e\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u8077\u4f4d\uff09\u589e\u52a0 28 \u842c\u500b\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5c31\u696d\u4ecd\u7136\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u5f3a\u5316\u5e02\u5834\u770b\u6cd5\uff1a\u806f\u5132\u5c40\uff08\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\uff09\u4e0d\u6703\u6025\u65bc\u6e1b\u606f\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e95\u5c64\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u6216\u6703\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u9650\u5236 GBP\/USD \u7684\u986f\u8457\u5347\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5c0d\u884d\u751f\u5de5\u5177\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u6307\u671f\u6b0a\u3001\u671f\u8ca8\u7b49\u4ee5\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u70ba\u57fa\u790e\u7684\u5408\u7d04\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\u300c\u6cbd\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\u91d1\u300d\uff08selling premium\uff0c\u6307\u8ce3\u51fa\u671f\u6b0a\u6536\u53d6\u6b0a\u5229\u91d1\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u8f03\u6709\u6548\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u53ef\u8003\u616e\u6cbd\u51fa\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\uff08strike price\uff0c\u5373\u671f\u6b0a\u5408\u7d04\u7d04\u5b9a\u8cb7\u5165\/\u8ce3\u51fa\u50f9\u683c\uff09\u5728 1.2850 \u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u8a8d\u8cfc\u671f\u6b0a\uff08call options\uff0c\u5373\u8cb7\u5165\u671f\u6b0a\uff0c\u8cb7\u65b9\u6709\u6b0a\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u884c\u4f7f\u50f9\u8cb7\u5165\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u7b56\u7565\u62bc\u6ce8\u53cd\u5f48\u5c07\u505c\u6eef\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u7dad\u6301\u5340\u9593\u4e0a\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u65b0 COT \u5831\u544a\uff08Commitment of Traders\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u671f\u8ca8\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u540c\u985e\u5225\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u7684\u6301\u5009\uff09\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6295\u6a5f\u6027\u8cb7\u76e4\uff08speculative long positions\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u82f1\u938a\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6301\u5009\uff09\u5df2\u5347\u81f3\u903e\u4e00\u5e74\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u300c\u64e0\u8feb\u6301\u5009\u300d\uff08crowded positioning\uff0c\u5373\u5e02\u5834\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u540c\u4e00\u65b9\u5411\u6301\u5009\uff09\u5f80\u5f80\u9810\u793a\u8abf\u6574\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u53ea\u8981\u7a0d\u6709\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u80fd\u89f8\u767c\u9023\u9396\u5f0f\u6cbd\u552e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u9700\u7559\u610f\u662f\u5426\u51fa\u73fe\u300c\u8017\u76e1\u300d\uff08exhaustion\uff0c\u5373\u5347\u52e2\u8fd1\u5c3e\u8072\u3001\u8cb7\u76e4\u529b\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\uff09\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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